Week ahead
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The US dollar may not be ready to roll over just yet: The Week Ahead
We'll need to wait until next week's COT report to see the full damage of the US inflation report to USD long positioning, but with key levels holding as support we may find mean reversion works in the dollar's favour next week.
US CPI needs to cool to keep the USD bear case in check: Week Ahead
Jerome Powell speaks on the eve of a key US inflation report, both events of which may provide plenty of volatility for the US dollar.
GBP/AUD in the crossfire of BOE and RBA meetings: The Week Ahead
As currency traders we seek divergent themes between economies in identify probable moves on currency pairs. And should we see the RBA deliver a hawkish tone whilst the BOE release the doves, it could send GBP/AUD lower alongside the respective yield differential between the two economies.
USD/JPY 155 in focus around US inflation, BOJ meeting: The Week Ahead
155 has become the latest 'glass ceiling' for the rapid rise of USD/JPY. And with a key US inflation report, BOJ meeting and potential for risk-off sentiment next week, this key level could be tested and prompt a response from Japan's central authorities.
UK, CA, NZ inflation at the helm: The Week Ahead
With traders keen to see who will be the first among the BOE, BOC or RBNZ to cut rates, their attention will be surely on next week's inflation reports for their respective regions.
S&P 500 rally threatened as geopolitics enters the ring: The Week Ahead
Tensions surrounding the Middle East has unsettled markets. US indices such as the S&P 500 are on track for their worst week of the year, crude oil reached a fresh YTD high and the risk-off sentiment was even enough to knock gold from its record. Traders therefore need to be on guard for headline risks surrounding the Middle East next week, alongside the usual bouts of economic data and central bank meetings.
US dollar, Nasdaq 100, Gold forward returns over Easter: The Week Ahead
We have a shorter trading week due to the long Easter weekend. As there is a lack of top-tier data, we take at how the US dollar index, Nasdaq 100 and gold have performed around this time of year.
Central Bank galore with BOJ, Fed, BOE, SNB and RBA on tap: The Week Ahead
It is a monster week ahead for traders with a key focus on central banks, with BOJ, Fed, BOE and RBA meetings on the menu.
US dollar index on track for its worst week of the year: The Week Ahead
With Fed Chair Jerome Powell effectively delivering a dovish pivot during his testimony to the house Committee, traders will no doubt jump onto weaker US economic data to reprice multiple rate cuts - and that could weigh further on the US dollar.
AUD/USD weekly outlook: AU GDP figures in focus for the RBA
Australia’s economy is slowing, but there’s a chance GDP could come in softer than the RBA’s own forecast. And that could weigh on AUD/USD on renewed RBA-cut bets.
EUR/USD in the hands of ECB, Powell Testimony, ISM services: The Week Ahead
EUR/USD is on track for its smallest weekly range since September 2021, although 1-week implied volatility levels that we could see more action next week.
US dollar weakness might be short lived: The Week Ahead
The US dollar shows the potential to retrace some of the week's losses in light of hawkish Fed comments. Although attention now shifts to the US PCE inflation report, Australian CPI and RBNZ interest rate decision and press conference.
The Week Ahead: S&P 500 Uptrend May Come Down to NVDA Earnings
Nvidia’s earnings will be a key hurdle to determine whether the S&P 500 uptrend can continue. See what else we'll be watching!
Can US inflation data make or break the US dollar? The Week Ahead
Whist the daily charts still appear favourable for another leg higher on the US dollar, the weekly charts and market positioning suggest some dark clouds may lurking above. And incoming CPI or inflation expectations data could make or break the dollar, if they lean enough in either direction.
The USD dollar could take its cue from Powell’s 60-minute interview: The Week Ahead
60-minutes announced a pre-recorded interview with Jerome Powell will be aired at 19:00 on Sunday, which took place after the latest FOMC decision. And it can shape the tone for the US dollar, and therefore global markets, next week.
Nasdaq reaches new record high, a week ahead of FOMC: The Week Ahead
Love it or loathe it, the rally on US indices has been impressive. Traders seem to be focussed on lower yields, slightly reduced bets of multiple Fed cuts and any other morsel of what can be repackaged as ‘good news’. But can it withstand incoming GDP figures, a PCE inflation report and an FOMC meeting without a wobble?
USD dollar on track for first 3-week rally in 6 months: The Week Ahead
The US dollar is on track for its best three-week run in six months. Whilst the dollar index shows to the potential to pause for breath, a strong set of flash PMI and GDP figures next week could see the USD extend its dominance.
Can the US dollar break out of its range? The Week Ahead
At the time of writing, the US dollar has printed its smallest weekly range since September 2021 at just 69 points. And that is quite remarkable when you consider it has landed on a US inflation report week. Yet daily seasonal data has reveal January 15th to have delivered the strongest average returns and win rate for the month. And that date so happens to be this coming Monday.
The Week Ahead: Has the US Dollar Index Trend Turned?
The US Dollar Index's failed breakout and sharp bearish reversal suggests that a near-term top may be in and the path of least resistance will be to the downside in the coming week.
USD/JPY in focus for BOJ meeting and US inflation report: The Week Ahead
We're intrigued to see if US indices can continue to defy gravity and follow their seasonal tendency to post strong gains in the second half of December. But given the strength of the rally leading into their highs, bulls may want to be cautious of this Santa's rally. The two key events next week are the BOJ meeting and US PCE inflation report, which puts USD/JPY firmly in the sights of currency traders.
US CPI, FOMC, BOE, ECB and SNB on tap: The Week Ahead
Four major central banks meeting next week including the FOMC, ECB, BOE and SNB. While no changes are expected, traders want to know who may be the first to cut rates.
Nonfarm payroll, ISM, BOC and RBA on tap: The Week Ahead – Dec 1, 2023
With traders more than happy to price in Fed cuts for 2024 where possible, they will be looking for further signs that the US economy is slowing but at a rate that does not scream recession. And this places US ISM services and the nonfarm payroll report into the limelight next week. China’s trade data and inflation figures may reveal whether Beijing need to step up support for the economy yet again. And whilst the RBA and BOC are expected to hold the cash rate steady at their monetary policy meetings, their statements may indicate how much of an appetite there is for further hikes in Q1.
Crude oil steadies ahead of OPEC, US inflation in focus: The Week Ahead
Thanksgiving in the US has made for a very quiet second half to the week for traders, but with a key US inflation report and an OPEC meeting on tap then volatility is expected to return next week. Also note that Australia releases inflation figures which could be the deciding factor as to whether the RBA hold or hike at their final meeting of the year.