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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA set for a quiet start below 40,000

US stocks head for a quiet open as the CPI-fueled rally runs out of steam. Several Fed speakers have warned that rates need to stay high for longer, and they want to see more evidence of inflation cooling before cutting rates. The Dow Jones remains below the key 40,000 level that it breached yesterday. There is no high-impacting data today. Attention will remain on Fed speakers.

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May 17, 2024 11:23 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ steadies after jobless claims, Fed speak

US stocks pause for breath after yesterday's rally following cooler CPI data. While the data boosted rate cut optimism, NY Fed President Williams warned that more evidence of inflation cooling was needed in order to cut rates. Separately, Walmart is set to open sharply higher after beating earnings and revenue forecasts.

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May 16, 2024 11:19 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast :QQQ rises towards record highs after CPI cools

US stocks are rising, heading back towards record higher after US CPI data cooled for the first time in six months in April. US CPI rose 0.3% MoM in April, below the 0.4% rise forecast. US retail sales were also weaker than expected at 0%. The data sent treasury yields and the USD lower while boosting stocks. The meme-stock euphoria was also showing signs of cooling.

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May 15, 2024 11:40 PM

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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX unchanged after hotter PPI & as GameStop soars

US stocks point to a mildly higher start despite hotter than-expected US PPI data ad amid signs that meme stock mania is having a revival. GameStop opened over 100% higher after rising over 70% yesterday. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will speak shortly.

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May 14, 2024 11:57 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA extends last week's gain ahead of Fed speakers

US stocks are set to continue the recent bullish run as treasury yields fall and attention turns to Wednesday's CPI report. Dow Jones posted its best weekly performance since December last week, supported by earnings and signs of a weaker labour market. US Fed speakers are in focus today ahead of Wednesday's CPI report, Recent Fed speakers have supported the view that rates may need to stay high for longer.

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May 13, 2024 11:15 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises & is set for a weekly gain

US stocks extended gains from yesterday and are on track for a weekly rise as rate cut hopes dominate. Weaker-than-expected jobless claims after Friday's softer non-farm payroll data have boosted hopes that the Fed could cut rates in September. Meanwhile, upbeat earnings season has also helped the mood. Oil prices are set for a weekly rise as the demand outlook improves.

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May 10, 2024 11:32 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA steady, jobless claims & Fed speakers in focus

US stocks are set for a quiet open as the market weighs up more Fed officials supporting high rates for longer, with signs of a cooling jobs market. US jobless claims rose by more than expected, which, after Friday's softer non-farm payroll, could indicate that the labour market is starting to ease. Earnings continue to roll in with Arm falling after FY 2025 revenue guidance disappointed.

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May 9, 2024 10:34 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA inches lower as treasury yields rise

US stocks are pointing to a modestly weaker start as the market continues to assess when the Federal Reserve may start to cut interest rates and by how much. Comments from Fed speakers yesterday raised questions over whether the Fed would cut at all in 2024. In the absence of economic data, Fed speakers remain under the spotlight today. Attention is also on earnings, with Uber set to open lower after posting a loss.

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May 8, 2024 11:03 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX edges higher ahead of Fed speakers

US stocks are pointing to a modestly higher start as more earnings roll in and as expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts remain in focus and after Disney earnings fail to impress. The US economic calendar is light today, so attention will be on Fed speakers and corporate updates. Disney is set to open 4% lower despite posting EPS of $1.21 vs the $1.10 expected.

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May 7, 2024 11:31 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX jumps after a weaker NFP report & Apple results

US stocks are pointing to a stronger open after weaker than expected non-farm payroll report which has seen the market bring forward Fed rate cuts and after Apple's results. Apple announced a $110 million share buyback, the largest in US history. Attention turns to US services PMI data which is due to report shortly.

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May 3, 2024 11:03 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises post-Fed, Apple reports after the close

US stocks are set to open higher as the market digests the latest Federal Reserve meeting and looks ahead to tomorrow's non-far payroll report. The Fed left rates on hold and calmed worries of a rate hike. However, Fed chair Powell also warned that rates would stay high for longer. Apple is due to report after the close amid concerns over iPhone sales and China.

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May 2, 2024 11:29 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ falls despite AMZN earnings & ahead of the Fed

US stocks are pointing to a lower start in cautious trade ahead of the Federal Reserve interest rate decision. The Fed is expected to leave rates unchanged as inflation rose across the first quarter and as the jobs market remains resilient. ADP payrolls were stronger than expected. Fed jitters are overshadowing results from Amazon, which beat forecasts.

