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GBP/USD, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch
GBP/USD inches higher ahead of the non-farm payroll report. Oil rises but is set for worst weekly loss in 3-month
USD/JPY, USD/CAD, AUD/USD key levels into Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)
The US dollar fell for a second day after the Fed closed the door on any further hikes. And that places today’s nonfarm payroll report (NFP) into focus. But given NFP’s tendency to beat estimates in recent history, perhaps the US dollar could be setting itself up for a bounce. We take a look at key levels for US dollar index, USD/JPY, USD/CAD and AUD/USD.
USD/JPY: Toppy US bond yields, BOJ intervention threat mean the game has changed
The suspected intervention from the BOJ this week has changed the game for USD/JPY, placing a rather large barrier in the way of further upside at a time when US bond yields were already looking toppy.
S&P 500 analysis: Apple earnings and NFP in focus after Fed’s mixed signals
S&P 500 analysis: Investors interpret Fed as slightly less hawkish than expected, but macro concerns remain. Attention turns to Apple, expected yo report a 10% decline in iPhone sales, before Friday's release of NFP and ISM services PMI.
Crude Oil Analysis: USOIL and Saudi Aramco Base Oil Test Significant Lows
WTI Crude Oil prices are on edge as anticipation mounts ahead of June's pivotal OPEC meeting
Gold and silver analysis: XAG/USD nears major support
Precious metals have been hit by profit-taking, strong USD and reduced rate cut bets in recent weeks. However both gold and silver remain in dip-buying mode, with prices no longer extremely overbought. Silver technical analysis suggests that XAG/USD could rebound from breakout area circa $25/$26 zone.
EUR/USD, USD/JPY Forecast: Two trades to watch
EUR/USD is rising post-Fed on USD weakness. USD/JPY steadies after another suspected intervention.
Gold forecast: Upside potential in focus as USD mulls a pullback
The break above $2300 for gold was accompanied by strong volumes, and with the US dollar mulling a pullback it could benefit gold further over the near term.
WTI crude oil forecast: Key moment looms with bullish uptrend under threat
WTI crude was looking suspect even before Wednesday’s significant swoon, leaving the price teetering on key uptrend support dating back to the Fed’s rate cut pivot in December. Should it give way, there’s not standing between a larger flush to the mid-$70 per barrel region.
Another BOJ intervention may have just stole the show from the Fed
It was the Japanese yen which stole the show after Jerome Powell’s press conference, with USD/JPY falling over 450 pips on another suspected BOJ intervention.
EUR/USD analysis: US dollar in focus as attention turns to FOMC and NFP
US dollar is in sharp focus as investors' attention turn to FOMC policy decision next and NFP data on Friday, after the ISM Manufacturing PMI and JOLTS jobs opening data disappointed expectations.
GBP/USD, USD/JPY Forecast: Two trades to watch
GBP/USD falls ahead of the Fed. USD/JPY pair extends its rebound ahead of the Fed & after Japanese manufacturing PMI data.
EUR/USD, USD/JPY key levels heading into ISM, employment, FOMC
The US dollar has rallied on anticipation of a more hawkish Fed ahead of today's meeting. So we take a look at key levels for EUR/USD and USD/JPY.
NZD/USD, AUD/NZD: New Zealand recession is hammering the jobs market, inflation next
New Zealand’s unemployment rate jumps more than expected despite a collapse in labour force participation, putting the Reserve Bank of New Zealand closer to cutting interest rates before the US Federal Reserve. NZD/USD fell sharply while AUD/NZD rose to new cycle highs.
US dollar ‘bull’ dog unleashed, AUD/USD crushed on eve of Fed: Asian Open
A surprise rise in US wage pressures weighed on sentiment on the eve of the Fed meeting, sending the US dollar broadly higher, Wall Street lower as AUD/USD suffered its second worst day of the year.
WTI Crude Oil Analysis: Keeping an Eye on Economic Growth Metrics
WTI Crude Oil's momentum is shifting gears from MENA tensions towards economic growth statistics
EUR/USD outlook improves on stronger Eurozone economy as focus turns to US data
EUR/USD boosted by German and Eurozone GDP expansion, although the ECB is still likely to cut in June even if the pace of subsequent cuts may be slower. US data highlights include FOMC, NFP and ISM surveys this week. Meanwhile EUR/USD technical analysis point to potential rise to $1.08.
DAX, FTSE Forecast: Two trades to watch
DAX struggles despite signs of the economy improving. FTSE rises as HSBC impresses, China manufacturing expands.
EUR/USD price action warns of downside risk ahead of key inflation and growth data
EUR/USD looks tired ahead of key inflation and GDP data from the continent later Tuesday, struggling to hold the gains which took it to two-week highs on Friday.
Nasdaq 100 forecast: The ‘downside’ to selling in May and going away
The Nasdaq 100 is poised to snap a 5-month winning streak by Tuesday's close, which begs the question as to if the old adage 'sell in May and go away' arrived a month early.
AUD/USD suffers bearish blow from softer China PMIs, ugly Australian retail sales miss
The growth engine of the Chinese economy unexpectedly decelerated last month while Australian retail sales are growing at the weakest pace on record outside one-off economic shocks, putting AUD/USD under renewed pressure on Tuesday.
Shellshocked USD/JPY holds ground, 6-day rally on AUD/USD: Asian Open
Despite the MOF's best attempts, USD/JPY is holding above 155 - a level traders are clearly watching. AUD/USD shows the potential to extend gains into 66c, but having risen for 6 days already then perhaps the upside potential it limited.
USD/JPY: Japan provides a big hint on what may prompt further BOJ yen intervention
Japanese officials had been warning for months that speculative moves in the Japanese yen would not be tolerated without elaborating on what exactly constituted a ‘speculative’ move. We may have just been provided the answer.