Daily FX Technical Trend Bias Key Levels Wed 24 Apr

EUR/USD – Vulnerable for a range bearish breakdown

click to enlarge chart

Undergone the expected minor “bearish flag” breakdown and hit the upper limit of the medium-term rang support of 1.1190/1175 as per highlighted in our previous report (click here for a recap).
No clear signs of bearish exhaustion yet, maintain bearish bias with tightened key short-term pivotal resistance now at 1.1245 (the intersection of the former minor “bearish flag” range support from 18 Apr 2019 low & minor descending trendline from 17 Apr 2019 high) for a further potential push down to retest 1.1175 lower limit of the medium-term range support in place since 12 Nov 2018 before a bearish breakdown to target the next near-term support at 1.1120 (Fibonacci expansion cluster & swing low areas of 30 May/20 Jun 2017).
On the other hand, an hourly close above 1.1245 negates the bearish tone for a squeeze up towards 1.1280 and even 1.1320 (also the medium-term descending resistance from 24 Sep 2018 high)

GBP/USD – Bearish breakdown from minor range configuration

click to enlarge chart

Broke below the 1.2960 lower limit of the short-term neutrality range zone as per highlighted in our previous report. Yesterday’s price action has validated the bearish breakdown from it’s a minor range configuration in place since 11 Mar 2019.
Flip back to a bearish bias in any bounces below 1.3020 key short-pivotal resistance (also the minor descending channel resistance from 28 Mar 2019 high) for a further potential push down to target the next near-term support at 1.2910/2890 follow by 1.2800 (also 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 3-month up move from 03 Jan 2019 low to 13 Mar 2019 high & 14 Feb 2019 swing low).
On the other hand, an hourly close above 1.3020 negates the bearish tone for a squeeze up to retest the next intermediate resistance at 1.3130.

USD/JPY – Bulls need to break above 112.10

click to enlarge chart

No major changes to its key elements. Maintain bullish bias above 111.80/65 key short-term pivotal resistance and an hourly close above 112.10 reinforces another potential impulsive upleg towards 112.50 before 112.95 (also the medium-term descending resistance from 03 Oct 2018 high).
On the other hand, an hourly close below 111.65 negates the bullish tone for another round of slide to retest the 110.85 support.

AUD/USD - Further push down to retest medium-term range support

click to enlarge chart

Hit and broke below the 0.7060 minor range support/target as per highlighted in our previous report reinforced by a weaker Q1 AU CPI (1.6% y/y versus consensus of 1.7% y/y). Maintain bearish bias with a tightened key short-term pivotal resistance now at 0.7090 (former minor swing low areas of 05/08 Apr 2019 & pull-back of the former ascending support from 08 Mar 2019 low) for a further potential push down to target the 0.7000/6980 medium-term range support.
On the other hand, an hourly close above 0.7090 negates the bearish tone for a squeeze up towards 0.7140 intermediate resistance (also the medium-term range resistance from 03 Dec 2018 high).

Charts are from eSignal

From time to time, StoneX Financial Pty Ltd (“we”, “our”) website may contain links to other sites and/or resources provided by third parties. These links and/or resources are provided for your information only and we have no control over the contents of those materials, and in no way endorse their content. Any analysis, opinion, commentary or research-based material on our website is for information and educational purposes only and is not, in any circumstances, intended to be an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell. You should always seek independent advice as to your suitability to speculate in any related markets and your ability to assume the associated risks, if you are at all unsure. No representation or warranty is made, express or implied, that the materials on our website are complete or accurate. We are not under any obligation to update any such material.

As such, we (and/or our associated companies) will not be responsible or liable for any loss or damage incurred by you or any third party arising out of, or in connection with, any use of the information on our website (other than with regards to any duty or liability that we are unable to limit or exclude by law or under the applicable regulatory system) and any such liability is hereby expressly disclaimed.

City Index is a trading name of StoneX Financial Pty Ltd.

The material provided herein is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs.

While every care has been taken in preparing this material, we do not provide any representation or warranty (express or implied) with respect to its completeness or accuracy. This is not an invitation or an offer to invest nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell investments.

StoneX recommends you to seek independent financial and legal advice before making any financial investment decision. Trading CFDs and FX on margin carries a higher level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The possibility exists that you could lose more than your initial investment further CFD investors do not own or have any rights to the underlying assets.

It is important you consider our Financial Services Guide and Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) available at www.cityindex.com/en-au/terms-and-policies/, before deciding to acquire or hold our products. As a part of our market risk management, we may take the opposite side of your trade. Our Target Market Determination (TMD) is also available at www.cityindex.com/en-au/terms-and-policies/.

StoneX Financial Pty Ltd, Suite 28.01, 264 George Street, Sydney, NSW 2000 (ACN 141 774 727, AFSL 345646) is the CFD issuer and our products are traded off exchange.