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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA rises despite more trade tariffs
US stocks point to a higher open on Monday, recovering from last week's modest declines. Steelmakers were at the top of the leaderboard following President Trump's tariff announcements. The new President announced 25% trade tariffs on all steel and aluminum imports on top of existing tariffs. The market reaction has been relatively muted with stocks gaining and the USD lower. Although Gold trades at a record level.
EUR/USD, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch
EUR/USD is steady ahead of Lagarde & as trade tariff worries linger. Oil shrugs off the latest trade escalation.
USDJPY, Gold Outlook: New Tariffs Keep the DXY and Gold on a Bullish Edge
USDJPY, Gold Outlook: New Trump tariffs this week, including a 25% levy on steel and aluminum imports, are escalating trade war risks, pushing gold to record highs above $2,890 and keeping the U.S. dollar supported above the 108-mark.
Indices Insight
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Bullish USD sentiment wanes, GBP/USD bears have a rethink - COT Report
We're seeing early signs that net-long bullish exposure on the USD may have peaked. While this may not necessarily mean a peak in the USD price, it does at least suggest the trend could slow or move sideways.
Bullish Signs for Silver in Challenging Market Conditions
Silver remains resilient despite US dollar strength and higher yields. With key producers China and Mexico facing trade tensions, silver's bullish potential is on the rise.
AUD/USD weekly outlook: Upside may be capped, but a cycle low could be in
The breakout to a 5-year low on Monday was short lived, before AUD/USD went on to recover as much as 3.5% by the day's high. Given the extended bearish period seen since Q4, perhaps an important cycle low has been set.
USD/JPY Forecast: Bearish Signals Strengthen as Powell, Inflation, and Trade Risks Loom
Rate differentials still steer USD/JPY, but trade war fears are adding another layer of risk. With Powell, CPI, and key auctions ahead, is more downside on the cards?
Crude Oil Week Ahead: Tariff Risks, OPEC Report, and US CPI
Crude Oil Week Ahead: As price spikes on oil remain short lived, the broader bearish impact of tariffs is supporting oil prices through their bearish trajectory, with possible alterations to OPEC forecasts and monthly reports in 2025.
Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Remains Susceptible to Trump Tariffs
USD/CAD appears to be defending the January low (1.4486) even as US President Donald Trump delays tariffs for Canada.
EUR/USD Forecast: Focus Turns to US Inflation Data in Week Ahead
With Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony, US CPI data, and key corporate earnings due this week, the EUR/USD forecast remains cautiously bearish.
British Pound Technical Forecast: GBP/USD, GBP/JPY, EUR/GBP
The Bank of England cut rates last week but it was the two votes for a 50 bp cut that weighed on the currency on Thursday and Friday.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Vertical as Trump Tariffs Risk Trade War
Gold prices surged for a sixth-week with XAU/USD hitting fresh record highs. Battle lines drawn on the weekly technical chart as the Trump tariffs stoke trade war fears.
Weekly equities outlook: Barclays, NatWest and BP
UK lenders start to report earnings this week with Barclays, NatWest and oil major BP.
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