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Bullish bets on the yen continue to gain traction: COT report

We may have seen an important swing low on the yen looking at the change of speculative market positioning. And that could see a much deeper pullback on USD/JPY.

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USD/JPY forecast: Payrolls pivotal for bullish bond breakout, yen rally longevity

A bullish breakout in US bonds has sent USD/JPY tumbling below 150, with payrolls now poised to decide whether the yen’s surge gains momentum or fizzles out. Could this be the pivotal moment for bond markets and the Fed's rate path?

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USDJPY Forecast: Yen Strengthens Ahead of NFP Week

USDJPY Forecast: Friday's rise in Tokyo CPI from 1.8% to 2.2% drove USDJPY below the critical 150 level. A pivotal week of US economic data ahead, including ISM PMIs and Non-Farm Payrolls, is set to heighten volatility risks for the pair.

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November 29, 2024 07:31 PM
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USD/JPY: Inflation surprise fuels yen surge, 200DMA break boosts downside risks

USD/JPY is tumbling, breaking through its 200-day moving average after Tokyo’s inflation data shocked to the upside. With US Treasury yields losing steam and thin markets amplifying moves, traders are eyeing a deeper downside flush. Could the yen’s resurgence have more room to run?

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November 29, 2024 12:55 PM
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USD/JPY crumbles as Treasury futures surge: key signals to watch

After USD/JPY’s dramatic plunge, the focus shifts to what’s next. Is this just the beginning of further downside, or could a rally toward the 200-day moving average provide fresh opportunities for shorts? Here's what signals from US Treasuries reveal on near-term directional risks.

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November 28, 2024 09:31 AM
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US Dollar Forecast: USD/JPY Gives Back Post-US Election Rally

USD/JPY trades to a fresh monthly low (150.46) as it gives back the advance following the US election.

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By : David Song
November 28, 2024 06:50 AM
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US Dollar Snaps Back, USD/JPY Descending Triangle Breakdown

USD/JPY bears have gone to work over the past two weeks, holding a lower-high even as USD spiked last Friday. And then forcing a breakdown from the descending triangle formation to test below the 151.95 level.

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Japanese Yen Technical Forecast: USD/JPY Bears Emerge

USD/JPY broke below a major support pivot this week with the bears now threatening a larger correction. Battle lines drawn on the weekly/daily technical charts.

Forex trading

EUR/USD, USD/JPY Forecast: Two trades to watch

EUR/USD rises cautiously ahead of German GFK data & post-Fed minutes. USD/JPY falls to a 3-week low ahead of US core PCE data.

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November 27, 2024 08:30 PM
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USD/JPY: Bearish break signals deeper slide as US yields retreat

USD/JPY bulls are on the back foot as US bond yields retreat, triggering a key technical break. With Scott Bessent’s bold fiscal plan easing fears and Fed rate cut bets fading, the pair now skews firmly to the downside.

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November 27, 2024 09:21 AM
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Trump Bump Price Action Setups: Gold, Bitcoin, EUR/USD, SPX

It’s been a fast-evolving market since the Presidential election three weeks ago. But stocks remain higher, Bitcoin has put in a major move and gold is on its back foot.

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Japanese Yen Outlook: USD/JPY Holding Critical Support for Now

USD/JPY set a lower-high last week even as DXY spiked up to a fresh two-year-high. And there’s now a short-term descending triangle formation setting up in the pair.

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Yen futures gain bullish traction, bears weigh on EUR/USD: COT report

While traders pushed net-long exposure to the USD to a 20-week high, there is also been a notable pickup of long yen bets. They're also piling into EUR/USD shorts, which is why I continue to suspect USD/JPY and EUR/USD may converge and move lower.

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USD/JPY Forecast: Can the bull run survive as Fed rate rethink caps long bond yields?

USD/JPY's rally faces a critical test as diminishing Fed rate bets threaten to stall the relentless rise in US bond yields. With key data and FOMC minutes on tap, could this be the week the bulls lose their grip?

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USD/JPY Weakness Curbs Threat of Currency Intervention

The decline in USD/JPY may curb the threat of a currency intervention as the rally following the US election seems to be unraveling.

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By : David Song
November 22, 2024 04:15 AM
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Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY Slips as Traders Reconsider a BOJ Hike in December

Traders are now pricing in 50/50 odds for both a BOJ rate hike and a Fed rate cut in December, setting USD/JPY up for volatility around key economic reports.

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USD regains bullish stride, EUR/USD and USD/JPY look set to converge

The USD index defied the 3-day retracement that dared to defy its bullish trend and now appears on the cusp of a breakout. While this could signify EUR/USD dropping below 105, it may also equate to a bullish breakout on USD/JPY.

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Japanese Yen Technical Outlook: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY

Yen weakness has hung around and USD/JPY and GBP/JPY both retain bullish appeal. But for those looking for Yen-strength, perhaps in anticipation of next month’s policy review from the BoJ, EUR/JPY could hold greater attraction.

Currency prices

USD/JPY outlook: Yen sliding to intervention territories

The focus for the USD/JPY is now turning to the potential for intervention from Japan. The USD/JPY is now inside the intervention zone between 155.00 to 160.00, where we saw a couple of manipulation efforts from Japanese authorities in the summer. Against this risk, the USD/JPY outlook is far from certain despite the ongoing strong bullish trend.

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November 20, 2024 11:00 PM
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Japanese Yen Short-term Outlook: USD/JPY Bears Charge Uptrend Support

US Dollar reversed off technical resistance last week with USD/JPY now testing initial trend support. Battle lines drawn on the USD/JPY short-term technical charts.

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USD/JPY Rebounds as BoJ Ueda Pledges to Support Economic Activity

USD/JPY may further retrace the decline from the yearly high (161.95) as BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda insists that ‘monetary policy will continue to firmly support economic activity.’

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By : David Song
November 19, 2024 02:56 AM
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USDJPY, Silver Analysis: Dollar Rally Risks vs Yen and Silver

USDJPY, Silver Forecast: The US Dollar’s rally has pushed the yen to levels increasing Bank of Japan intervention risks and pressured silver to retest a critical yearly trendline, raising caution over potential further upward movements in the dollar.

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November 18, 2024 08:00 PM