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S&P500 Forecast: SPX muted as trade worries ease & ahead of Amazon earnings

US stocks enter a muted open as investors' focus shifts back to earnings and US data as trade war fears subside. US jobless claims and Challenger job cuts were higher than expected ahead of tomorrow's non-farm payroll report. Amazon will report after the close and attention will be squarely on the cloud business and AI after Alphabet and Microsoft disappointed.

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Today 01:01 AM
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USD/CAD Forecast: The Canadian Dollar Points to a New Bullish Bias

USD/CAD has declined more than 3% over the past three sessions, with movements favoring the Canadian dollar.

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Yesterday 03:07 AM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX falls as Alphabet disappoints & trade concerns weigh

US stocks point to a weaker open on Wednesday as traders digest a slew of corporate earnings as well as ongoing trade tensions between the US and China. Alphabet is falling 7% pre-market after revenue missed forecast, the cloud computer revenue growth slowed, and worries over plans for huge capital expenditure, despite DeepSeek's cheaper AI model.

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Yesterday 01:13 AM

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USD/MXN Update: The Mexican Peso Holds Amid Temporary Tariff Suspension

After a long session of indecision in USD/MXN movements, during which the pair surged by more than 4%, the Mexican peso has managed to recover nearly all of its losses and remains in a neutral zone against the U.S. dollar.

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February 5, 2025 04:29 AM
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Nasdaq100 Forecast: QQQ subdued with trade tariffs & Alphabet earnings in focus

US stocks point to a subdued open as investors remain cautious about fears of a US-China trade war. However, tech earnings offer some distraction. Alphabet is due to report after the close, with EPS of $2.12 expected on revenue of $96.6 billion.

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February 5, 2025 01:16 AM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX slumps as Trump trade tariffs fuel trade-war fears

US stocks are set to open lower after President Trump unveiled tariffs against key trading partners over the weekend, fueling fears of a full-on trade war. The tariffs will take effect on Tuesday and include 25% duties on Canada and Mexico and 10% on China. The measures could increase inflationary pressures, giving the Fed less room to cut rates.

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February 4, 2025 01:08 AM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX rises after in line inflation & Apple earnings

US stock markets are heading higher after the Fed's preferred gauge for inflation brought no nasty surprises and remained muted in December, supporting further reductions in interest rates. Apple beat forecasts on the top and bottom line, helping the share price jump by 4% pre-open.

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February 1, 2025 01:18 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises post-Fed, big tech earnings in focus

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are heading higher after the Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged and amid a post-earnings boost from mega-caps Meta and Tesla. Microsoft is falling after earnings. US GDP was weaker than forecast at 2.3% annualised.

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January 31, 2025 01:37 AM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX muted ahead of Fed rate decision & big tech earnings

US stocks are heading for a mixed start. They steadied following the sharp selloff at the start of the week, inspired by the cheaper DeepSeek AI model. Attention is on the Federal Reserve rate decision, where policymakers are expected to leave rates unchanged and could adopt a cautious stance. Mega-cap tech earnings kick off, with Microsoft, Meta, and Tesla set to release after the close.

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January 30, 2025 01:24 AM
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U.S. Dollar Holds Support, Stocks Come Back to Life - Fed, ECB Coming Up

Stocks are clawing back losses from the weekly open even as the U.S. Dollar has bounced from a spot of support. The rest of this week is expected to be very busy on the macro front.

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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ tumbles as DeepSeek sparks a $1 trillion tech rout

The U.S. is set for a steeply lower open, with tech stocks leading the charge lower as Chinese startup DeepSeek triggers a $1 trillion tech selloff. AI darling Nvidia is on track for its steepest decline in history. Separately, the US and Colombia pull back from the brink of a trade war.

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January 28, 2025 01:28 AM
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US flash PMIs unlikely to play ball with Trumps easing demands

You don’t need a degree in economics to see Trump’s demands for lower rates flies in the face of a strong US economy. And with Trump likely to try and strong arm the Fed into lower rates, we’re back onto the topic of Fed independence.

