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US dollar, yields look set to close the gap with commodities

Momentum turned higher for the US dollar on Friday and the US 2-year is reconsidering a break above 2%, which could see them close the gap with the CRM commodities index - which have led both markets higher this year.

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USD forecast: Positioning hints at headwinds for USD, 2-year yield

Short bets against the US 2-year yield continue to diminish yet remain at a sentiment extreme. And as the yield flatlined above 5% in 2023 despite aggressive short positioning, it suggests its yield may struggle to retake 5% this time around. And that could prove to be a headwind for the USD.

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February 20, 2024 01:49 PM
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MOVE index: How to measure bond market volatility

The MOVE index projects the yield spread between long and short-term bonds to give an idea of current market volatility. Read more for a MOVE index definition and strategies.

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October 2, 2023 11:57 PM

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AUD/USD, S&P 500, VIX analysis: Commitment of traders report (COT)

The commitment of traders (COT) report shows how large speculators are positioned across futures markets on the CME exchange.

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Stocks off lows after dollar, yields collapsed

When bond markets move, investors in other markets always take notice

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The US 10-Year Yield and USD/JPY correlation is back!

US 10-Year Yields and USD/JPY currently have a strong correlation coefficient of +0.93.

February 16, 2023 07:44 AM
Gold trading

Gold eyes fresh breakdown as China fears add fuel to fire

It was always going to be an uphill struggle for the metal...

Gold trading

Gold eyes fresh breakdown as China fears add fuel to fire

It was always going to be an uphill struggle for the metal...

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European Open: UK bonds in focus, the DAX remains range bound

How UK bond markets react today can be seen as to whether traders approve (or not) of Jeremy Hunt’s changes to the government’s economic programme.

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October 17, 2022 03:33 PM
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European Open: UK bonds in focus, the DAX remains range bound

How UK bond markets react today can be seen as to whether traders approve (or not) of Jeremy Hunt’s changes to the government’s economic programme.

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October 17, 2022 03:33 PM
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European Open: GBP spikes on reports the BOE may extend bond purchases

The BOE have now done two U-turns within 24hrs, by first cancelling their bond buying programme but then signalling behind closed door they may extend it.

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European Open: US bond yields (and USD/JPY) appear close to a big break

The 2 and 10-year bond yields are within a cat’s whisker of hitting multi-year highs, which could signal the next leg higher for the dollar if they break them.

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European Open: US bond yields (and USD/JPY) appear close to a big break

The 2 and 10-year bond yields are within a cat’s whisker of hitting multi-year highs, which could signal the next leg higher for the dollar if they break them.

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GBP/USD in focus bond as yields jump despite BoE’s new plan

BoE announced new measures aimed at ensuring an 'orderly end' to its emergency bond buying scheme which ends on Friday.

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October 11, 2022 02:37 AM
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GBP/USD in focus bond as yields jump despite BoE’s new plan

BoE announced new measures aimed at ensuring an 'orderly end' to its emergency bond buying scheme which ends on Friday.

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October 11, 2022 02:37 AM
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Gold shines as yields plunge on BoE intervention

BoE will temporarily carry out purchases of long-dated UK government bonds at an “urgent pace,” and on “whatever scale” necessary to restore orderly market conditions.

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Nothing changes for gold, stocks as yields resume higher

Bearish trend persist for indices and metals as investors watch yields continue to rise following a flurry of central bank action this week.

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Gold attempts breakout as yields dip

Investors appear convinced the Fed will slow down rate hikes despite officials indicating otherwise.

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Bond markets signal end of aggressive tightening near

Gold and silver stand ready for a potential comeback…

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July 26, 2022 10:26 PM
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All eyes on bond yields ahead of FOMC

In the eyes of bond markets, the front-loading of interest rate hikes will potentially lead to a recession.

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Will the bond market meltdown be the undoing of the S&P500?

U.S. yields have surged higher again this week to their highest level since May 2019, after Fed Chair Powell opened the door to a 50bp rate hike at the next FOMC meeting, causing fresh pain for global bond markets.

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Weekly COT Report: Market Positioning Hintsat Lower Yields

Whilst net exposure to US 10-year treasury notes were at their most bearish level since the Pandemic began, CFTC data shows it is a function of longs covering.