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Trump Bump Price Action Setups: Gold, Bitcoin, EUR/USD, SPX

It’s been a fast-evolving market since the Presidential election three weeks ago. But stocks remain higher, Bitcoin has put in a major move and gold is on its back foot.

Market chart

AUD slammed on Trump tariffs, even though we’ve seen this movie before

True to his campaign promise, Trump is playing hardball with tariffs. But will he deliver, or is this simply a classic Trump-bargaining chip? Regardless, AUD/USD is getting caught up in the headlines.

Gold trading

Yields, gold slump on Trump Treasury pick, ceasefire deal

It's not every day you see gold plunge alongside yields. But that is what Monday served on reports of a potential ceasefire in Gaza and Trump's picking a relatively 'safe pair of hands' for the US Treasury Secretary role. With a prominent swing high on gold, I suspect it could be headed much lower from here.

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Bitcoin Pauses as Fed Mulls a December Pause – Cryptoasset Weekly Update (November 17, 2024)

Bitcoin is showing signs of fading bullish momentum, hinting at pullback potential before another leg higher.

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Bitcoin Forecast: Is the Rally Losing its Steam?

Bitcoin Forecast: After the DXY pulled back from the 107-mark, Bitcoin retraced to the 86,000 level, reflecting a slight cooling in Trump-driven market momentum. Is the 100,000 mark still within reach?

Federal_reserve

USD, yields jolted as Fed hesitant to be ‘over-easy’ ahead of Trump 2.0

The expected 25 cut was delivered. But the Fed were understandably cautious regarding future cuts, given they don't know which or how many of Trump’s inflationary policies will see the day of light. And that means the current pullback on the USD and yields could be limited.

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USD/JPY, yields reaccelerate on Fed pushback, Trump's electoral resurgence

With Trump leading in some polls and Fed members continuing to push back against a faster pace of easing, bond traders were quick to send yields and therefor the USD higher. USD/JPY now has 152 within sight.

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US politics, PCE inflation, PMIs, BOC: The Week Ahead

Whether it is Biden stepping aside or Trump grabbing headlines with policy hints, it is difficult to see US politics taking a back seat next week. Fed watchers have the US PCE inflation report to look forward to, and global central bank watchers have flash PMIs. The BOC are expected to cut rates, but will they signal more next week?

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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA rises with Trump & Fed Powell in focus

U.S. stocks point to a higher start as traders assess the implications of an assassination attempt on former U.S. President Donald Trump and ahead of a speech by Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell later today. Earnings are also in focus with numbers from Goldman Sachs and BalackRock.

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July 15, 2024 11:39 PM
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USD/JPY takes 161, Bond yields rise on prospects of Trump round 2

Another day, another handle for USD/JPY which rose to a fresh multi-decade higher. Bond yields also continued to rally after the Biden-Trump debate, which has markets concerned that a more inflationary presidency under Trump seems the more likely outcome.

Research

USD/JPY toys with fresh 38-year high ahead of PCE, Trump, Biden in focus

Japan’s officials would like to think they have slowed the decline of the yen to a degree on Thursday, following their latest threats of intervention. However, traders could simply be taking a cautious approach ahead of Friday’s US inflation report, which is keeping USD/JPY just below its 38-year high.

Research

European Open: Trump announces presidential rerun, NATO in focus

We knew it was coming, but now it is official. Trump will run for the Whitehouse once more. But perhaps more pressing is today’s emergency NATO meeting.

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European Open: Trump announces “big announcement” on mid-term eve

I think we all know what the big announcement will be (and no, it likely won’t be the release of his tax returns).

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November 8, 2022 04:13 PM
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Celebrity stocks: how celebrities impact the stock market

When celebrities invest, it causes speculators to go into overdrive, but the relationship works both ways. When celebrities show negative feelings toward a company, it can send the markets reeling. Find out more about the celebrity stock phenomenon.

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June 24, 2021 09:31 PM
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What will it mean for the US Dollar if Senate passes extra stimulus? DXY, EUR/USD

If the bill is passed, the US Dollar should continue to weaken

December 30, 2020 12:55 AM
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Currency pair of the week: EUR/USD

Just as with Europe, a crisis (Brexit) has been averted in the US (stimulus package)

December 28, 2020 07:37 PM
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Biden Has Officially Won – What’s Next for Traders?

We can look at the moves we’ve seen since election night as a harbinger of the short-term trends to expect in the coming days and weeks

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November 7, 2020 11:24 PM

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Election 2020: Key Outstanding States to Watch and What the Market Reaction Means

With no clear answer on election night, see the timelines for key states and our interpretation of the market's reaction

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November 4, 2020 09:55 PM
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LIVE BLOG: 2020 Election Results and Analysis

Be sure to refresh this page throughout the election to get the latest insights from our global analyst team!

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November 4, 2020 01:21 PM
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Election 2020: Links to Review ALL of Our Election Analysis

See our full suite of election-focused articles to prepare for our Election Night Live Blog!

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November 2, 2020 11:52 PM
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Election 2020: A State-by-State and Hour-by-Hour Playbook

See the schedule of key states and races traders will be watching on Election Night!

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October 29, 2020 11:05 PM
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Election 2020: Final “State of the Race” and What’s Priced In to Markets?

If you expect a close, highly-contested result where neither candidate concedes, there may be more potential for a volatile, downside move in global equity markets and risk-sensitive currencies.

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October 28, 2020 01:38 AM

[VIDEO] The 2020 Election: Insights on Latin America and Commodities

What will the 2020 Election mean for Latin American economies and commodities? We discuss with two experts!

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October 27, 2020 09:17 PM