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ASX 200 analysis: I’m not banking on a record high despite softer CPI
The ASX 200 index is eyeing a record high. But with SPI 200 futures dragging its heels below resistance looms and the Fed unlikely to cut soon, an immediate breakout is not on my horizon. Even though an eventual breakout seems inevitable.
AUD/USD, ASX 200: Inflation Miss Sets Stage for First RBA Rate Cut Since 2020
Cooling inflation pressures have reignited speculation of an RBA rate cut, marking a potential shift in Australia’s monetary policy landscape. AUD/USD tests key support as ASX 200 SPI futures eye record highs.
EUR/AUD taps out, Wall Street could throw the ASX a lifeline (for now)
They may have come close to testing the limits of my bearish bias, but we finally saw momentum turn south for EUR/AUD and the ASX 200. However, with Wall Street indices looking steady above key support levels, a cheeky bounce could be due before the anticipated losses resume.
ASX 200 teases bears with a potential swing high
The ASX 200 looks like it could be setting up for a dip lower, but whether it is a big or small dip is likely down to whether Wall Street holds above its December lows.
ASX 200 Analysis: Santa’s rally timing could be down to the Fed
A decent bullish reversal candle has formed on the ASX 200 on Tuesday, which begs the question as to whether Santa’s rally is about to kick into gear. Although it is the FOMC meeting within the next 24 hours which could decide when or even if it starts at all.
Nasdaq’s record high scoffs at Dow’s worst run in 12 years, ASX follows
Wall Street indices are just not on the same page at the moment, with the Nasdaq hitting a record high, while the S&P 500 trading sideways and the Dow chalks up its worst daily bearish streak in 12 years. And that's not good for the ASX.
AUD/USD support dependent on USD/CNH resistance, ASX set to bounce?
AUD/USD made a minor recovery from its 13-month low late on Wednesday, but whether it can muster up the strength for a decent bounce likely sits in the hands of USD/CNH. Although the ASX 200 could be set for a bounce with the Nasdaq reaching a record high and the S&P 500 close to its own ATH.
AUD/USD clings to key trendline heading into US inflation
A dovish RBA meeting and stronger US dollar ahead of a key US inflation report has kept AUD/USD pinned to a key support level. And odds of it making a meaningful recovery this week appear low, without a surprise downside miss from US CPI. Which again, seems unlikely.
EUR/AUD turns higher, ASX 200 falters on sluggish Australian growth
Today's growth figures are unlikely to force the RBA into any easing action, but it has been enough to weigh on the Australian dollar and ASX 200. And this could allow EUR/AUD to continue higher after a 4-day retracement.
ASX hits record high in thin trade, but double top clouds the outlook
ASX 200 futures (SPI 200) were allowed to print a fresh record high on a daily-close basis. Yet 8500 remains a clear level of resistance, and one which prompted a potential bearish reversal pattern.
With Wall Street bucking its Thanksgiving trend, the ASX could struggle
Wall Street indices took the relatively rare step of ignoring its tendency to rally ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday, and price action suggests there could be deeper pullback. Which may not bode so well for ASX 200 bulls who may be sleeping behind their wheel around a record high.
Market Wrap: Bitcoin Nears $100K, Gold and Crude Oil Stay Bullish
Welcome to Friday! Bitcoin inches closer to $100K, with spot and futures markets hitting record highs. Gold breaks above its 50DMA, bolstering bullish picture, while crude oil builds momentum despite lighter volumes. ASX 200 futures remain a buy-on-dips play, edging closer to record highs. EUR/USD stays under pressure, hitting fresh 2024 lows.
Dow wobbles, Nasdaq holds its own, ASX futures today with break of 8200
Wall Street indices displayed their first signs of doubt following Trump’s election victory last week, with the Dow leading losses on Tuesday. Weak sentiment from China has also weighed on ASX futures overnight.
S&P 500, ASX 200 are on the ropes, but help may be at hand
A brutal day for risk sent Wall Street indices lower on Thursday, but support levels and the tendency for stocks to rise on the week of a US election could help the S&P 500 and ASX 200. Assuming the wheels don't truly fall off first.
ASX 200 toys with bearish breakdown, don’t write of the China A50 yet
A potential bearish reversal pattern suggests a drop to 7900 for the ASX, but only if it clears a support cluster first. China's A50 still looks solid above 13k to my eyes, despite yesterday's selloff.
Australia Q3 inflation report preview: AUD/USD, ASX 200 SPI technical focus
Australia’s Q3 inflation report is the sole remaining domestic data release that could meaningfully influence the outlook for interest rate settings from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) this year, making Wednesday’s report a key event for AUD/USD and ASX 200 SPI futures traders.
ASX 200, China A50 look set to bounce: Asian Open
The bounce for the ASX nay end up being short lived, but price action suggests bulls might sneak in a 'last hurrah' over the near term. Meanwhile the China A50 continues to hold its ground and hint at a bounce of its own.
AUD/JPY, ASX 200: Wall Street cracks emerge as USD, yields extend surge
The USD and yields continued to surge following the release of the Fed's beige book. That, alongside a fast-approaching and tight US election race, is prompting Wall Street traders to reassess their exposure. Yet the fallout on ASX 200 futures was limited, and while AUD/JPY might retrace lower we still have an initial target around 102.
USD/JPY flirts with 150, ASX futures track Wall Street, eyes record high
Thin trade on Monday allowed the USD to sneak in a 10-week high, prompting USD/JPY to square up to 150 once more. The ASX 200 might even reach a record high of its own today, with SPI futures tracking Wall Street higher overnight.
ASX 200: The long and short of it – Oct 4, 2024
We take a look at the ASX 200 futures chart and identify bullish and bearish sectors of interest, to aid with index or stock analysis.
Dow Jones, ASX futures remain firm while the Nasdaq struggles
Appetite for risk may have had a wobble, yet the Dow Jones and ASX 200 futures markets remain relatively close to their record highs. Unlike the Nasdaq 100, which has been left behind during recent bouts of risk on.
AUD/USD, ASX futures rattled after Fed cut by 50bp, AU jobs up next
Well, that settles that. The Federal Reserve cut their cash rate for 50bp, which is their largest sized cut since the pandemic. And it made for a volatile ride for AUD/USD and ASX 200 futures ahead of today's Australian jobs report.