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USDJPY, Gold Forecast: Bulls Recharge on Tariff and Inflation Risks

USDJPY, Gold Forecast: Trade war risks between the world’s two biggest economies, the US and China, weaken the dollar and boost haven momentum on gold, and Yen recharges strength against dollar with rate hike projections.

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Yesterday 10:27 PM
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China Tariffs Persist, Oil's Retracement Deepens

Despite the delayed tariff agreements between the US, Mexico, and Canada, the 10% US tariffs on Chinese imports remain in effect as of today. Meanwhile, bearish sentiment dominates crude oil, with prices dipping back below $72

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February 4, 2025 07:40 PM
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Euro Technical Analysis: EUR/USD Spill as Threat of Trump Tariffs Hits Euro

Trump tariffs are zeroing in on Europe although there’s still a large amount of uncertainty. The pair responded to the threat with a strong sell-off at the open, that it’s now trying to claw back.

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Tariff Truce Before the Trade War Even Starts? USD/CAD and USD/MXN in Focus

Will we see progress toward a tariff truce today? USD/CAD and USD/MXN traders seem to think it's possible.

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February 4, 2025 01:54 AM

EURUSD, Gold Forecast: Markets Spiral on Trade War Risks

EURUSD, Gold Forecast: As Trump tariff risks involving Canada, Mexico, China, and the EU return to the headlines, the US Dollar Index (DXY) surged on inflation momentum, while global markets plunged. However, safe-haven assets may remain resilient.

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February 3, 2025 07:35 PM
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Wall Street gaps lower, ASX under pressure following Trump’s tariffs

It has been another turbulent start to the week for Wal Street and ASX 200 futures, as traders react to Trump's tariffs.

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AUD/USD weekly outlook: Make or break for AUD, CNH around key levels

Trump's tariffs and divergent monetary-policy expectations between the RBA and Fed are weighing on AUD/USD. But whether it can hold above the January low could come down to whether USD/CNH breaks above its 2022 high.

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Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Pandemonium on Trump Tariffs

It was a busy week and it looks like it’ll be a busy weekend, as well, with 25% tariffs set to go in-effect from the United States on Canada. This could lead to a volatile open on Sunday in the pair.

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USD/CAD and USD/MXN Forecast: Trump Tariffs to Start this Weekend?

The Trump administration has officially confirmed that new tariffs will take effect on Saturday, February 1, including a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico and a 10% tariff on Chinese goods - see how it's impacting markets.

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February 1, 2025 06:25 AM
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GBPUSD Holds Rebound, Dow Eyes Record High

GBPUSD, Dow Forecast: Despite the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold rates and Trump’s tariff threats, GBPUSD remains near the 1.24 mark, while the Dow Jones trades near its record highs. Will these rallies continue?

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January 31, 2025 08:43 PM
Research

USD/CAD spikes to 5-year high as Trump's tariffs come knocking

Well, Trump's tariffs are not going away. In fact, they're on Canada's doorstep. And that was enough to send USD/CAD to a 5-year high late in the day on Thursday, which only adds to the excitement of month end flows and messy price action.

Yen Steadies as BOJ Hikes Rates; Gold Eyes 2,800$

USDJPY, Gold Forecast: The Japanese Yen stabilizes amid the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) rate hike decision, while gold surpasses the $2,730 barrier eyeing all-time highs.

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January 24, 2025 08:13 PM
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US flash PMIs unlikely to play ball with Trumps easing demands

You don’t need a degree in economics to see Trump’s demands for lower rates flies in the face of a strong US economy. And with Trump likely to try and strong arm the Fed into lower rates, we’re back onto the topic of Fed independence.

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January 24, 2025 12:47 PM
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EURUSD, USDCAD: Markets on Edge Ahead of Concrete Trump Policies

EURUSD and USDCAD: EURUSD is stabilizing near the 1.04 zone, while USDCAD is holding near the 1.440 zone. Tariff risks, monetary policies, and economic negotiations are expected to lead to concrete breakouts, as markets await clear policies from the White House.

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January 23, 2025 11:30 PM
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Crude Oil, Nasdaq Analysis: Sanctions, Earnings, and AI

Crude Oil, Nasdaq Analysis: While oil’s future remains shaped by overproduction and sanction risks, Nasdaq’s trend reflects haven momentum, driven by the tech sector’s resilience and continuous advancements.

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January 22, 2025 09:00 PM
Research

AUD/USD joins the yuan for the ride, though FX volatility cuts both ways

It has been a volatile week for FX traders so far this week, and one which has benefitted AUD/USD and yuan bulls. While both could extend their moves if US-Sino relations remain as warm as they first appear, traders would also be wise to remember volatility cuts both ways. Especially when Trump is waving his executive-order pen around.

Gold nuggets

Gold Forecast: Tepid Trump Tariff Talk Has Bulls Eyeing Record High

Gold buyers may now be turning their eyes upward for a retest of the record highs near $2790 in the coming days, if not a breakout to $2800+.

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January 22, 2025 06:48 AM

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EURUSD, Gold Forecast: EURUSD Holds Above Parity, Gold Tests $2730 Resistance

EURUSD, Gold Forecast: EURUSD sustains its rebound above parity, while gold tests the $2730 resistance. Trump's return to the markets challenges the sustainability of the bullish rebounds.

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GBPUSD, Dow Jones Forecast: Rebound Mode On

GBPUSD, Dow Jones Forecast: The pound has managed to hold above the 1.20 barrier, while the Dow continues its rebound from the 42,000 level. This week’s volatility risks center around Trump’s return, UK employment data, PMI reports, and Netflix earnings.

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January 20, 2025 07:17 PM
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King Dollar's Trump Rally: What Does it Mean for Macro?

The U.S. Dollar just finished its strongest quarter in more than nine years, but a continuation of that theme may not be a great thing for U.S. equities, or the EUR/USD pair.

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Crude Oil Outlook: 4-Year Support vs OPEC December Decision

Crude Oil Outlook: With several challenges facing OPEC’s meeting today, crude oil’s 4-year support zone remains pivotal in determining its next move—will it result in a bearish breakout or a bullish reversal?

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December 5, 2024 07:56 PM
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US Dollar: A Contrarian Perspective on How Trump’s Second Term Could Weaken the USD

How a shift in trade policy, the extension of tax cuts, the appointment of Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary, and potential threats to Federal Reserve independence could pave the way for a weaker greenback under Trump.

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December 5, 2024 05:57 AM
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Gold Goes for Recovery After Bitcoin, Trump-Fueled Pullbacks

Gold just finished its worst month in more than a year, and Bitcoin was a big beneficiary as anti-fiat flows drove into crypto-currencies following the Presidential election win of Donald Trump.

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December 3, 2024 04:03 AM