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S&P500 Forecast: SPX muted ahead of core-PCE data

U.S. stocks are mixed after stronger than forecast data and ahead of the key core PCE inflation report. US GDP was revised higher to 1.9% in Q3, up from 1.8%, boosted by solid consumer spending as inflation continued to cool. Meanwhile, jobless fell to 213k. The data points to the US economy being in a good place raising questions over the Fed's ability to cut rates. US core PCE is expected to rise to 2.8% YoY in October.

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November 27, 2024 02:36 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX rises despite Trump tariff threats

U.S. stocks are heading higher, building on recent gains, as investors weigh up the implications of Trump's tariffs on its top trade partners. President-elect Trump said he would impose a 25% tariff on Canadian and Mexican imports and an additional 10% tariff on imports from China. Looking ahead, the minutes of the November Fed meeting will be released later and could provide more insight into the Fed's outlook for rates.

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November 26, 2024 02:00 PM
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Wall Street Forecast: DJIA rises after Trump's Treasury Secretary nomination

U.S. stocks are pointing to a stronger open on Monday amid a sign of relief on Wall Street following President-elect Trump's nomination for Treasury Secretary - Scott Bessent, who favours less stringent trade tariffs.. The move higher comes after gains last week, which saw investors shift into cyclical stocks while rotating out of technology.

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November 25, 2024 02:49 PM

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S&P500 Forecast: SPX falls with PMI data up next

U.S. stocks are heading for a soft open, ending a broadly positive week on a more cautious tone ahead of the release of PMI data. The Dow Jones is on track to rise 1% this week, while the S&P 500 is set for 1.3% gains. The Nasdaq is up 1.6%. Attention is on US PMI data which is expected to show services and manufacturing PMIs rising in November.

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November 22, 2024 02:34 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises after Nvidia earnings & jobless claims

U.S. stocks are set to open modestly higher after another record quarter for Nvidia as jobless claims fall and geopolitical tensions mount. Nvidia beat estimates for the top and bottom lines in another impressive showing. However, gains are limited owing to disappointment surrounding the revenue growth forecast, which is set to be the slowest in seven quarters. Meanwhile, jobless claims fell to 213k from 217k, and the Russian-Ukrainian conflict ramps up.

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November 21, 2024 02:01 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises cautiously ahead of Nvidia earnings

US stock indices are edging cautiously higher amid a quiet economic calendar and with attention on corporate earnings. Nvidia is set to report earnings after the close as the share price trades 200% higher YTD and will act as guidance over the health of the AI trade. Geopolitical tensions have calmed and Fed speakers could offer more clues on the Fed's path for rates.

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November 20, 2024 02:20 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA falls as tensions with Russia rise

U.S. stocks are heading for a weaker at open after a thinly veiled nuclear threat from Russian President Vladimir Putin and as investors digest more corporate earnings. Putin has lowered the bar for a nuclear attack after US President Biden reportedly allowed US missiles to be fired deep into Russia. Risk off is dominating. Walmart is set to open 4% higher after upbeat results and guidance.

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November 19, 2024 02:19 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises with Nvidia earnings & Fed speak in focus

U.S. stocks are pointing to a mixed start Monday after losses in the previous week and as investors brace themselves for earnings from AI giant Nvidia on Wednesday and plenty of Fed speakers across the week. Last week, US stocks fell sharply after Fed Chair Powell warned that the Fed was in no rush to cut rates. Tesla drives higher, adding to last week's gains on optimism surrounding self-driving under Trump.

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November 18, 2024 02:09 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX falls on slower Fed rate cut worries

U.S. stocks fall as investors digest stronger-than-expected US retail sales and more hawkish comments from Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell. Powell said the Fed was in no rush to cut rates due to the solid economy, resilient jobs market, and interest still holding above 2%. As if on cue, US retail sales came in stronger than expected.

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November 15, 2024 02:54 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ slips after PPI rises & ahead of Powell

U.S. stocks open lower after hotter-than-expected US PPI inflation data and ahead of his speech by Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell. PPI rose to 3.1% from 2.8%, and jobless claims fell to 217k. The data comes ahead of Federal Rese4rve Chair Jerome Powell who is due to speak later. The market will be watching for clues of the future path for interest rates.

