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Bullish bets on the yen continue to gain traction: COT report
We may have seen an important swing low on the yen looking at the change of speculative market positioning. And that could see a much deeper pullback on USD/JPY.
USD/JPY forecast: Payrolls pivotal for bullish bond breakout, yen rally longevity
A bullish breakout in US bonds has sent USD/JPY tumbling below 150, with payrolls now poised to decide whether the yen’s surge gains momentum or fizzles out. Could this be the pivotal moment for bond markets and the Fed's rate path?
USDJPY Forecast: Yen Strengthens Ahead of NFP Week
USDJPY Forecast: Friday's rise in Tokyo CPI from 1.8% to 2.2% drove USDJPY below the critical 150 level. A pivotal week of US economic data ahead, including ISM PMIs and Non-Farm Payrolls, is set to heighten volatility risks for the pair.
USD/JPY: Inflation surprise fuels yen surge, 200DMA break boosts downside risks
USD/JPY is tumbling, breaking through its 200-day moving average after Tokyo’s inflation data shocked to the upside. With US Treasury yields losing steam and thin markets amplifying moves, traders are eyeing a deeper downside flush. Could the yen’s resurgence have more room to run?
USD/JPY crumbles as Treasury futures surge: key signals to watch
After USD/JPY’s dramatic plunge, the focus shifts to what’s next. Is this just the beginning of further downside, or could a rally toward the 200-day moving average provide fresh opportunities for shorts? Here's what signals from US Treasuries reveal on near-term directional risks.
US Dollar Forecast: USD/JPY Gives Back Post-US Election Rally
USD/JPY trades to a fresh monthly low (150.46) as it gives back the advance following the US election.
US Dollar Snaps Back, USD/JPY Descending Triangle Breakdown
USD/JPY bears have gone to work over the past two weeks, holding a lower-high even as USD spiked last Friday. And then forcing a breakdown from the descending triangle formation to test below the 151.95 level.
Japanese Yen Technical Forecast: USD/JPY Bears Emerge
USD/JPY broke below a major support pivot this week with the bears now threatening a larger correction. Battle lines drawn on the weekly/daily technical charts.
EUR/USD, USD/JPY Forecast: Two trades to watch
EUR/USD rises cautiously ahead of German GFK data & post-Fed minutes. USD/JPY falls to a 3-week low ahead of US core PCE data.
USD/JPY: Bearish break signals deeper slide as US yields retreat
USD/JPY bulls are on the back foot as US bond yields retreat, triggering a key technical break. With Scott Bessent’s bold fiscal plan easing fears and Fed rate cut bets fading, the pair now skews firmly to the downside.
Trump Bump Price Action Setups: Gold, Bitcoin, EUR/USD, SPX
It’s been a fast-evolving market since the Presidential election three weeks ago. But stocks remain higher, Bitcoin has put in a major move and gold is on its back foot.
Japanese Yen Outlook: USD/JPY Holding Critical Support for Now
USD/JPY set a lower-high last week even as DXY spiked up to a fresh two-year-high. And there’s now a short-term descending triangle formation setting up in the pair.
Yen futures gain bullish traction, bears weigh on EUR/USD: COT report
While traders pushed net-long exposure to the USD to a 20-week high, there is also been a notable pickup of long yen bets. They're also piling into EUR/USD shorts, which is why I continue to suspect USD/JPY and EUR/USD may converge and move lower.
USD/JPY Forecast: Can the bull run survive as Fed rate rethink caps long bond yields?
USD/JPY's rally faces a critical test as diminishing Fed rate bets threaten to stall the relentless rise in US bond yields. With key data and FOMC minutes on tap, could this be the week the bulls lose their grip?
USD/JPY Weakness Curbs Threat of Currency Intervention
The decline in USD/JPY may curb the threat of a currency intervention as the rally following the US election seems to be unraveling.
Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY Slips as Traders Reconsider a BOJ Hike in December
Traders are now pricing in 50/50 odds for both a BOJ rate hike and a Fed rate cut in December, setting USD/JPY up for volatility around key economic reports.
USD regains bullish stride, EUR/USD and USD/JPY look set to converge
The USD index defied the 3-day retracement that dared to defy its bullish trend and now appears on the cusp of a breakout. While this could signify EUR/USD dropping below 105, it may also equate to a bullish breakout on USD/JPY.
Japanese Yen Technical Outlook: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY
Yen weakness has hung around and USD/JPY and GBP/JPY both retain bullish appeal. But for those looking for Yen-strength, perhaps in anticipation of next month’s policy review from the BoJ, EUR/JPY could hold greater attraction.
USD/JPY outlook: Yen sliding to intervention territories
The focus for the USD/JPY is now turning to the potential for intervention from Japan. The USD/JPY is now inside the intervention zone between 155.00 to 160.00, where we saw a couple of manipulation efforts from Japanese authorities in the summer. Against this risk, the USD/JPY outlook is far from certain despite the ongoing strong bullish trend.
Japanese Yen Short-term Outlook: USD/JPY Bears Charge Uptrend Support
US Dollar reversed off technical resistance last week with USD/JPY now testing initial trend support. Battle lines drawn on the USD/JPY short-term technical charts.
USD/JPY Rebounds as BoJ Ueda Pledges to Support Economic Activity
USD/JPY may further retrace the decline from the yearly high (161.95) as BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda insists that ‘monetary policy will continue to firmly support economic activity.’
USDJPY, Silver Analysis: Dollar Rally Risks vs Yen and Silver
USDJPY, Silver Forecast: The US Dollar’s rally has pushed the yen to levels increasing Bank of Japan intervention risks and pressured silver to retest a critical yearly trendline, raising caution over potential further upward movements in the dollar.