Matt Weller CFA, CMT
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USD/CAD and USD/MXN Forecast: Trump Tariffs to Start this Weekend?
The Trump administration has officially confirmed that new tariffs will take effect on Saturday, February 1, including a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico and a 10% tariff on Chinese goods - see how it's impacting markets.
FOMC Instant Reaction: Powell Threads the Needle, Longer Pause in Play?
The Fed hinted at a longer pause to interest rates but Chairman Powell ultimately minimized his impact on markets in the January FOMC meeting.
FOMC Preview: Fed Hold to Increase Pressure from Trump?
This will be the first formal FOMC meeting of President Donald Trump’s second term - what you need to know!
Gold Forecast: Tepid Trump Tariff Talk Has Bulls Eyeing Record High
Gold buyers may now be turning their eyes upward for a retest of the record highs near $2790 in the coming days, if not a breakout to $2800+.
How Have US Elections Impacted the Stock Market?
Broad stock market indices like the S&P 500 usually rise, regardless of who is in office.
How Have US Elections Impacted Gold?
Democratic presidential election wins have led to an average gold price increase of +1.5%, while Republican wins brought a -5.5% decrease on average between election day and inauguration day
US CPI Preview: How a Pickup in Inflation Could Complicate the Fed’s Job
A hot CPI report could lead traders to start asking whether the Fed’s interest rate cutting cycle may be completed already, complicating the path forward for a central bank that has clearly been hinting that the easing cycle isn’t done yet.
NFP Preview: Will US Jobs Beat Expectations for the 3rd Time in 4 Months?
Leading indicators point to a roughly as-expected reading in this month’s NFP report, with headline job growth potentially coming in somewhere in the 150-200K range
Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY Bullish Breakout Rejected…So Far
A confirmed bullish breakout in USD/JPY above the top of the range could target 160.00 in short order, whereas a bearish breakdown could open the door for a deeper retracement toward 154.00.
Canadian Dollar Forecast: PM Trudeau Resigns, USD/CAD Uptrend Intact
USD/CAD is bouncing off its lows after Canadian PM Trudeau resigned, triggering a leadership race and likely early federal election.
2025’s Biggest Surprise: Could China’s Economy Fall Off a Cliff?
Chinese consumer confidence is weak, domestic consumption remains muted, and unemployment among youth has surged, raising concerns about unrest and long-term stagnation.