All trading involves risk. Ensure you understand those risks before trading.
All trading involves risk. Ensure you understand those risks before trading.

Gold Miners Better Than Gold

Article By: ,  Senior Market Analyst
The price of gold has soared over 8% so far this week versus the US dollar. The precious metal has recovered the lost ground from earlier in the month when investors sold out of gold to cover losses elsewhere or to hold cash in a worst-case scenario mentality. 

The number of coronavirus cases are continuing to escalate and the data coming through is starting to reveal the initial impact of coronavirus on the economy. It ain’t pretty. 
However, following a “whatever it takes” mentality from global central banks and $2 trillion in stimulus in the US, the selling of gold has eased off and buyers are returning to the traditional safe haven. Month to date Gold is trading +2% higher.

Gold & Oil benefits
Rising gold prices are beneficial for those firms that mine and produce gold.  Rock bottom oil prices are also an important part of the equation here, reducing input costs. Higher gold prices and lower fuel prices mean wider margins.

The benefit of gold stocks over physical gold right now it the additional benefit to margins from the lower oil prices. Both gold and gold stocks benefit from the rising price in gold, whereas only gold stocks offer the combined benefit of wider margins.

Workforce and the coronavirus outbreak is clearly an issue, these firms will need to take precautionary measures against the spread of coronavirus at their operations but for those that can continue production and development work, now is a good time to do so.

Whilst the precious metal miners plunged on the back of falling gold prices last week, traders have been quick to jump in on the rebound.

Stocks to watch
Barrick Gold is already up 12% so far this month outperforming the broader UK market, which is down 15% so far this month. However, the stock is also up 25% from a six month low struck last week.
Barrick is by no means alone. Polymetal International’s share price has soared by 33% after plunging to a six-month low on 19th March.

Polymetal Int. levels to watch
Polymetal trades above its 50, 100 and 200 sma on the daily chart, a bullish chart which is a rarity in this market!
Immediate support can be seen at 1272p today’s low, prior to 1255p (50sma) and 1222p (100 sma).
Resistance is at 1330p (today’s high) prior to 1346p (yesterday’s high) and 1392p (high 24th March)

From time to time, StoneX Financial Pty Ltd (“we”, “our”) website may contain links to other sites and/or resources provided by third parties. These links and/or resources are provided for your information only and we have no control over the contents of those materials, and in no way endorse their content. Any analysis, opinion, commentary or research-based material on our website is for information and educational purposes only and is not, in any circumstances, intended to be an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell. You should always seek independent advice as to your suitability to speculate in any related markets and your ability to assume the associated risks, if you are at all unsure. No representation or warranty is made, express or implied, that the materials on our website are complete or accurate. We are not under any obligation to update any such material.

As such, we (and/or our associated companies) will not be responsible or liable for any loss or damage incurred by you or any third party arising out of, or in connection with, any use of the information on our website (other than with regards to any duty or liability that we are unable to limit or exclude by law or under the applicable regulatory system) and any such liability is hereby expressly disclaimed.

City Index is a trading name of StoneX Financial Pty Ltd.

The material provided herein is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs.

While every care has been taken in preparing this material, we do not provide any representation or warranty (express or implied) with respect to its completeness or accuracy. This is not an invitation or an offer to invest nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell investments.

StoneX recommends you to seek independent financial and legal advice before making any financial investment decision. Trading CFDs and FX on margin carries a higher level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The possibility exists that you could lose more than your initial investment further CFD investors do not own or have any rights to the underlying assets.

It is important you consider our Financial Services Guide and Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) available at www.cityindex.com/en-au/terms-and-policies/, before deciding to acquire or hold our products. As a part of our market risk management, we may take the opposite side of your trade. Our Target Market Determination (TMD) is also available at www.cityindex.com/en-au/terms-and-policies/.

StoneX Financial Pty Ltd, Suite 28.01, 264 George Street, Sydney, NSW 2000 (ACN 141 774 727, AFSL 345646) is the CFD issuer and our products are traded off exchange.

© City Index 2024