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Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Strength on Trump Tariff Threat
USD/CAD finished the year above 1.4000 for the first time since 2002. Threats of tariffs from President-elect Trump have had a big impact in USD/CAD, but this can also bring risk to the U.S. side of the equation.
EUR/USD Halts Three-Day Selloff to Keep RSI Out of Oversold Territory
EUR/USD halts a three-day selloff to keep the Relative Strength Index (RSI) out of oversold territory.
Australian Dollar Short-term Outlook: AUD/USD Bears Lay in Wait
Australian Dollar is poised to mark a fifth-weekly loss with AUD/USD testing trend support into the yearly open. Battle lines drawn on the short-term technical charts.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Follows Up Strongest Year Since 2010
Gold gained 27.23% in 2024, the strongest yearly gain since 2010. But the prior episode led to a significant top in 2011 as gold prices then went nine years without a fresh ATH.
Oil Price Forecast: WTI Surges into 2025 as Bulls Go for the Break
Oil prices rallied more than 10% off the December lows with WTI attempting to breakout of a six-month downtrend. A multi-timeframe view of the oil technical charts.
USD/CAD Rebound Pushes RSI Back Towards Overbought Zone
USD/CAD extends the rebound from the weekly low (1.4338) to push the Relative strength Index (RSI) back towards overbought territory.
Iron Ore Bears Eye Simandou Shock in 2025
A tidal wave of high-grade supply from Guinea’s Simandou project threatens to crush iron ore prices in 2025. With Chinese port inventories near record highs and global steel output faltering, the $100 iron ore era looks increasingly shaky. Bears have waited years for fundamentals to reassert themselves; next year could finally be their moment.
British Pound Forecast: GBP/USD Pushes Below May Low to Eye 2024 Low
GBP/USD trades below the May low (1.2446) as it extends the decline from earlier this week.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Poised for January Breakout
Gold defended support for a sixth week with the January opening-range taking shape just above. Battle lines drawn on the XAU/USD weekly technical chart.
EUR/USD Opens 2025 with Fresh Two-Year-Low: 1.0200 Next Big Level Down
EUR/USD is opening 2025 with a fresh two-year-low as sellers extend the bearish trend that started earlier this week. Parity is an obvious point of interest but there’s a big spot of possible support along the way at the 1.0200 handle.
Top 2025 Trades: Bullish U.S. Equities (After a Pullback)
Stocks continued with strength in 2024 and with a market-friendly administration taking over in the United States, the backdrop is open for continuation of equity gains.
Is EUR/USD Primed for Parity in 2025?
It was a brutal Q4 for EUR/USD as the pair had its most bearish quarterly outlay since Q3 of 2022. But – that prior instance marked a key low and the final month of Q4 showed a higher-low in the pair.
Why I have my eyes on a bearish prize for EUR/JPY in 2025
Divergent monetary policies between the ECB and BOJ alongside trade wars and demand for safety could make things tricky for EUR/JPY bulls in 2025.
Gold Prices Move to Close Out Strongest Year Since 2010
It was a banner year for gold prices which are currently showing a 26% gain for 2024 – but it was the 40% rally from February into October that dominated the narrative for gold prices this year.
Canadian Dollar Outlook: USD/CAD into 2025, Trump Tariff Threat Looms
USD/CAD is closing out its strongest year since 2015. But that prior episode led to a mean-reverting market that held for the next nine years.
The Return of the Carry Trade in USD/JPY: Top 2024 Surprises
For a couple months the carry trade in USD/JPY unwound as volatility spiked around-the-world. But even with the Fed holding in a cutting posture, the carry trade came back in Q4.
Top Trades of 2025: USD/JPY short
The trend is your friend, but in this case, I am going against that notion to provide a short fundamental idea on the rallying USD/JPY for 2025. That doesn’t mean you need to step in right away, but only once the appropriate bearish pattern emerges and we have a confirmation of a top.
Gold in 2024: Records, Risk, and a Break from Old Relationships
Gold’s relentless 2024 rally has defied strong dollar headwinds and rising yields, smashing records and flipping traditional relationships on their head. Is it still a safe haven, or has the game changed for good?
Trade to watch: Will EUR/USD hit parity in 2025?
With the ECB set to continue cutting rates and the Fed set to cut at a slower pace EUR/USD trades around 1.04. With Trump coming into power, the outlook for EUR/USD remains weak.
Hot chocolate: The scolding trade of 2024
An unfortunate combination of factors drove the price of cocoa futures through the chocolate factory's roof in 2024. And unless circumstances change, large chocolate drops could be off the menu in 2025.
Top surprises in 2024 – AUD/USD
Despite the RBA remaining hawkish for much of the year, the AUD/USD got toasted nevertheless.
2025 Technical Forecast for U.S. Equities
It was a banner year for stocks and the last time the S&P 500 rallied by this much over a two-year period, the index continued with a strong outing in 1999.
US Dollar Forecast: EUR/USD Defends Yearly Low to Keep RSI Above 30
EUR/USD appears to be defending the yearly low (1.0333) as it rebounds from a fresh monthly low (1.0343).