David Scutt

David Scutt 125

David Scutt

Market Analyst

Expertise: Macroeconomics/fundamentals, strategy, market education

Trading Style: Swing

Experience:

• Former FX spot, forwards and money markets securities dealer/trader with more than 10 years’ experience working in bank treasury

• Managing interest rate and liquidity risk

• Regularly featured in publications such as Reuters, Wall Street Journal and Australian Financial Review

• Ex markets and economics editor for Business Insider, covering macroeconomic and major market events in Asia


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USD/CNH: Testing 7.3000 as Yuan Faces Fresh Tariff Headwinds

Back-to-back U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports have put the yuan under pressure, fueling a bullish USD/CNH breakout. But after briefly topping 7.3000, the pair has pulled back, hinting at possible intervention from Beijing. Will resistance hold, or is another attempt to set fresh record highs on the cards?

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British Pound Forecast: GBP/USD Teeters Following Another Tariff Tantrum

Trump’s tariff escalation has markets rattled, sending GBP/USD sliding toward key support. With inflation data looming and risk sentiment fragile, can the pound hold the line, or is a bigger breakdown coming?

USD/CAD Forecast: Tariff Jitters Clash with Weaker U.S. Data and Bond Bulls

USD/CAD has been grinding higher on trade war concerns, but with U.S. economic data rolling over and bond yields plunging, the rally faces mounting risks. With a key resistance zone in sight, is a short opportunity emerging?

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February 26, 2025 02:56 PM
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Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY Event Risk Piles Up with Inflation, Nvidia in Focus

USD/JPY is at a crossroads as traders shift focus to Japanese inflation, U.S. data, and Nvidia’s earnings. With bond yield dynamics evolving as central banks policies diverge, volatility could surge, making this a critical week for yen traders.

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USD/JPY Forecast: Sell the Rumour, Buy the Fact on Japan’s Inflation Surge?

Japan’s inflation just topped expectations, fueling speculation the BOJ may hike rates sooner than markets think. But with USD/JPY holding firm and bond yields reversing, has the yen’s rally run out of steam for now?

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February 21, 2025 11:18 AM
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Australian Dollar Forecast: Yield Spreads, China Rally Fuel AUD/USD upside, Countering Tariff Threat

The Aussie’s been on a tear, riding a wave of narrowing yield differentials and China’s stock market rebound. But with a key technical level in sight, will the rally have legs, or are sellers ready to pounce?

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February 21, 2025 09:44 AM
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AUD/USD Rally Wobbling as Strong Jobs Data Fails to Lift Aussie

Australia’s labour market delivered another blowout jobs report, with employment and participation hitting fresh highs. Yet, AUD/USD struggled to hold its gains, reversing as risk appetite waned in Asia. The bullish run in February is now under threat with technical signals warning of a potential pullback.

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February 20, 2025 01:27 PM
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Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY Unwind Risk Elevated as Inflation Pressures Mount

The yen’s fate may rest on Friday’s inflation report, with growing evidence that Japan’s economy is running hotter than expected. Are markets underpricing the risk of a BOJ hike?

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February 20, 2025 10:22 AM
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Swiss Franc Forecast: USD/CHF Battle Brewing at Key 50DMA

USD/CHF is back at its 50DMA, a key battleground for bulls and bears. With price action taking the lead over fundamentals, traders are watching for a decisive move—will it break higher or roll over again?

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February 19, 2025 09:33 AM
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AUD/USD Forecast: Hawkish RBA Cut Keeps Aussie Dollar Bulls in Play

The RBA delivered a widely expected 25bp rate cut but stopped short of signalling further easing. With inflation risks still in play and the labour market holding firm, markets have scaled back expectations. Will Governor Bullock shed more light on what comes next?

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February 18, 2025 03:17 PM

RBNZ Preview: Rate Guidance Key to NZD/USD Direction as 50bp Cut Looms

With a 50bp rate cut all but certain, the RBNZ’s guidance will be the real market mover. Will policymakers stick to their previous rate path, or will markets be forced to rethink their aggressive easing bets? NZD/USD sits near multi-month highs—can it launch if the central bank pushes back against dovish expectations?

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February 18, 2025 12:10 PM