President Trump
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Euro Technical Analysis: EUR/USD Spill as Threat of Trump Tariffs Hits Euro
Trump tariffs are zeroing in on Europe although there’s still a large amount of uncertainty. The pair responded to the threat with a strong sell-off at the open, that it’s now trying to claw back.
Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Pandemonium on Trump Tariffs
It was a busy week and it looks like it’ll be a busy weekend, as well, with 25% tariffs set to go in-effect from the United States on Canada. This could lead to a volatile open on Sunday in the pair.
USD/CAD spikes to 5-year high as Trump's tariffs come knocking
Well, Trump's tariffs are not going away. In fact, they're on Canada's doorstep. And that was enough to send USD/CAD to a 5-year high late in the day on Thursday, which only adds to the excitement of month end flows and messy price action.
Gold Forecast: XAU/USD Approaches All-Time Highs
Since the beginning of 2025, bullish movements have driven gold to increase by more than 5% of its total value, once again approaching its historical high near the $2,780 per troy ounce level.
US flash PMIs unlikely to play ball with Trumps easing demands
You don’t need a degree in economics to see Trump’s demands for lower rates flies in the face of a strong US economy. And with Trump likely to try and strong arm the Fed into lower rates, we’re back onto the topic of Fed independence.
King Dollar's Trump Rally: What Does it Mean for Macro?
The U.S. Dollar just finished its strongest quarter in more than nine years, but a continuation of that theme may not be a great thing for U.S. equities, or the EUR/USD pair.
Trump Bump Price Action Setups: Gold, Bitcoin, EUR/USD, SPX
It’s been a fast-evolving market since the Presidential election three weeks ago. But stocks remain higher, Bitcoin has put in a major move and gold is on its back foot.
Trump's first 100 days: the honeymoon period is over
On Saturday 29th April Donald Trump will mark his first 100 days in office. Rather than rehash his political successes and failures, we have decided to let stock market performance do the talking. We have looked at the best and worst performers in the Dow Jones Industrial Average since Trump’s inauguration on 20th January, as you can see in figure 1.
Can Trump’s tax plan lift stocks even higher?
The big news from overnight was the record high in the Nasdaq, which broke 6,000 for the first time. Tech stocks have had a stunning month with Facebook, Amazon, Netflix and Google (Alphabet), known as the “fangs” all reaching record highs, ahead of their earnings figures due out this week. But, will president Trump’s tax plan boost them further?
Markets rally like it is November 2016
European stock markets have opened marginally higher on Tuesday after Macron-mania swept over global markets at the start of the week. We expect there to be further upside, particularly if Macron can maintain his decent lead over le Pen in the run up to the second round vote on 7th May.
Weak payrolls, a great excuse to sell stocks …
The March US labour market report was full of surprises – Non Farm Payrolls came in at 98k, nearly 50% less than the market expected, […]
Is the Fed the straw that will break the camel’s back?
Stock markets are lower in Europe as the market digests the FOMC minutes, which, as we predicted, were worth staying late in the office for. […]
Will the UK Budget knock the stuffing out of sterling?
As the dollar roars back to life, the pound has come under pressure and is down nearly 2% versus the US dollar in the aftermath […]
US stocks: Why things don’t always have to give
There are so many reasons why the stock market, the US market in particular, looks overbought right now. The RSI – the relative strength index […]
Return of the buck
This is my second note of the day, a testament to how I early I woke to listen to a politically interesting, but economically dull, […]
Trump trumped by Fed, as speech fails to set markets alight
Donald Trump has delivered his first address to Congress, but the market reaction has been fairly small so far. Although Trump received rapturous applause from […]
Can Trump make volatility tremendous again?
The key event for this week will be Trump’s address to Congress later this evening, 2100 ET, 0200 GMT (Wednesday). This much-anticipated speech is worth […]
Fed minutes unlikely to derail risk rally, as markets wait for Trump
The US roared back into life after the long Presidents’ Day weekend, and US equity indices hit further record highs on Tuesday. This is becoming […]
Stocks hitting new highs as risk appetite spreading
US equity indices posted fresh record highs on Wednesday, and the FTSE 100 is less than 50 points away from its record 7,354 level reached […]
Is a stock market sell-off inevitable?
US stock markets reached another record high on Valentine’s Day, but where will they go next? As analysts and economists fret about potential sell-signals, the […]
Why currency wars may be on the back burner
President Trump has a lot on his plate at the moment, from finding a new security advisor to batting off claims he knew about General […]
Can Janet Yellen turn the Trump rally sour?
It was a strong start to the week for risky assets, as European stocks played catch up, the FTSE 250 in the UK reached a […]
The Trump trade is back on, but watch the Vix
Markets have continued Friday’s upbeat theme, futures are pointing to a strong open in the US, and the dollar is stronger across the board in […]