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AUD/USD, USD/CAD, NZD/USD: Commodity Currencies Hitch a Ride on China’s Yield Curve Rollercoaster

Commodity currencies are dancing to the tune of Chinese bond yields, with AUD/USD, USD/CAD, and NZD/USD locked in striking correlations. The Fed’s dot plot may stir the pot later today, but China’s yield curve rollercoaster isn’t slowing down anytime soon.

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Today 01:40 AM
Research

ASX 200 Analysis: Santa’s rally timing could be down to the Fed

A decent bullish reversal candle has formed on the ASX 200 on Tuesday, which begs the question as to whether Santa’s rally is about to kick into gear. Although it is the FOMC meeting within the next 24 hours which could decide when or even if it starts at all.

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US Dollar Forecast: AUD/USD Approaches November 2023 Low

AUD/USD approaches the November 2023 low (0.6318) as it gives back the advance from the start of the week.

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By : David Song
Yesterday 07:45 PM
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British Pound Forecast: GBP/USD Resistance Intact Ahead of Fed/BoE

British Pound is trading into resistance with the December opening-range intact ahead of the Fed / BoE. Battle lines drawn on the GBP/USD weekly technical chart.

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FOMC Preview: Cut Then “Prudent Pause” from Powell?

EUR/USD has carved out a narrow range between 1.0470 and 1.0600 and unless the Fed delivers a meaningful surprise of some sort, that range may carry over.

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Gold forecast: XAU/USD succumbing to yields, dollar strength

The metal’s struggles highlight growing expectations that the US Federal Reserve will maintain a more hawkish tone in its upcoming decision. The near-term gold forecast is starting to tilt to the downside ever so slightly.

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Yesterday 12:00 PM
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USD/JPY, gold, S&P 500 analysis: How markets have traded around Fed decisions

The USD has remained supported on expectations of a considerably-less dovish Fed. But with 'Fed day' generally being bearish for the dollar alongside its tendency to selloff into the year end, I have an inkling we're heading towards a "buy the rumour, sell the fact" for the USD.

Close-up of market chart

NZD/USD: Rebound Hopes Rise but Fed Rate Path Remains Key

NZD/USD has been as flightless as its namesake in 2024, but with a hawkish Fed rate cut expected and signs of life at home, could the Kiwi finally be ready to spread its wings?

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December 16, 2024 11:39 PM
Research

Nasdaq’s record high scoffs at Dow’s worst run in 12 years, ASX follows

Wall Street indices are just not on the same page at the moment, with the Nasdaq hitting a record high, while the S&P 500 trading sideways and the Dow chalks up its worst daily bearish streak in 12 years. And that's not good for the ASX.

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USD/CAD Pullback Keeps RSI Below Overbought Territory

USD/CAD pulls back from a fresh yearly high (1.4271) to keep the Relative Strength Index (RSI) below overbought territory

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By : David Song
December 16, 2024 04:00 PM
Market trader analysing data

GBP/USD forecast: Currency Pair of the Week – December 16, 2024

Investors are eagerly anticipating what could be the final hurrah for volatility in 2024, with the Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, as well as the BoE, all poised to reveal their rate decisions and provide outlook for the upcoming year. The GBP/USD forecast remains bearish.

Yen, Euros and dollar currency bills and notes

Net-short exposure to EUR/USD reaches 4-year high: COT report

Not only are traders increasingly long the US dollar, they are also piling into short EUR/USD bets. And that could pave the way for a sub-parity euro next year.

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USD/JPY, Nikkei 225: Yen Slides, Equities Eye Breakout on Rising US Yields

USD/JPY breaks higher as surging US yields keep the yen under pressure. Nikkei 225 traders are taking note, pushing futures towards the top of the recent range before the Fed and BoJ rate decisions – is a bullish breakout on the menu?

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December 15, 2024 10:59 PM
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