All trading involves risk. Ensure you understand those risks before trading.
All trading involves risk. Ensure you understand those risks before trading.

A review of the week past and the week ahead 14th of December


What mattered last week:

  • The S&P500 fell -1.20% last week as hopes of a fiscal stimulus deal before year-end faded and rising new coronavirus cases weighed.
  • As well as the increased possibility of a “no-deal” Brexit.
  • U.S economic data was mixed. Notably, rising jobless claims provided further confirmation employment growth is stalling.
  • Volatility, as measured by the VIX index, closed higher at 23.3%
  • U.S. 10-year yields closed 6bp lower, near 0.91%.
  • Gold closed flat near $1839.00.
  • A sixth straight week of gains for crude oil closing near $46.57/bbl.
  • The ASX200 closed flat at 6642.6 as surging commodity prices supported the market.   
  • In FX, the AUDUSD closed the week up near .7530 once again supported by surging commodity prices and broad-based U.S. dollar weakness.

For the week ahead, the key events are:

Australia: RBA meeting minutes (Tuesday), Markit PMI’s, and HIA new home sales (Wednesday), Labour force report (Thursday).

  • Labour force report (Thursday): The expectation is for a gain of +50k new jobs in November following last month's 179,000 rise. The unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 7.0%.

New Zealand: Westpac consumer confidence (Monday), global dairy trade and current account (Wednesday), Q3 GDP (Thursday), ANZ Roy Morgan consumer confidence, ANZ business confidence, and balance of trade (Friday).

China: Fixed asset investment, industrial production, retail sales, and employment (Tuesday).

Japan: Tankan business survey (Monday), Jibun Bank PMI (Wednesday), CPI, and BoJ interest rate meeting (Friday).

U.S: Retail sales and Markit PMI (Wednesday), FOMC interest rate decision (Thursday).

  • FOMC interest rate meeting (Thursday): Will remain dovish, however, there is likely to be some acknowledgment of upside risks stemming from the vaccine's arrival.

Canada: CPI (Wednesday), retail sales (Friday).

Euro Area: German and EA Markit PMIs (Wednesday), German IFO (Friday).

UK: Employment (Tuesday), CPI (Wednesday), Bank of England interest rate meeting (Thursday), retail sales (Friday).

From time to time, StoneX Financial Pty Ltd (“we”, “our”) website may contain links to other sites and/or resources provided by third parties. These links and/or resources are provided for your information only and we have no control over the contents of those materials, and in no way endorse their content. Any analysis, opinion, commentary or research-based material on our website is for information and educational purposes only and is not, in any circumstances, intended to be an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell. You should always seek independent advice as to your suitability to speculate in any related markets and your ability to assume the associated risks, if you are at all unsure. No representation or warranty is made, express or implied, that the materials on our website are complete or accurate. We are not under any obligation to update any such material.

As such, we (and/or our associated companies) will not be responsible or liable for any loss or damage incurred by you or any third party arising out of, or in connection with, any use of the information on our website (other than with regards to any duty or liability that we are unable to limit or exclude by law or under the applicable regulatory system) and any such liability is hereby expressly disclaimed.

City Index is a trading name of StoneX Financial Pty Ltd.

The material provided herein is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs.

While every care has been taken in preparing this material, we do not provide any representation or warranty (express or implied) with respect to its completeness or accuracy. This is not an invitation or an offer to invest nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell investments.

StoneX recommends you to seek independent financial and legal advice before making any financial investment decision. Trading CFDs and FX on margin carries a higher level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The possibility exists that you could lose more than your initial investment further CFD investors do not own or have any rights to the underlying assets.

It is important you consider our Financial Services Guide and Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) available at www.cityindex.com/en-au/terms-and-policies/, before deciding to acquire or hold our products. As a part of our market risk management, we may take the opposite side of your trade. Our Target Market Determination (TMD) is also available at www.cityindex.com/en-au/terms-and-policies/.

StoneX Financial Pty Ltd, Suite 28.01, 264 George Street, Sydney, NSW 2000 (ACN 141 774 727, AFSL 345646) is the CFD issuer and our products are traded off exchange.

© City Index 2024