Matt Weller CFA, CMT
Matt Weller CFA, CMT
Head of Market Research
Expertise: Macroeconomics, Technical Analysis, Sentiment Analysis
Trading Style: Trend/Swing
Experience:
• 15+ years trading and analysis experience covering the forex, equity, commodity, and cryptoasset markets
• Conducted over 1,300 educational webinars on different aspects of trading and trading psychology
• Analysis is regularly featured in the Financial Times, Reuters, MarketWatch and The Wall Street Journal among other outlets.
• Holds both his Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) and Chartered Market Technician (CMT) charters.
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Crude Oil Forecast: The Two Key Reasons WTI and Brent Oil Are Breaking Support Levels
Rising inventories and a recovery in the US dollar are driving the latest bout of weakness in WTI and Brent crude oil prices.
Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY Caught Between Key Levels at 152 and 155
USD/JPY is bouncing between two previous supposed “lines in the sand” for Japan’s Ministry of Finance at 152.00 and 155.00, but the risks may be tilted to more upside from here.
British Pound Forecast: GBP/USD Retests 1.26 with BOE on Tap
The risks for GBP/USD are tilted toward a topside breakout and continuation toward 1.2700 if the BOE and UK GDP play along.
DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Forecast: US Indices Recapture Key Levels on Dovish Fed, Solid Earnings
The Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 all recaptured key technical levels, carrying a bullish bias to the coming week.
NFP Preview: US Dollar Bounce Potential if Jobs Remain Strong
The US dollar is testing support and the NFP leading indicators point to a slightly above expectation reading this month, with headline job growth potentially coming in somewhere in the 200-250K range
FOMC Meeting Recap: US Dollar (DXY) Drops as Powell Feeds the Doves
The US dollar initially fell and indices rose as traders interpreted the Fed meeting and press conference as dovish.
FOMC Meeting Preview: Will the Fed Put Rate Hikes on the Table?
US dollar traders will be watching Fed Chairman Powell’s press conference and any decisions about the central bank’s balance sheet runoff as potential market-movers for the US Dollar Index (DXY)
Forex Seasonality – May 2024: Pullback Potential in EUR/USD and GBP/USD?
May has historically been the second-worst month for EUR/USD (-0.62%) and GBP/USD (-0.37%) - see what to watch for from the other major currency pairs!
EUR/USD Forecast: ECB Still Favors a Summer Rate Cut – Does that Cap Euro?
EUR/USD may have seen its bounce off 1.0600 support stall at 1.0740 – see the levels to watch moving forward!
DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Forecast: US Indices Vulnerable Through Earnings Season
The DJIA, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 all look vulnerable to more downside as long as this week’s highs hold.
US Core PCE Preview: USD/JPY Flirts with 155 Ahead of Key US Inflation Report
Diverging interest rate expectations between the Federal Reserve and the rest of the developed world have been THE biggest story of the year for FX traders (USD/JPY in particular), and Friday’s Core PCE report will be the next major test to determine if that trend will carry over into Q2