APAC session

A tidal wave of high-grade supply from Guinea’s Simandou project threatens to crush iron ore prices in 2025. With Chinese port inventories near record highs and global steel output faltering, the $100 iron ore era looks increasingly shaky. Bears have waited years for fundamentals to reassert themselves; next year could finally be their moment.

Gold’s relentless 2024 rally has defied strong dollar headwinds and rising yields, smashing records and flipping traditional relationships on their head. Is it still a safe haven, or has the game changed for good?

An unfortunate combination of factors drove the price of cocoa futures through the chocolate factory's roof in 2024. And unless circumstances change, large chocolate drops could be off the menu in 2025.

Assuming no curveballs from the BOE today, GBP/JPY shows the potential for a breakout for bulls ahead of the weekend.

Nasdaq futures are wobbling after the Fed’s hawkish cut, but 21340 is holding firm—for now. Will this level anchor a rebound, or are deeper losses lurking just below?

New Zealand’s economy is in freefall, with a deep recession and dire GDP data sparking bets on aggressive RBNZ rate cuts. Add a hawkish Fed twist, and NZD/USD has plunged to two-year lows. Could .5515 be the next stop?

AUD/USD plunged alongside Wall Street indices following the Fed's last meeting of the year. And if Santa’s rally is to kick in at all this year, it could be to pick up some of the crumbs left during yesterday’s volatile selloff.

Two central banks, one decisive week for USD/JPY. As the Fed and BoJ set policy hours apart, the pair’s 2025 trajectory hangs in the balance.

Temporarily shifting from China proxies, AUD/USD and NZD/USD are now dancing to the tune of rate differentials. With the Fed set to update its economic projections next week, traders are eyeing a potential hawkish twist that could amplify Antipodean anguish. Will its rate signals intensify the USD’s dominance, or offer a lifeline to the Aussie and Kiwi?

There's nothing quite like a volatile whipsaw to snap traders out of a lull, and that is exactly what we saw on gold and silver prices on Thursday, during a day of heavy losses. While I suspect price action to remain choppy, I also think they'll grind lower from here.

Commodity FX pairs have failed to make much ground from the weaker yen, and with the RBA opening the door to cuts than I suspect the currency bounce on AUD/JPY could provide futile. And that there could be another large drop on the horizon..

Another strong Australian jobs report has cast doubt on the need for the RBA to reduce rates in early 2025, with evidence mounting that unemployment has peaked. Traders price more than three rate cuts over the next year, but any signs of returning inflationary pressures could spark upside for bond yields and AUD.

Gold is testing critical resistance, silver continues to climb after breaking its downtrend, and bitcoin consolidates before another potential surge. With technical and momentum signals aligning, could the stage be set for a decisive breakout across these assets?

AUD/USD made a minor recovery from its 13-month low late on Wednesday, but whether it can muster up the strength for a decent bounce likely sits in the hands of USD/CNH. Although the ASX 200 could be set for a bounce with the Nasdaq reaching a record high and the S&P 500 close to its own ATH.

With the market split on the SNB’s next move, all eyes are on Schlegel’s debut decision. Volatility is all but certain, especially with the European Central Bank’s rate cut call arriving soon after. Here’s what traders need to watch.

A dovish RBA meeting and stronger US dollar ahead of a key US inflation report has kept AUD/USD pinned to a key support level. And odds of it making a meaningful recovery this week appear low, without a surprise downside miss from US CPI. Which again, seems unlikely.