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20231218 - 001 - 01

Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises post-Fed, Apple reports after the close

US stocks are set to open higher as the market digests the latest Federal Reserve meeting and looks ahead to tomorrow's non-far payroll report. The Fed left rates on hold and calmed worries of a rate hike. However, Fed chair Powell also warned that rates would stay high for longer. Apple is due to report after the close amid concerns over iPhone sales and China.

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May 2, 2024 02:29 PM
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Gold forecast: Upside potential in focus as USD mulls a pullback

The break above $2300 for gold was accompanied by strong volumes, and with the US dollar mulling a pullback it could benefit gold further over the near term.

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May 2, 2024 05:23 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ falls despite AMZN earnings & ahead of the Fed

US stocks are pointing to a lower start in cautious trade ahead of the Federal Reserve interest rate decision. The Fed is expected to leave rates unchanged as inflation rose across the first quarter and as the jobs market remains resilient. ADP payrolls were stronger than expected. Fed jitters are overshadowing results from Amazon, which beat forecasts.

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May 1, 2024 02:18 PM

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Nasdaq 100 forecast: The ‘downside’ to selling in May and going away

The Nasdaq 100 is poised to snap a 5-month winning streak by Tuesday's close, which begs the question as to if the old adage 'sell in May and go away' arrived a month early.

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April 30, 2024 05:04 AM
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S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Forecast for the Week Ahead: Into the FOMC

It was a come back type of week for stocks, even with another hot inflation report. But next week brings the Fed and markets are still holding on to hopes for 2024 rate cuts.

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Nasdaq 100 analysis: Markets remain vulnerable despite tech rally

Tech earnings optimism underpins recovery for now, but markets still remain vulnerable. US bond yields remain elevated ahead of a record $70 billion sale. Nasdaq 100 technical analysis shows index is testing key resistance.

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April 24, 2024 04:30 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises as chip stocks rebound, Netflix earnings in focus

US stocks are inching higher after recent losses as chip stocks rebound following impressive earnings from TSMC and despite jobless claims coming in stronger than expected. TSMC is considered a bellwether for chip stocks, so the upbeat earnings have helped the sector, which had fallen in recent weeks. Attention is now turning to Netflix earnings after the closing bell.

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April 18, 2024 02:06 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ inches higher ahead of Fed speakers

US stocks are inching higher with corporate updates in focus, and after US Fed Chair Powell dampened rate cut expectations. More Fed officials will speak today, and more hawkish commentary could impact sentiment. The market is currently pricing in a 40% probability of a July rate cut. United Airlines flies higher after encouraging results.

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April 17, 2024 02:13 PM
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Nasdaq 100, S&P 500 and DAX analysis: Technical Tuesday - April 16, 2024

The S&P 500 extends losses to third week amid raised geopolitical risks and rising bond yields. Concerns over the escalation of the situation in the Middle East is at the forefront of investors’ minds. The situation remains volatile with Israel seeking revenge for Iran’s retaliatory attacks on Saturday.

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Dow Jones, Nasdaq forecast: Key levels for US indices

The recent underperformance of the Dow Jones has not come without warning, as asset managers have been reducing their net-long exposure for several weeks now. Yet the Nasdaq remains above 18k, which means it may be better suited for bulls should sentiment improve and leave the Dow Jones for bears to consider fading into, should prices rebound.

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Nasdaq’s bullish signal may deliver upside for the Nikkei 225

While the Nasdaq 100 has broken its 2024 uptrend, traders continue to buy the dip, generating a bullish signal on Thursday. That points to possible upside not only for US tech but also Japan’s Nikkei 225.

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April 12, 2024 03:28 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ muted as bond yields rise

US stocks are pointing to a quiet start after losses last week and as US treasury yields rise. Strong US jobs data and manufacturing reports from last week have seen the market rein in Fed rate cut expectations. The market is now pricing in just a 49% probability of rate cut in June, down from 58% a week ago. There is no major data release today. Looking ahead of CPI and the FOMC minutes will be in focus.

