Daily FX Technical Trend Bias Key Levels Thurs 04 Apr
EUR/USD – Mix elements
- Yesterday, it has staged a bounce of 52 pips to challenge the 1.1245 key short-term pivotal resistance as per highlighted in our previous report (click here for a recap). It printed a high of 1.1254 before it inched back below 1.1245 and traded sideways.
- Mix elements as it ended yesterday, 03 Apr U.S. session with a bullish daily “Morning Doji Start” candlestick pattern right at the 1.1175 support. Prefer to turn neutral now between 1.1250 and 1.1210. Only an hourly close below 1.1210 revives the bearish tone for a potential downleg to retest 1.1175 before targeting the next near-term support at 1.115.
- On the flipside, an hourly close above 1.1250 opens up scope for a minor corrective rebound towards the next intermediate resistance at 1.1330/1340 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the entire slid from 20 Mar 2019 high to 02 Apr 2019 low & minor swing high area of 25 Mar 2019).
GBP/USD – Push up within range
- Broke above the 1.3160 key short-term pivotal resistance and reintegrated back above the ascending range support from 03 Jan 2019 low. The “push down within range” scenario has been invalidated. Flip to a bullish bias now with 1.3130 as the key short-term pivotal support (also yesterday, 02 Apr U.S. session swing low) for a further potential push up to target the next intermediate resistance at 1.3250 (minor descending trendline from 13 Mar 2019 high & minor swing high areas of 26/28 Mar 2019).
- On the other hand, a break below 1.3130 sees a push down towards 1.3020 (02 Apr 2019 minor swing low area & minor ascending support from 29 Mar 2019 low).
USD/JPY – Sideways
- No change, maintain neutrality stance between 111.70 and 111.20. Only an hourly close below 111.20 is likely to trigger a slide to retest the next near-term supports at 110.85 and 110.30.
- On the flipside, a break above 111.70 sees a further push up towards the 05 Mar 2019 swing high area of 112.10.
AUD/USD – Push up within range
- Broke above the 0.7115 short-term pivotal resistance and the upper boundary of the minor “Descending Triangle” range configuration in place since 21 Mar 2019 high. The “push down within range” scenario as per highlighted in our previous report has been invalidated.
- Flip to a bullish bias with 0.7105 as key short-term pivotal support (also close to the pull-back of the former minor “Descending Triangle” range resistance) for a further potential push up to target the next intermediate resistances at 0.7150 and 0.7180 (medium-term descending range resistance from 03 Dec 2018 high & 0.764 Fibonacci projection of the bounce from 08 Mar 2019 low to 21 Mar 2019 high projected from 02 Apr 2019 low).
- On the other hand, failure to hold at 0.7105 sees another slide to retest the 0.7060 minor range support.
From time to time, StoneX Financial Pty Ltd (“we”, “our”) website may contain links to other sites and/or resources provided by third parties. These links and/or resources are provided for your information only and we have no control over the contents of those materials, and in no way endorse their content. Any analysis, opinion, commentary or research-based material on our website is for information and educational purposes only and is not, in any circumstances, intended to be an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell. You should always seek independent advice as to your suitability to speculate in any related markets and your ability to assume the associated risks, if you are at all unsure. No representation or warranty is made, express or implied, that the materials on our website are complete or accurate. We are not under any obligation to update any such material.
As such, we (and/or our associated companies) will not be responsible or liable for any loss or damage incurred by you or any third party arising out of, or in connection with, any use of the information on our website (other than with regards to any duty or liability that we are unable to limit or exclude by law or under the applicable regulatory system) and any such liability is hereby expressly disclaimed.
City Index is a trading name of StoneX Financial Pty Ltd.
The material provided herein is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs.
While every care has been taken in preparing this material, we do not provide any representation or warranty (express or implied) with respect to its completeness or accuracy. This is not an invitation or an offer to invest nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell investments.
StoneX recommends you to seek independent financial and legal advice before making any financial investment decision. Trading CFDs and FX on margin carries a higher level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The possibility exists that you could lose more than your initial investment further CFD investors do not own or have any rights to the underlying assets.
It is important you consider our Financial Services Guide and Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) available at www.cityindex.com/en-au/terms-and-policies/, before deciding to acquire or hold our products. As a part of our market risk management, we may take the opposite side of your trade. Our Target Market Determination (TMD) is also available at www.cityindex.com/en-au/terms-and-policies/.
StoneX Financial Pty Ltd, Suite 28.01, 264 George Street, Sydney, NSW 2000 (ACN 141 774 727, AFSL 345646) is the CFD issuer and our products are traded off exchange.
© City Index 2024