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Bullish bets on the yen continue to gain traction: COT report

We may have seen an important swing low on the yen looking at the change of speculative market positioning. And that could see a much deeper pullback on USD/JPY.

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Today 05:42 AM
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Gold outlook: XAU/USD stabilises but this could be short-lived

Gold has found some relief from a weaker US dollar and lower yields in the last couple of days, but it could come under renewed pressure as the greenback’s weakness could be temporary, while easing Middle East tension owing to the ceasefire agreement point to lower haven demand.

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November 28, 2024 01:00 PM
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Gold Price Forecast: Gold's 9-Month Streak at Risk into Month-End

Last week was the strongest weekly outing for gold since the regional banking crisis in 2023; but gold’s nine-month streak of gains is at risk as the metal finally pulled back in November.

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November 27, 2024 03:49 PM

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Bitcoin, Gold Analysis: Ceasefire, Holidays, and US Data

Bitcoin, Gold Analysis: Ceasefire agreements are transitioning from speculation to reality ahead of the holiday season and Trump’s upcoming term. Gold’s rally has stalled below the $2,700 mark as haven demand wanes, while Bitcoin has retreated slightly below the psychological $100,000 level.

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Gold Analysis: Technical Tuesday - November 26, 2024

Gold analysis: After the big sell-off on Monday, I will try to examine what this means for gold in terms of direction in the near-term outlook, purely from a technical point of view.

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Yields, gold slump on Trump Treasury pick, ceasefire deal

It's not every day you see gold plunge alongside yields. But that is what Monday served on reports of a potential ceasefire in Gaza and Trump's picking a relatively 'safe pair of hands' for the US Treasury Secretary role. With a prominent swing high on gold, I suspect it could be headed much lower from here.

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Gold forecast: XAU/USD drops in double dose of bearish news

Already lower on the day thanks to the risk on rally as traders reacted positively to Donald Trump’s choice of Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary, gold took another dive lower in the last hour.

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November 25, 2024 03:35 PM
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Yen futures gain bullish traction, bears weigh on EUR/USD: COT report

While traders pushed net-long exposure to the USD to a 20-week high, there is also been a notable pickup of long yen bets. They're also piling into EUR/USD shorts, which is why I continue to suspect USD/JPY and EUR/USD may converge and move lower.

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Gold Price Stages Five-Day Rally for First Time Since March

The price of gold trades back above the 50-Day SMA ($2664) as it stages a five-day rally for the first time since March.

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By : David Song
November 23, 2024 05:00 PM
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Market Wrap: Bitcoin Nears $100K, Gold and Crude Oil Stay Bullish

Welcome to Friday! Bitcoin inches closer to $100K, with spot and futures markets hitting record highs. Gold breaks above its 50DMA, bolstering bullish picture, while crude oil builds momentum despite lighter volumes. ASX 200 futures remain a buy-on-dips play, edging closer to record highs. EUR/USD stays under pressure, hitting fresh 2024 lows.

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Gold Short-term Outlook: XAU/USD Recovery Eyes Pivotal Resistance

Gold prices surged more than 4.3% this week with a four-day rally now threatening the October downtrend. Battle lines drawn on the XAU/USD technical charts.

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EURUSD, Gold Analysis: PMIs, Geopolitics, and Key Levels

EURUSD, Gold Analysis: In the FX markets, the dollar's pullback from the 107 mark continues to support positive rebounds across currencies. Meanwhile, in the precious metals market, geopolitical tensions and the dollar's cooling momentum have enabled gold to recover from steep post-election drops.

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Why I’m not relying on seasonal trends to rescue gold in December

Q4 tends to be bullish for gold, and November one of its most bullish months of the year. Yet seasonality has not met bullish plans these past few weeks, and it may not as we enter December either.

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November 20, 2024 02:54 AM
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Gold, Silver bounce: Is this the start of something bigger?

Gold and silver prices are bouncing back, fuelled by easing pressure from lower US Treasury yields and a softer US dollar. But can the move build into something greater? Here’s what’s driving the price action and the setups worth watching.

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November 20, 2024 12:28 AM
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US Dollar, EUR/USD React at Range Extremes as Gold Recovery Goes Higher

The US Dollar has finally found some resistance after filling the FOMC gap from last year, and that goes along with a EUR/USD bounce from the 1.0500 psychological level.

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Gold Price Recovery Keeps RSI Above Oversold Zone

The price of gold extends the recovery from the start of the week to keep the Relative Strength Index (RSI) above 30.

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By : David Song
November 19, 2024 03:45 PM
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Gold Price Forecast: Gold Goes for Recovery - Levels to Know

Gold has been heavily sold so far this month, but Friday showed both a doji and an inside bar after the Thursday low printed at a really big level.

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November 18, 2024 02:10 PM

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Gold, Silver eye recovery as US bond yields face near-term headwinds

Gold and silver could be primed for a recovery as US bond yields show signs of consolidation following their rapid climb. With a quiet economic calendar and fewer Fed rate cuts now priced in, a near-term ceiling on yields may shift momentum in favour of precious metals. Here's why this setup could signal a bottom for gold and silver prices.

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November 18, 2024 01:09 AM
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Gold Forecast: What Would it Take for the Fed to Pause in December?

Gold’s now testing its 100-day MA and the 14-day RSI is at its lowest level in a year, hinting at a near-term bounce.

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November 14, 2024 06:00 PM
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Gold forecast: XAU/USD extends losses amid strengthening yields, dollar

For now, the ongoing hawkish repricing of US rates after Trump's emphatic victory is keeping US dollar and yields underpinned, and buck-denominated gold undermined.

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November 14, 2024 11:17 AM
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USD/JPY, Gold: Yen, precious metals sink as US bond yields surpass election peak

US Treasury yields are surging, putting USD/JPY on a relentless climb and crushing precious metals. Traders are demanding greater retunes given the fiscal, growth and inflation outlook, and with key data and Powell's speech looming, the pressure is only building for bond markets.

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November 14, 2024 02:26 AM
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Gold Price Outlook Mired by Close Below 50-Day SMA

The price of gold may continue to give back the advance from the September low ($2472) as it no longer tracks the positive slope in the 50-Day SMA ($2650).

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By : David Song
November 13, 2024 08:00 PM
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Oil mulls bearish breakout as Trump names EPA head, gold slammed

It was a lively day’s trade on Monday with Bitcoin reaching news highs above $80k and the USD index retesting its YTD high of 105.62. WTI crude oil and gold are on the brink of breaking key levels to the downside.