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Wall Street gaps lower, ASX under pressure following Trump’s tariffs
It has been another turbulent start to the week for Wal Street and ASX 200 futures, as traders react to Trump's tariffs.
AUD/USD, ASX 200: Inflation Miss Sets Stage for First RBA Rate Cut Since 2020
Cooling inflation pressures have reignited speculation of an RBA rate cut, marking a potential shift in Australia’s monetary policy landscape. AUD/USD tests key support as ASX 200 SPI futures eye record highs.
Nasdaq 100 forecast: Tech stocks continue to thrive amid AI optimism
The Nasdaq 100 forecast remains bullish for now. Sentiment is positive mainly because the technology sector is continuing to remain the gift that keeps on giving. The latest wave of optimism has been fuelled by advancements in artificial intelligence and solid corporate earnings.
S&P 500 Analysis: Conflicting signals arise just off its all-time high
The S&P 500 cash market settled just 4 points from its all-time high. Yet a reversal candle and unfavourable market positioning send a warning to bulls, yet recent history suggest this setup could be bullish.
DAX outlook: Could Trump disrupt European markets?
With the US out, it has understandably been a quiet day so far in Europe where major indices were trading mixed but holding onto their recent impressive gains. Some of the major European indices hit new record highs last week, including the high-flying German DAX index.
Nasdaq, Russell 2000: Rates-Driven Rally or Bull Trap in Disguise?
Was last week’s Nasdaq and Russell 2000 rally driven by politics or something deeper in the rates market? Unpack the signals behind the big US stock market surge.
FTSE analysis: Could Trump disrupt record-hitting European stock markets?
The upcoming week could kick off with a bang, even though Wall Street will sit Monday out due to Martin Luther King Day. Donald Trump is set to begin his second term as US President on the same day, ensuring a headline-filled start to the trading week.
S&P 500 analysis: Can US stocks continue positive momentum?
Investors are closely monitoring key macroeconomic indicators, including jobless claims and retail sales data today, for clues about the health of the US economy and the Fed’s policy trajectory. For as long as we don’t see big surprises, mildly positive surprises in these areas could reinforce the market’s optimism and provide further fuel for the S&P 500.
USD/CNH stalls below 2023 high, China A50 rebounds from the 200 SMA
Where the US dollar index goes, USD/CNH follows. And if we're treated to a softer set of US CPI figures, it could prompt a pullback on both. This also coincides with a series of bullish clues on the China A50 index.
Nasdaq 100 outlook: Technical Tuesday - January 14, 2025
Investors are still cautious despite reports that Trump will be considering a more gradual ramp-up in trade tariffs in order to avert inflation spikes. So, more price action is needed to confirm a low has been hit, as this could just turn out to be an oversold recovery – especially given the recent bearish price action across several US indices. Thus, it is too early to turn positive again on the Nasdaq 100 outlook.
EUR/AUD taps out, Wall Street could throw the ASX a lifeline (for now)
They may have come close to testing the limits of my bearish bias, but we finally saw momentum turn south for EUR/AUD and the ASX 200. However, with Wall Street indices looking steady above key support levels, a cheeky bounce could be due before the anticipated losses resume.
S&P 500 outlook: Will strong NFP, rising yields trigger stocks sell-off?
The market was already repricing US interest rates higher in recent days and week, amid expectations of inflationary policies under Donald Trump, when he takes office later this month. But the surprising strength of US labour market means traders have now shifted the full pricing of the next Fed rate cut to October.
Nasdaq 100 analysis: Stocks at crossroads ahead of NFP
With not much in the way of macro factors to watch until the nonfarm payrolls report is released, I will provide some in-depth technical Nasdaq 100 analysis first before looking at some macro influences that could shape the markets in the weeks and months ahead.
DAX forecast: European markets edge higher but caution prevails
European stocks traded mixed with Spain’s Ibex rising to a fresh weekly high and Germany’s DAX off its earlier lows at mid-day in London as government bond yields eased off their earlier highs.
ASX 200 teases bears with a potential swing high
The ASX 200 looks like it could be setting up for a dip lower, but whether it is a big or small dip is likely down to whether Wall Street holds above its December lows.
DAX analysis: Technical Tuesday – January 7, 2025
DAX analysis: After climbing an impressive 18% last year and 20% the year before, the DAX has made a decent start to the new year, up a good 2.2% year-to-date. But it is early days and with valuations looking a little stretched and the economy not doing so well, we could see correction first before the market resumes higher.
Nasdaq 100 – Dow Ratio: Focus on Concentration Rather than Timing Risk Trends - Top Trade of 2025
Over the past year, the concentration into top market cap stocks – which aligns to tech – has pushed the Nasdaq 100 to Dow ratio well above the Dot-com peak
S&P 500 forecast: Stocks rebound after FOMC-linked drop, but caution prevails
The recent bearish trend isn’t confined to the S&P 500. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has experienced its first 10-day losing streak since 1974, shedding nearly 2,900 points over two weeks from its highest to its lowest points.
Nasdaq Bounce or Break? 21340 Becomes the Battleground
Nasdaq futures are wobbling after the Fed’s hawkish cut, but 21340 is holding firm—for now. Will this level anchor a rebound, or are deeper losses lurking just below?
AUD/USD plunges to 2-year low, Santa’s rally faces cancellation
AUD/USD plunged alongside Wall Street indices following the Fed's last meeting of the year. And if Santa’s rally is to kick in at all this year, it could be to pick up some of the crumbs left during yesterday’s volatile selloff.
ASX 200 Analysis: Santa’s rally timing could be down to the Fed
A decent bullish reversal candle has formed on the ASX 200 on Tuesday, which begs the question as to whether Santa’s rally is about to kick into gear. Although it is the FOMC meeting within the next 24 hours which could decide when or even if it starts at all.
Nasdaq’s record high scoffs at Dow’s worst run in 12 years, ASX follows
Wall Street indices are just not on the same page at the moment, with the Nasdaq hitting a record high, while the S&P 500 trading sideways and the Dow chalks up its worst daily bearish streak in 12 years. And that's not good for the ASX.