![News hero gradient](/en-uk/-/media/project/gain-capital/city-index/heros/news/news-article-lp-hero.jpg?h=278&iar=0&w=1920&hash=E65F01A375DB6E7ED1E0CD20B7E74204)
recession
Stay in step with market opportunities and get insights, actionable trade ideas and dedicated support.
Sort by:
- Newest
- Popular
![recession_01](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/0-news-and-analysis-new-header-images-2023/recession/recession_01.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=76AE66C8176A7CCA59ADF0D48D82CE5E)
Black swan events: how does black swan theory affect trading?
A black swan event can have a devastating impact on the markets and is next to impossible to predict. So how should you deal with black swans when trading?
![](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/charts5.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=2512EC454B595C1E60217A3B874B41F5)
European Open: The USD is back on the ropes as ISM renews recession fears
Weak PMI and ISM data has renewed concerns of a US recession, which saw the 10-year – 3-month hit its most negative level since the 80’s.
![Downward trend](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/downtrend-4.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=F8EE17FBD68E83D9232D526AFFD14198)
Economic depression vs recession: preparing for financial downturns
An economic depression is more severe and long-lasting than a recession, but both can wreak havoc on financial markets. Find out what the difference between a depression and recession is, and how you can prepare for a longer economic decline.
![Research](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/uptrend-2-v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=4576495A01DC9D9C061149308ACAAA72)
Growth concerns replace inflation woes
…But stock markets keep on rising for now.
![downtrend chart](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/downtrend-2v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=204E5AA1A8B070009FF6C29C4A08C3D3)
Things go from bad to worse for US stocks
Incoming economic data from the US continues to weaken, raising fears over an economic slowdown
![Close-up of market chart showing downtrend](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/downtrend5.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=16ED69B3107EF98B6DAF196A4AF1A902)
Recession worries grow in busy week for earnings and central banks
Poor PMI data underscore the challenges central banks face at a time when inflation remains very high
![Close-up of market chart showing downtrend](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/downtrend5.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=16ED69B3107EF98B6DAF196A4AF1A902)
Recession worries grow in busy week for earnings and central banks
Poor PMI data underscore the challenges central banks face at a time when inflation remains very high
![Research](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/uptrend-2-v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=4576495A01DC9D9C061149308ACAAA72)
GBP/USD could revisit 1.25 as US recession confirmed
GDP was quite poor, so there won’t be a hattrick of 75 basis point hikes in September, that’s for sure.
![Market trader analysing data](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/trader-1.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=188979235E3B262FB53B1119C38B3FB3)
US yield curve sees its deepest inversion since 2000: What does it mean for major markets?
If traders don’t have this scenario in their minds, they’re ignoring one of the biggest risk in markets right now...
![](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/energy5.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=3E59FB60BA5CD73F50D63DCC14897E9B)
Oil takes a hit as recession and Covid fears loom
The German ZEW and the continued on again/off again lockdowns in China are contributing to fears of a global slowdown or recession.
![Yen, Euros and dollar currency bills and notes](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/forex7.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=6D6ED62D523F05A882A454AD98D49661)
EUR/JPY pushes lower as recession fears set in
In addition to EUR/USD moving lower, EUR/JPY could continue lower as well, as the Yen is also considered a safe haven currency.
![Feature image of stock market figures and indices](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/stocks1v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=D340E11B161AC9BF675043BA99D48E35)
European stocks and economy vulnerable
Nothing has changed fundamentally to suggest the markets have bottomed out
![USA flag](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/usa1.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=D210721C39FC3E2916CD2FF7194C73BB)
US stocks drop as another consumer confidence barometer plunges
The slump in confidence was driven by a plunge in 'expectations' sub-index
![Bank notes of different currencies](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/forex4.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=BF3AB06A9C4C859EFCE64DDF6F3E7912)
Two trades to watch: FTSE, EUR/USD
FTSE edges lower with G7 is focus. EUR/USD rises on USD weakness
![Close-up of stock market board](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/stocks2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=54F33AB4B61EBB269E3772C940D8AC1B)
Poor PMIs underpin recession worries
This is the latest macro data to underscore worries about a sharp economic slowdown
![Molten metal](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/commodities7.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=E5C7CBB64AC6DF89DBE87870851FE177)
Dr Copper chimes in on the recession debate
The Federal Reserve (Fed) is the central bank of the United States and operates under a dual mandate to effectively promote the goals of maximum employment while maintaining price stability.
![Research](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/downtrend-2v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=204E5AA1A8B070009FF6C29C4A08C3D3)
The S&P 500 may have bounced, but the backdrop remains bleak
The S&P 500 rallied as a retracement gets underway. But that doesn’t change the fact that the bigger picture remains bleak for the bull camp further out.
![Close-up of market chart showing downtrend](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/downtrend5.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=16ED69B3107EF98B6DAF196A4AF1A902)
Why you should watch the Baltic Dry Index as recession fears grow
The Baltic Dry Index has proven to be a reliable indicator of future global economic activity and could prove a useful tool amid the uncertain outlook.
Japan falls into “recession,” USD/JPY bulls may target 13-year high around 125.00
It’s been a quiet start to the week as the world reflects on the horrific terrorist attack in Paris over the weekend. Our thoughts remain […]