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April 8, 2024 01:58 PM
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Nasdaq Forecast: QQQ rises despite the strong NFP report

US stocks are set to open higher despite rising treasury yields after a stronger-than-expected NFP report. 303K jobs were added in March, smashing forecasts of 200k and raising questions over whether the Fed will be able to cut interest rates three times this year. The market is now fully pricing in the first rate cut in September rather than July. Oil is set to rise 4% across the week amid rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

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April 5, 2024 02:34 PM
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Nasdaq Forecast: QQQ stocks fall after stronger ADP payrolls & ahead of Powell's speech

US d=stocks point to a softer open after data highlights the resilience of the US economy. ADP payrolls rose 180k, up from 140k and ahead of forecasts. The data came after factory orders and JOLTS job openings, which were also stronger than anticipated. The persistent strength of the economy raises questions over whether the Fed can cut rares three times this year. Fed Chair Jerome Powell will speak shortly.

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April 3, 2024 02:18 PM
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Nasdaq Forecast: QQQ rises, boosted by chipmakers

US stocks are set to open higher, boosted by chipmakers, and as investors weigh up diverging Fed views over the scale of rate cuts this year. While Raphael Bostic sees just one rate cut this year, Austan Goolsbee sees three rate cuts in 2024, The spotlight will be on US core PCE data on Friday, which could provide more clues over the Fed's future path for rate cuts. Today, US durable goods orders rose more than expected.

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March 26, 2024 01:30 PM
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Nasdaq 100, ASX 200 weekly forecast: Record highs right there but will traders boost bullish bets?

Two very different indices, two similar trading setups. Will traders be willing to continue chasing record highs next week? The unconvincing price action to end the week warns of downside risks.

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March 22, 2024 09:56 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises on Google, Apple AI chatter

US stocks are pointing to a stronger open, with tech stocks outperforming. Reports that Alphabet's Google and Apple are in talks to include Google's AI Gemini feature in iPhones has boosted the mood. Nvidia's annual developers conference will also kick off today. While tech news is lifting the mood, attention is also on the Federal Reserve interest rate decision on Wednesday, where the Fed could adopt a more hawkish stance given the sticky nature of inflation.

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March 18, 2024 01:11 PM

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GBP/USD hints at sentiment extreme ahead of BOE, FOMC: COT report

With a BOE and FOMC meeting pending and net-long exposure for GBP/USD at or near a sentiment extreme, I cannot help but wonder if the pound it due at least a pullback. I also take a closer look at the US dollar index (DXY), gold and the Nasdaq 100.

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NASDAQ 100 Forecast: QQQ muted ahead of more data tomorrow

US stocks point to a muted start after yesterday's rally. Investors have shrugged off hotter-than-forecast inflation and remain firm that the Fed will cut rates in the June meeting. US economic data is in short supply today. Attention will be on retail sales and producer prices later in the week. Oil prices pop on an upbeat demand outlook from OPEC.

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March 13, 2024 01:20 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Dow Jones Dax Forecast ECB Powell testifying will keep rate cut expectations in focus

Last week saw the Nasdaq 100, Dow Jones & DAX reach record highs amid cooling inflation and AI optimism. The ECB rate decision and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell testifying before Congress means rate cut expectations will remain front and central next week.

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March 3, 2024 06:00 AM
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NASDAQ100 Forecast :QQQ inches higher after a record close

The Nasdaq 100 is inching higher after a record close yesterday on AI enthusiasm and optimism that the Federal Reserve will start to cut interest rates in June. Investors continue to digest yesterday's cooling inflation data and look ahead to US ISM manufacturing PMI. Dell jumps 23% after impressive earnings, and oil is set to rise across the week,

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March 1, 2024 02:16 PM
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NZD/USD tumbles as the RBNZ defies hawks, release doves

It's been a volatile 30-mins for NZD pairs after the RBNZ held rates and provided a dovish tilt to their statement, which has seen a broad selloff.

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February 28, 2024 02:14 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast :QQQ remains close to its record high with US data in focus

US stocks point to a quiet start as US economic data releases start to ramp up ahead of Thursday's inflation print. Today, US durable goods orders fell -6.1% MoM, more than the -4.5% forecast. The market has barely reacted. US data has broadly been encouraging, highlighting the resilience of the US economy even with interest rates at a 22-year high. Attention now turns to US consumer confidence figures.

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February 27, 2024 01:31 PM