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US Dollar In Focus for the Election: Rates, Stocks Set for Volatility

The US Dollar was very strong in October as rising odds of a Trump win started to get priced-in to markets, but can equities avoid a pullback if longer-term US rates continue to fly-higher?

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S&P 500 Forecast: Stocks Grind as Yields Jump into the Election, FOMC

S&P 500 futures pulled back again last week and as yields have continued their run-higher, there’s more potential for greater pullbacks ahead. Both the election and FOMC can bring impact on both fronts.

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Dow Jones forecast: Stocks struggle amid election uncertainty, mixed data and oil selling

As we head deeper into a pivotal week and a half, several high-impact events could shape market direction. Investors are bracing for a series of earnings reports from major companies, often referred to as the "Magnificent 7" stocks, alongside the US monthly jobs report. These, combined with the US election on November 5, represent a series of risk events that could sway investor sentiment and thus impact the Dow.

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20231218 - 001 - 01

Dow forecast: Key data, earnings and US election all coming up

As we head into a pivotal week and a half, several high-impact events could shape market direction. Investors are bracing for a series of earnings reports from major companies, often referred to as the "Magnificent 7" stocks, alongside the US monthly jobs report. These, combined with the US election on November 5, represent a series of risk events that could sway investor sentiment and thus impact the Dow forecast.

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S&P 500 Outlook: Positive Earnings Drive Optimism but Election Risks Loom

The S&P 500 has shown resilience, with US stocks rebounding on the back of strong earnings reports today. Positive surprises from major companies, such as Tesla, and strong performances in Europe are helping to stabilise sentiment.

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Nasdaq 100 outlook dims on soft data ahead of Apple and Amazon earnings

Following the big tech-fuelled rally on Wall Street, the major US indices fell back, with the Nasdaq 100 being down about 2.5% at the time of writing. We had a number of weaker-than-expected US economic reports, in particular the ISM services PMI, while mixed technology earnings results and a more hawkish Federal Reserve and Bank of England policy decisions (and not forgetting the Bank of Japan), all weighed on risk appetite.

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Nasdaq 100 forecast: FOMC, META, AAPL and AMZN in focus

Today's gains were largely driven Nvidia’s 11% surge, as beaten-down chipmakers rallied. Meanwhile, softer economic data further boosted bets that the Fed will signal a rate cut in September, with the potential for two more cuts being priced in before the year is out. The Nasdaq 100 forecast remains bullish from a technical point of view with the index holding above a key bullish trend line.

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August 1, 2024 02:26 AM
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S&P 500 Forecast: A Path to Recovery After Tech Wreck

While the tech sector's struggles have dominated headlines, it's crucial to note that the broader stock market's performance is not solely dependent on the "magnificent 7" group of tech stocks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average reached its fourth consecutive record high on Wednesday, driven by sector rotation. The small-cap Russell 2000 index has also posted substantial gains lately, spurred by last week's inflation report showing consumer prices falling to 3.0% year-over-year in June.

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July 18, 2024 09:35 PM
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S&P 500 forecast: Tech stocks continue to defy gravity

Supporting stocks today was news of another weaker-than-expected inflation report. Treasury yields fell as a slowdown in producer prices measure of inflation bolstered the case for the Federal Reserve to cut rates this year.

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June 14, 2024 12:00 AM
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Nasdaq 100 forecast: Will AI optimism fuel breakout in Apple?

US technology stocks extended their gains shortly after the open on Wall Street, helping the Nasdaq 100 to add to Wednesday's surge to new record highs, before pulling back slightly on profit-taking ahead of Friday’s key US jobs report.

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S&P 500 outlook: Correction risks growing - Technical Tuesday

Stocks have not responded in the usual way of cheering on weaker-than-expected data. The questions, are we finally headed for a long overdue correction now? The S&P 500 outlook is not bearish yet from a technical viewpoint, but the potential is there for that to change in the coming days.

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Nasdaq 100 forecast: Stocks drop ahead of busy week

Friday’s Core PCE data failed to reduce fears over "higher for longer" narrative on interest rates, ahead of a busy week for economic events. Risk appetite is also waning amid a lack of major fresh bullish catalysts.

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S&P 500 analysis: Apple earnings and NFP in focus after Fed’s mixed signals

S&P 500 analysis: Investors interpret Fed as slightly less hawkish than expected, but macro concerns remain. Attention turns to Apple, expected yo report a 10% decline in iPhone sales, before Friday's release of NFP and ISM services PMI.

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DAX outlook remains unfavourable despite support from earnings

Earnings have helped to lift the mood so far in today's session, but risk appetite could be limited amid ongoing geopolitical risks and uncertainty over interest rates outlook. DAX technical analysis shows the German index is still residing in a bearish channel, despite the bounce.

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Reddit IPO: Everything you need to know about trading Reddit

Find out everything we know about the Reddit IPO including the date, share price, valuation and how to trade Reddit stock.

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March 21, 2024 03:05 PM
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This might be the most important chart in the financial world right now

Especially for those traders who like to dabble in markets exposed to currency or interest rate risk.

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March 7, 2024 04:03 PM
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Everything you need to know about the Golden Goose IPO

Golden Goose is an Italian footwear brand seeking a valuation of 3 billion euros on the Milan stock exchange. Learn more about the company’s rapid international growth ahead of its IPO.

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February 8, 2024 04:52 AM

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Nasdaq 100 analysis: US futures rebound but will stocks take a breather after big rally?

Investors consider key risks facing stocks, with Core PCE inflation coming up, ahead of FOMC and NFP next week. European stocks surge on LVMH earnings beat. Meanwhile, Nasdaq 100 technical analysis shows some warnings signs for bulls.

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January 26, 2024 11:30 PM
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Panera IPO: Everything you need to know about the Panera Bread Brand IPO

Learn everything you need to know about Panera Bread and other companies included in the conglomerate ahead of Panera Brands’s IPO.

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January 25, 2024 02:29 AM
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Fanatics IPO: Everything You Need to Know About Fanatics

Fanatics is reportedly projecting about $8 billion in revenue in 2023, excluding trading card rights, ahead of a potential IPO.

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January 22, 2024 09:54 AM

Nasdaq 100 Forecast: “Magnificent Seven” Q4 2023 Earnings Preview

The Magnificent Seven stocks made up more than 100% of the S&P 500's earnings growth last year - how will their Q4 earnings fare?

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Turo IPO: Everything You Need to Know About Turo

Turo, a leading player in the peer-to-peer car-sharing industry, is reigniting its ambitions to become a publicly traded entity through an IPO.

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January 19, 2024 10:38 AM
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Nasdaq analysis: Outperforming US stocks join global meltdown

In the wake of the dovish rate-cut euphoria that had propelled stocks to record highs at the close of the previous year, many investors are now left wondering whether they pushed stocks too high, too soon.

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January 18, 2024 04:30 AM