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May 1, 2024 11:18 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX falls & is on track to decline across April

Stocks are set to open lower and are set to fall across April, marking the first monthly decline since October. The selloff in stocks comes as the market frets over sticky inflation and the prospect of higher rates for longer. Today, the Fed kicks off its 2-day FOMC meeting and no change in rates is expected at the announcement tomorrow. Amazon will report after the close.

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April 30, 2024 11:24 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA rises boosted by mega-caps

US stocks are set to open higher, adding to last week's gains as mega-caps remain in focus. Tesla is trading 14% higher pre-market on encouraging China news, and Apple is set to rise 2,5% on AI optimism. The US economic calendar is quiet today. Attention will be on Wednesday's FOMC decision and Friday's NFP report.

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April 29, 2024 11:39 PM
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S&P 500 Analysis: SPX rises after more tech earnings & despite sticky inflation

US stocks are set to open higher after impressive numbers from Alphabet and Microsoft. Meanwhile, US core PCE, the Fed's preferred gauge for inflation, was hotter than expected at 2.8% YoY, which is in line with February. Personal spending was stronger than expected. The data supports the view that the Fed is in no rush to cut rates. The central bank meets next week.

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April 26, 2024 11:25 PM
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Dow Jones Analysis: DJIA falls after Meta disappoints, inflation rises

Meta beat earnings and revenue forecasts with EPS of $4.71 on revenue of $36.46 billion. However, the share price has slumped after weaker revenue guidance and higher spending plans. The selloff has hit sentiment and dragged other tech stocks lower. Meanwhile, the US Q1 GDP was weaker than expected, at 1.6%, annualised. However, core PCE inflation rose more than expected across the quarter. The Dow Jone analysis sees the price testing support at 38000,

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April 25, 2024 11:12 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX rises with earnings in focus, Tesla jumps

Stocks are pointing to a modestly higher start as earnings continue to roll in. However, gains could be limited after stronger-than-expected US durable goods orders revived concerns over the Fed keeping rates high for longer. Tesla is set to open 12% higher despite missing both earnings and revenue estimates. The market was more impressed by the news of an acceleration in the production of affordable EV models. Meta will report after the close.

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April 24, 2024 11:23 PM

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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises ahead of Tesla earnings

US indices point to a stronger start as corporate earnings continue to roll in. Earnings are providing a welcomed distraction after worries over the Fed keeping rates high for longer hurt sentiment last week. US PMI data is due shortly and is expected to show business activity grew at a faster pace. Tesla is due to report after the close after the EV maker's deliveries fell in Q1 and as the share price trades down 40% this year.

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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX rises ahead of key tech earnings this week

US stocks are set to open higher after steep losses across the previous week. The S&P500 fell over 3% last week and the Nasdaq 6% amid expectations that the Fed will keep rates high for longer. Attention this week is turning to tech earnings, with Tesla, Meta, Alphabet, and Microsoft reporting earnings. US core PCE and Q1 GDP data later in the week will also be in focus.

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April 22, 2024 11:21 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX steady with Middle East tensions & Netflix in focus

US stocks are set for a mixed open as Iran downplays Israel's attack, helping fears fade. Futures recovered earlier losses, and oil gave back earlier losses. Netflix reported stronger-than-expected Q1 earnings and revenues but is set to fall on the open after revenue guidance for the current quarter was modestly weaker than expected.

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April 19, 2024 11:23 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises as chip stocks rebound, Netflix earnings in focus

US stocks are inching higher after recent losses as chip stocks rebound following impressive earnings from TSMC and despite jobless claims coming in stronger than expected. TSMC is considered a bellwether for chip stocks, so the upbeat earnings have helped the sector, which had fallen in recent weeks. Attention is now turning to Netflix earnings after the closing bell.

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April 18, 2024 11:06 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ inches higher ahead of Fed speakers

US stocks are inching higher with corporate updates in focus, and after US Fed Chair Powell dampened rate cut expectations. More Fed officials will speak today, and more hawkish commentary could impact sentiment. The market is currently pricing in a 40% probability of a July rate cut. United Airlines flies higher after encouraging results.

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April 17, 2024 11:13 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX inches higher ahead of Powell

US stocks are set to open modestly higher in cautious trade ahead of a speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. US treasury yields rose to the highest level since November, a day after stronger-than-expected US retail sales data, which could limit the upside for stocks. Earnings from Bank of America and Morgan Stanley were better than expected.

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April 16, 2024 11:15 PM