Crude Oil

During the final part of Q4 2024, WTI has remained within the $70 per barrel zone, fiercely resisting movements below this critical support.

See a preview of our full 2025 Crude Oil Outlook report!

Crude Oil Week Ahead: After OPEC’s fifth downward revision for 2024 oil forecasts and additional cuts for 2025, crude oil prices stabilized near their 4-year support zone, buoyed by China’s stimulus commitments and significant Middle East reforms. Will it hold on FOMC week?

Crude Oil, Gold Forecast: Following China’s commitment to a moderately loose monetary policy in 2025, demand sentiment for Chinese oil and gold has surged, pushing crude oil above $70 and gold above $2,700. Middle East tensions continue to reinforce support levels for these commodities as drastic regional developments unfold.

Crude Oil Week Ahead: The bearish outlook on oil prices for 2025 is colliding with significant Middle Eastern reforms. OPEC’s decision to extend its output cuts into 2025 has stabilized oil prices near their 4-year support zone, which will be tested this week by Chinese economic data, US inflation reports, and Middle East developments.

The lack of a more positive response after the OPEC+ meeting shows the market is disappointed and thus even lower oil prices could be the outcome. Our crude oil outlook remains modestly bearish, as before.

Crude Oil Outlook: With several challenges facing OPEC’s meeting today, crude oil’s 4-year support zone remains pivotal in determining its next move—will it result in a bearish breakout or a bullish reversal?

This could be a pivotal week for the crude oil. With key US economic data on the horizon and the OPEC+ meeting later this week to discuss oil production targets, market participants are bracing for significant developments.

Given the rise in non-OPEC supply growth, the OPEC+ will be under pressure to support prices. But the group has said that it will gradually restore withheld supplies after multiple delays. What’s more, we could see a sharp rise in US drilling activity under Trump’s plans. As a result, we could potentially see a boost in both OPEC and non-OPEC production by 2025 and beyond.

Crude Oil Week Ahead: Crude oil prices face mounting pressures between clean energy transitions, geopolitical risks, and surplus concerns for 2025. Prices are now testing a critical 4-year support zone, challenging the continuation of the broader downtrend.

Crude oil prices came off their earlier lows by mid-day in London. But the path of least resistance remains to the downside, and I would be rather surprised if a breakdown does not occur in the coming days, barring a surprise supply-side shock.

Oil prices plunged more than 8% off the monthly high with WTI approaching critical support near the yearly lows. A multi-timeframe view of the Oil technical charts.

Crude Oil Analysis: As China’s deflationary pressures deepen, OPEC cuts its oil forecasts further, and Trump’s energy agenda looms on the horizon, 2024’s geopolitical risks are set against bearish expectations for 2025.

Highlighting demand concerns, the OPEC has today cut its oil demand growth forecast again. This is the fourth month in a row that it has done so. Weak oil demand in China, the world’s largest oil consumer, remains the primary driver of falling prices.

Crude Oil Week Ahead: With volatility still restrained post-US election and FOMC week, crude oil markets remain poised for a potential breakout as key events from OPEC, the IEA, and economic data from China and the US are on the horizon. The longer the price remains within this tight range, the more significant any upcoming breakout may be.

The immediate response in the commodities space to the Republican’s clean sweep victory has been a bearish one - especially for industrial metals. Copper and silver fell over 4% each, tracking weaker iron ore prices, while gold was off by around 3%. Crude prices fell too but came sharply off their earlier lows.

Gold, Oil Outlook: Following a period of geopolitical and USD-related uncertainty, gold’s uptrend has stalled below $2,800, while oil remains in a tight consolidation below $72. Markets are calm and appear poised for a potential spark.