Risk Sentiment
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2025 could be one heck of a ride if bearish AUD/JPY clues are correct
As AUD/JPY is a classic barometer of risk, we should take note that all is not looking well around current levels. And if AUD/JPY tanks, it’s likely to be followed by risk in general.
How high is too high for gold?
Another week, another record high for gold. And another start to the week where I am asking myself “when is this rally going to top?”. While new highs are eventually favoured, a small pullback may not hurt first.
USD/JPY analysis: Open interest on yen futures plunged at record pace
Earlier this month I had warned that the fall on USD/JPY from the July high might already be a crowded trade. A plunge in open interest and an engulfing week on yen futures suggests I was right to be suspicious.
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UBS agrees to purchase Credit Suisse – what does that mean for sentiment?
Following tense weekend talks, UBS has agreed to purchase Credit Suisse by the end of the year for Fr 3 billion ($4.5 billion).
Turbulence turns to panic as investors seek to de-risk (BTC, SPX)
There’s a subtle yet big difference between ‘risk-off’ and ‘de-risking’, in that the latter means investors also offload their safe havens as they flock to the safety of cash.
Weekly COT Report: Metals continue to get hammered
The strong dollar and lockdowns in China have continued to see traders take a bearish stance on metals over the past four weeks.
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