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January 24, 2025 12:47 PM
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US Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD Post-Trump Plunge Tests Support

US Dollar is trading into key support at the monthly lows on the heels of President Trump’s inauguration. Battle lines drawn on the DXY short-term technical charts.

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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ jumps on Trump's AI investment plans

U.S. stocks are set for a positive opening as investors assess comments from President Trump on his plans for AI infrastructure and possible trade tariffs and digested more corporate earnings. The Nasdaq is soaring, outperforming its peers after Trump announced a $500 billion investment in AI infrastructure. The project will see OpenAI team up with Oracle and Softbank in the Stargate project. Separately Netflix beat earnings forecasts and added 19 million new subscribers.

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January 23, 2025 12:57 AM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX rises modestly as the market asses Trump's trade outlook

US stock futures are rising amid relief in the market from a slightly more measured inauguration speech. President Trump did not lay out concrete plans for universal tariffs, bringing initial relief. Since then Trump has mentioned plans to implement trade tariffs on Canada and Mexico. Oil extends losses on Trump's plans to increase output.

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January 22, 2025 01:25 AM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA set for strong weekly gains ahead of Trump's inauguration

U.S. stocks are heading higher on Friday, with the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones set to book the strongest weekly advances since November. Investors are waiting for further clues regarding Tump’s policies next week. Treasury yields have dipped this week and the USD has fallen, helping lift sentiment.

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January 18, 2025 01:38 AM
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EUR/USD Update: The Euro Remains Weak Due to Dovish ECB Comments

The EUR/USD has dropped over 8% from the peak levels seen in September 2024.

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January 17, 2025 07:07 AM

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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA falls as retail sales slowed & banks earnings impress

U.S. stocks are heading for a mixed start after weaker-than-expected data keeps rate cut hopes alive and as banks’ quarterly results continue to roll in. Retail sales rose 0.4% MoM and jobless claims rose 217k. However, this is a fine balance, the market won't want to see data weaken too much. Elsewhere Morgan Stanley and Bank of America continued the strong start to earnings season.

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January 17, 2025 01:07 AM
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USD/MXN Forecast: The Mexican Peso Recovers Slightly After CPI

Over the past three sessions, USD/MXN declined by more than 2%, benefiting the Mexican peso.

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January 16, 2025 09:25 AM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA jumps as core CPI cools & banks earnings roll in

U.S. stocks are surging higher following cooling US inflation data and after banks kick off earnings season on the front foot. US CPI rose 2.9% YoY up from 2.7% in November. Core CPI eased to 3.2% easing some inflationary worries. pulling treasury yields and the USD lower while lifting stocks. US banks kicked off earnings on a positive note with JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo posting solid profits.

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January 16, 2025 01:30 AM
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Pre-CPI USD Price Action Setups: SPX Pullback after DXY Stretch

Tomorrow’s CPI report seems quite important given the run-higher in U.S. Treasury yields that’s taken place even as the Fed has continued to cut. This could have an outsized effect on USD-pairs, bonds and SPX.

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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX rises after PPI data & gradual trade tariff reports

U.S. stocks are heading for a positive open on Tuesday, boosted by softer US PPI data ahead of tomorrow's CPI figures and by hopes of gradual trade tariffs from Trump. PPI rose 3.3% YoY in December, below the 3.4% forecast. Reports that Trump's team could adopt a gradual approach to trade tariffs are also helping the mood and bringing treasury yields modestly lower. Fed speakers are in focus later today.

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January 15, 2025 01:17 AM
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U.S. Dollar Bulls Push Fresh 2-Year Highs Ahead of CPI

USD bulls continue to push and this week brings another installment of CPI, which has been a bullish driver for the Greenback since the Fed’s start of a rate cutting cycle in September.

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January 14, 2025 06:27 AM