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USD/JPY, Nikkei 225: Fed’s dovish disappointment sees Japanese markets take flight

USD/JPY and Nikkei 225 futures are surging in Asia, benefitting from a market recalibration of how much the Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates next year. The weaker yen is helping to boost sentiment surrounding Japanese exporter earnings, seeing Japan’s benchmark equity index knocking on the door or key resistance.

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September 19, 2024 12:42 PM
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Nikkei 225 bulls and bears wage war, explosive move incoming?

Nikkei futures look like a market where bulls and bears are waging war, all while the price continues to coil up within a symmetrical triangle, waiting for a potential explosive break.

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September 18, 2024 04:32 PM
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Nikkei 225, Hang Seng show signs of life at their lows

The rebound on Wall Street indices on Wednesday gave an extra spring in the step for APAC equities today. But can the Hang Seng and Nikkei extend their own rallies from here?

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September 17, 2024 02:25 PM

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ASX 200 futures reach a record high, Nikkei tussles with its 200 EMA

ASX 200 futures rose to a record high on Monday night, which could see the ASX 200 cash market gap higher and run for its own record high today. We're also looking at a potential bullish reversal on the Nikkei's 4-hour chart.

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September 17, 2024 08:23 AM
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USD/JPY, Nikkei could have some more mean reversion up their sleeves

Wall Street indices snapped a 4-day losing streak on Monday and the US dollar recovered from its cycle lows, which could bode well for USD?JPY and the Nikkei 225.

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September 10, 2024 08:21 AM
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USD/JPY, Nikkei 225 weekly forecast: No news is good news as US recession fears recede

USD/JPY and Nikkei 225 have reclaimed important levels, benefitting from mounting evidence that fears over a looming US recession may have been premature. With the onus now on the data to prove the US economy is entering recession rather than isn’t, and with no major data out next week, you get the sense recent bullish moves may extend in the days ahead.

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Nasdaq 100, Nikkei 225 weekly forecast: Momentum plays turn US economic proxies

They may be poles apart geographically and their composition, but these two momentum-driven markets have morphed into avid US economic watches over the past month. That means if you want to get clues on directional risks next week beyond price signals, you better pay attention to the US economic calendar.

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August 11, 2024 01:00 PM
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Nikkei 225, USD/JPY remain beholden to the US interest rate outlook

US interest rate expectations are becoming increasingly influential on Japan’s Nikkei 225, both through the FX channel impacting forecasts for exporter earnings and sentiment towards the outlook for global economic growth. Other factors, such as commentary from BOJ, come across as secondary factors for now.

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USD/JPY surges as BOJ admits it can be bullied by markets in major capitulation

Shinichi Uchida, Deputy Governor of the Bank of Japan (BOJ), says the bank won’t hike interest rates when markets are unstable, delivering a clear message on what traders need to do to prevent them doing so again: create volatility.

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August 7, 2024 12:20 PM
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USD/JPY, Nikkei 225: Seeds for risk rout reversal were sown hours before it started

I don’t blame traders for panicking in markets like these. There’s so much noise and so much hysteria, usually accompanied by countless charts resembling waterfalls. But one thing experience brings you is the ability to step back and look at the things that matter to gauge whether the panic is justified.

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August 6, 2024 11:33 AM
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USD/JPY, AUD/USD dive with index futures as volatility erupts

Wall Street’s post-NFP selloff was fully embraced in Asia, with the Nikkei plunging double digits, dragging USD/JPY to a 7-month low and AUD/USD falling over 2% in less than an hour.

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August 5, 2024 05:18 PM
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USD/JPY, Nikkei 225: Watching yield spreads for clues on when the rout may reverse

If the Nikkei 225 outlook is a function of moves in the Japanese yen due to the impact on exporter earnings, what should traders monitor to gauge when USD/JPY may bottom? Because right now, the risk-off tone in FX is flowing through to equities, feeding upon one other to create an ugly snowball effect in Japanese markets.

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August 5, 2024 10:42 AM
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Nikkei buckles under the pressure of tech selloff, stronger yen

Thursday’s Wall Street selloff has been fully embraced by the Nikkei in today’s Asian session, which sank to a 5-month low due to risk-off trade and a stronger yen.

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August 2, 2024 02:18 PM
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AUD/JPY tumbles like we’re in a crisis, Nikkei hammered by stronger yen

You don’t see unwinds of Japanese yen carry trades like we’re seeing right now outside of crisis periods. It doesn’t feel like we’re in a crisis, making me wonder just how long the current bearish move will last?

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July 25, 2024 10:41 AM
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NZD/USD skids on China concerns, Nikkei bounces into US tech earnings

NZD/USD looks terrible on the charts, weighed down by the RBNZ’s dovish pivot and renewed concerns towards the outlook for the Chinese economy. While that cyclical play looks ill, a bounce in Nikkei 225 futures has provide a decent long setup into US tech earnings.

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July 23, 2024 09:51 AM
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China A50 could be teeing up for a rebound, Nikkei 225 remains trapped

The China A50 has shown early signs of stabilising around support levels after a 4-week decline. The bear case for the Nikkei is not dead, but it may be sleeping whilst it remains rangebound on the weekly chart.

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June 18, 2024 12:12 PM
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AUD/USD looks set to pop higher, Nikkei and Nasdaq diverge

Forex markets mostly retraced against Wednesday's CPI and FOMC moves. And that may have set AUD/USD up nicely for a cheeky long into the weekend. The Nikkei however is down for a third day after failing below key resistance levels.

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USD/JPY, Nikkei pause at resistance as US CPI, FOMC looms: Asian Open

The next 24 hours will be the eight time in 10 years that a US CPI report lands on the same day as an FOMC meeting, and it has traders on tenterhooks. Today we look at USD/JPY, Nikkei 225 and the ASX 200.

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GBP/JPY eying bullish break to fresh multi-decade highs

GBP/JPY is coiling up and primed to fire, sitting in a strong uptrend while bumping up against horizontal resistance dating back to when the Bank of Japan initiated a record FX market intervention to support the Japanese yen in April.

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June 3, 2024 03:56 PM
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Nikkei 225 tracks Wall Street higher, gold bears eye another drop

Asian indices were quick to rally out of the gate on Monday after a strong lead from Wall Street, sending Nikkei futures 1% higher. Gold looks worse for wear and we eye a potential move down to $2300.

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June 3, 2024 12:33 PM

ASX 200, Nikkei 225 futures diverge from Wall Street: Asian Open

Downwardly revised GDP for the US in Q1 weighed on Wall Street indices ahead of a key inflation report, yet the ASX and Nikkei managed to bounce form their lows. We look at where we think they might head next.

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The Nikkei 225 has been added to my watch (out below) list

The Nikkei has been grinding higher in recent weeks, but with momentum turning lower at resistance and asset managers are increasing longs, perhaps it's ready for a leg or two lower.

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May 29, 2024 04:30 PM
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Nikkei 225 faces crucial technical test as USD/JPY correlations go AWOL

Japan’s Nikkei 225 faces an important technical test today, pushing back to towards a resistance zone it’s been unable to break for weeks. With risk appetite rampant and softer yen helping to juice the earnings outlook for exporters, if bulls can’t reclaim the ascendancy today, when will they ever?

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May 15, 2024 09:08 AM