David Scutt
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USD/JPY Technical 2025 Outlook Preview
USD/JPY enters 2025 at a crossroads. Rising US yields, hawkish Fed pivot, and expansionary fiscal policies could fuel more dollar strength, but BoJ moves and carry trade vulnerabilities may keep yen downside in check. The year ahead promises to be an eventful one.
USD/JPY Fundamental 2025 Outlook Preview
USD/JPY enters 2025 at a crossroads. Rising US yields, hawkish Fed pivot, and expansionary fiscal policies could fuel more dollar strength, but BoJ moves and carry trade vulnerabilities may keep yen downside in check. The year ahead promises to be an eventful one.
Nasdaq Bounce or Break? 21340 Becomes the Battleground
Nasdaq futures are wobbling after the Fed’s hawkish cut, but 21340 is holding firm—for now. Will this level anchor a rebound, or are deeper losses lurking just below?
NZD/USD: Kiwi Craters as Deep Recession Fuels RBNZ Rate Cut Bets
New Zealand’s economy is in freefall, with a deep recession and dire GDP data sparking bets on aggressive RBNZ rate cuts. Add a hawkish Fed twist, and NZD/USD has plunged to two-year lows. Could .5515 be the next stop?
AUD/USD, USD/CAD, NZD/USD: Commodity Currencies Hitch a Ride on China’s Yield Curve Rollercoaster
Commodity currencies are dancing to the tune of Chinese bond yields, with AUD/USD, USD/CAD, and NZD/USD locked in striking correlations. The Fed’s dot plot may stir the pot later today, but China’s yield curve rollercoaster isn’t slowing down anytime soon.
NZD/USD: Rebound Hopes Rise but Fed Rate Path Remains Key
NZD/USD has been as flightless as its namesake in 2024, but with a hawkish Fed rate cut expected and signs of life at home, could the Kiwi finally be ready to spread its wings?
USD/JPY, Nikkei 225: Yen Slides, Equities Eye Breakout on Rising US Yields
USD/JPY breaks higher as surging US yields keep the yen under pressure. Nikkei 225 traders are taking note, pushing futures towards the top of the recent range before the Fed and BoJ rate decisions – is a bullish breakout on the menu?
USD/JPY weekly outlook: Fed and BoJ decisions to ignite FX market volatility
Two central banks, one decisive week for USD/JPY. As the Fed and BoJ set policy hours apart, the pair’s 2025 trajectory hangs in the balance.
AUD/USD, NZD/USD: Fed Meeting cements shift from China proxy to rates play
Temporarily shifting from China proxies, AUD/USD and NZD/USD are now dancing to the tune of rate differentials. With the Fed set to update its economic projections next week, traders are eyeing a potential hawkish twist that could amplify Antipodean anguish. Will its rate signals intensify the USD’s dominance, or offer a lifeline to the Aussie and Kiwi?
AUD/USD: Sudden unemployment slide casts doubt on need for RBA rate cuts
Another strong Australian jobs report has cast doubt on the need for the RBA to reduce rates in early 2025, with evidence mounting that unemployment has peaked. Traders price more than three rate cuts over the next year, but any signs of returning inflationary pressures could spark upside for bond yields and AUD.
Gold, Silver, Bitcoin: Momentum builds as bulls eye breakouts
Gold is testing critical resistance, silver continues to climb after breaking its downtrend, and bitcoin consolidates before another potential surge. With technical and momentum signals aligning, could the stage be set for a decisive breakout across these assets?