Matt Simpson
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USD/JPY, USD/CAD, AUD/USD key levels into Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)
The US dollar fell for a second day after the Fed closed the door on any further hikes. And that places today’s nonfarm payroll report (NFP) into focus. But given NFP’s tendency to beat estimates in recent history, perhaps the US dollar could be setting itself up for a bounce. We take a look at key levels for US dollar index, USD/JPY, USD/CAD and AUD/USD.
GBP/AUD in the crossfire of BOE and RBA meetings: The Week Ahead
As currency traders we seek divergent themes between economies in identify probable moves on currency pairs. And should we see the RBA deliver a hawkish tone whilst the BOE release the doves, it could send GBP/AUD lower alongside the respective yield differential between the two economies.
Gold forecast: Upside potential in focus as USD mulls a pullback
The break above $2300 for gold was accompanied by strong volumes, and with the US dollar mulling a pullback it could benefit gold further over the near term.
Another BOJ intervention may have just stole the show from the Fed
It was the Japanese yen which stole the show after Jerome Powell’s press conference, with USD/JPY falling over 450 pips on another suspected BOJ intervention.
EUR/USD, USD/JPY key levels heading into ISM, employment, FOMC
The US dollar has rallied on anticipation of a more hawkish Fed ahead of today's meeting. So we take a look at key levels for EUR/USD and USD/JPY.
US dollar ‘bull’ dog unleashed, AUD/USD crushed on eve of Fed: Asian Open
A surprise rise in US wage pressures weighed on sentiment on the eve of the Fed meeting, sending the US dollar broadly higher, Wall Street lower as AUD/USD suffered its second worst day of the year.
Nasdaq 100 forecast: The ‘downside’ to selling in May and going away
The Nasdaq 100 is poised to snap a 5-month winning streak by Tuesday's close, which begs the question as to if the old adage 'sell in May and go away' arrived a month early.
Shellshocked USD/JPY holds ground, 6-day rally on AUD/USD: Asian Open
Despite the MOF's best attempts, USD/JPY is holding above 155 - a level traders are clearly watching. AUD/USD shows the potential to extend gains into 66c, but having risen for 6 days already then perhaps the upside potential it limited.
USD/JPY plunges 400 pips after suspected intervention
It was supposed to be a quiet day with Japan on a public holiday. Yet the initial rally to 160 may have irked central authorities enough to ditch their supposed day off, intervene and send USD/JPY 400-pips lower.
EUR/USD, GBP/USD flip to net-short, JPY shorts near record high: COT report
There seems to be no fear in shorting then yen, given large speculators pushed net-short exposure to the second highest level on record last week. EUR/USD and GBP/USD also flipped to net-short exposure.
US dollar, yields look set to close the gap with commodities
Momentum turned higher for the US dollar on Friday and the US 2-year is reconsidering a break above 2%, which could see them close the gap with the CRM commodities index - which have led both markets higher this year.