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S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Forecast: Battle Lines Drawn as Trump Tariffs Hit

U.S. equity indices are up more than 3% YTD ahead of the Trump tariffs- resistance in view. Battle lines drawn on the SPX500, NDX and DJI weekly technical chart.

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S&P500 Forecast: SPX rises after in line inflation & Apple earnings

US stock markets are heading higher after the Fed's preferred gauge for inflation brought no nasty surprises and remained muted in December, supporting further reductions in interest rates. Apple beat forecasts on the top and bottom line, helping the share price jump by 4% pre-open.

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S&P500 Forecast: SPX muted ahead of Fed rate decision & big tech earnings

US stocks are heading for a mixed start. They steadied following the sharp selloff at the start of the week, inspired by the cheaper DeepSeek AI model. Attention is on the Federal Reserve rate decision, where policymakers are expected to leave rates unchanged and could adopt a cautious stance. Mega-cap tech earnings kick off, with Microsoft, Meta, and Tesla set to release after the close.

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January 30, 2025 01:24 AM

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U.S. Dollar, USD/JPY: Are Yen Carry Unwind Fears Driving the Global Sell-Off?

Fear drove early-session U.S. trade and this stands in stark contrast to just a week ago, when equities were driving to all-time-highs after the inauguration of President Trump.

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S&P 500 Bounces After Massive Gap-Down on DeepSeek AI Fears

It was a crude way to open a massive week, as fears of the AI rally being overblown obscured a loaded economic calendar.

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January 28, 2025 03:19 AM
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Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Forecast for the Week Ahead: FOMC, Core PCE

Stocks continued to rally last week with another drive after President Trump’s inauguration. Now we get to hear from the Fed and then Friday brings an important piece of inflation data.

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S&P 500 Forecast: The Index Continues to Reach New All-Time Highs

The current confidence prevailing in the U.S. stock market has allowed the S&P 500 to set a new all-time high at 6,130 points.

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January 25, 2025 04:38 AM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX inches lower ahead of Trump's WEF speech

U.S. stocks are trading mixed, with the S&P 500 hovering around all-time highs in a cautious mood ahead of Trump's speech later today. Corporate earnings and economic data will also be in focus. Trump is due to speak at the World Economic Forum at 11 am ET and could provide more clues into policy measures.

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January 24, 2025 01:52 AM
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S&P 500 Analysis: Conflicting signals arise just off its all-time high

The S&P 500 cash market settled just 4 points from its all-time high. Yet a reversal candle and unfavourable market positioning send a warning to bulls, yet recent history suggest this setup could be bullish.

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January 23, 2025 12:49 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX rises modestly as the market asses Trump's trade outlook

US stock futures are rising amid relief in the market from a slightly more measured inauguration speech. President Trump did not lay out concrete plans for universal tariffs, bringing initial relief. Since then Trump has mentioned plans to implement trade tariffs on Canada and Mexico. Oil extends losses on Trump's plans to increase output.

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January 22, 2025 01:25 AM
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King Dollar's Trump Rally: What Does it Mean for Macro?

The U.S. Dollar just finished its strongest quarter in more than nine years, but a continuation of that theme may not be a great thing for U.S. equities, or the EUR/USD pair.

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S&P 500 analysis: Can US stocks continue positive momentum?

Investors are closely monitoring key macroeconomic indicators, including jobless claims and retail sales data today, for clues about the health of the US economy and the Fed’s policy trajectory. For as long as we don’t see big surprises, mildly positive surprises in these areas could reinforce the market’s optimism and provide further fuel for the S&P 500.

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January 17, 2025 12:00 AM
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SPX Jumps, Yields Soften After CPI Data

Stocks are putting in a big move and 10-year Treasury Notes are showing the largest decline in yields since last August, just before stocks bottomed.

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January 16, 2025 03:07 AM
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Pre-CPI USD Price Action Setups: SPX Pullback after DXY Stretch

Tomorrow’s CPI report seems quite important given the run-higher in U.S. Treasury yields that’s taken place even as the Fed has continued to cut. This could have an outsized effect on USD-pairs, bonds and SPX.

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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX rises after PPI data & gradual trade tariff reports

U.S. stocks are heading for a positive open on Tuesday, boosted by softer US PPI data ahead of tomorrow's CPI figures and by hopes of gradual trade tariffs from Trump. PPI rose 3.3% YoY in December, below the 3.4% forecast. Reports that Trump's team could adopt a gradual approach to trade tariffs are also helping the mood and bringing treasury yields modestly lower. Fed speakers are in focus later today.

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January 15, 2025 01:17 AM
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S&P 500 Finishes Off Election Gap as 10-Year Yields Jump After FOMC Cut

Yields on 10-year Treasuries have risen as much as 120 bps from the low just before the FOMC’s first rate cut of this cycle, and now it’s starting to negatively impact equities.

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January 14, 2025 02:30 AM
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S&P 500 outlook: Will strong NFP, rising yields trigger stocks sell-off?

The market was already repricing US interest rates higher in recent days and week, amid expectations of inflationary policies under Donald Trump, when he takes office later this month. But the surprising strength of US labour market means traders have now shifted the full pricing of the next Fed rate cut to October.

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January 11, 2025 02:30 AM

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U.S. Dollar Price Action Setups: EUR/USD, USD/CAD, SPX

The U.S. Dollar just finished its strongest quarter in nine years, and stock prices remain elevated, as well. This sets the stage for a volatile 2025 as explained in this webinar.

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S&P500 Forecast: SPX rises with chip stocks leading the way

U.S. stocks are pointing to a higher start, adding to Friday's rally as investors buy into technology stocks based on continued optimism surrounding AI . Attention is also on the economic calendar, which ramps up this week as volumes pick up and trades return from the festive break. The highlight will be Friday's NFP report, which will be the first significant test for the markets.

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January 7, 2025 01:13 AM
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Top 2025 Trades: Bullish U.S. Equities (After a Pullback)

Stocks continued with strength in 2024 and with a market-friendly administration taking over in the United States, the backdrop is open for continuation of equity gains.

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January 1, 2025 06:30 PM
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2025 Forecast for US Equities (Fundamental)

It was a banner year for stocks and the last time the S&P 500 rallied by this much the index continued with a strong outing in 1999.

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December 24, 2024 12:33 AM
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S&P 500 forecast: Stocks rebound after FOMC-linked drop, but caution prevails

The recent bearish trend isn’t confined to the S&P 500. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has experienced its first 10-day losing streak since 1974, shedding nearly 2,900 points over two weeks from its highest to its lowest points.

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December 20, 2024 01:23 AM
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S&P 500 forecast: US tech stocks maintain strong performance ahead of central bank meetings

After a strong performance throughout the year, there are still no major signs of the trend turning bearish for the S&P 500 heading into the final weeks of the 2024. For that reason, we have no reason to adjust our S&P 500 forecast to bearish just yet from a technical point of view, even macro concerns are plentiful.

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December 13, 2024 01:29 AM