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November 14, 2024 03:34 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX inches higher after CPI rises, as expected

US stocks are edging lower after losses in the previous session as investors digest the latest US inflation data while looking ahead to more Fed speakers later today. US inflation was in line with forecasts, rising 0.2% MoM (2.6% YoY), while core inflation was also as expected, rising 0.3% MoM (3.3% YoY). The data supports a December rate cut.

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November 13, 2024 01:51 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ muted at ATH as bulls pause ahead of inflation data

U.S. stocks are set to open muted, easing from record highs as attention shifts away from the elections and back toward economic data. US inflation data is due tomorrow and is the first post-election test for the markets. The economic calendar is quirt today. Instead, attention will be on Fed speakers for further clues over the future path for rates amid solid data & a Trump presidency.

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November 12, 2024 02:44 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ extends the post-election rally

U.S. stocks are set to open higher, extending gains from last week. Trump's victory continues to boost the market as investors await the next round of economic data, which could decide whether the rally can continue. US inflation data is due later in the week. Tesla and Bitcoin-related stocks are outperforming as the Trump trade shows few signs of slowing.

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November 11, 2024 02:09 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX hovers around record highs after a busy week

U.S. stocks are set to open modestly higher on Friday, remaining close to record highs reached this week as the markets digest the Federal Reserve rate cut following Trump's win and as investors look ahead to next week’s inflation data. The Fed cut rates by 25 basis points as expected and te market sees another cut coming in December. However, rate cut expectations for next year have been lowered.

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November 8, 2024 02:31 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX hits a record high post election & pre-Fed rate decision

U.S. stocks are set to open higher, extending gains to record levels as the market continues to weigh up Trump's victory and ahead of the Federal Reserve interest rate decision later today. The Fed is set to cut rates by 25 basis points, the second straight rate cut, but guidance will be watched closely in light of recent string data and an upcoming Trump presidency.

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November 7, 2024 02:46 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA hits a record high as Trump wins the Election

U.S. stocks are at a record high after Donald Trump won the election to become the 47th president of the United States. Republicans are on course to take both the Senate and the House, pointing to the possibility of a Republican sweep. This would give Trump a strong platform to implement his policies, including tax cuts and deregulation, as well as trade tariffs against China. USD trades at its highest level since June.

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November 6, 2024 02:54 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA trades quietly on Election Day

U.S. stocks are edging higher in quiet trade in the calm before the storm as Americans head to the polls to vote for the next U.S. President. In the tightly contested US election, traders are bracing themselves for volatility over the coming sessions until a clear winner is declared. A Trump win and a red sweep are considered the best outcomes for stocks and the USD, owing to expected tax cuts, deregulation, and inflationary policies.

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November 5, 2024 02:29 PM

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S&P500 Forecast: SPX muted ahead of the US election & Fed meeting this week

U.S. stocks are rising very modestly, and trade is cautious ahead of this week's upcoming US elections and the Federal Reserve interest rate decision. The polls remain incredibly close, with Kamala gaining some ground. The VIX index, which is considered a measure of market fear, is above its 30-day moving average, although it's still well below where it was the week before the 2020 election.

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November 4, 2024 02:00 PM
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S&P500 Forecast :SPX rebounds after NFP miss, Amazon soars

U.S. stocks are rising, recovering after yesterday's steep sell-off as investors digest the very weak US non-farm payrolls and as treasury yields fall. The headline NFP saw 12k jobs added in October while unemployment remained at 4.1% and wage growth at 4%. Amazon soars after beating earnings & revenue forecasts with solid results from the cloud and advertising sectors. Attention now turns to next week's US election and Fed meeting.

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November 1, 2024 02:44 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ falls after META, MSFT earnings & inflation data

U.S. stocks are falling as the markets weigh up big tech earnings and US inflation data and look ahead nervously to the US elections. Meta & Microsoft beat forecasts but warned over higher AI costs, highlighting risks of the AI trade. US core PCE was hotter than forecasts and jobless claims were lower than expected. The data comes ahead of tomorrow's NFP.

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October 31, 2024 01:42 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast :QQQ slips after GDP data, Alphabet earnings limit losses

U.S. stocks are heading lower on Wednesday after disappointing growth data, although a surge in Alphabet is limiting losses after the technology giant posted strong quarterly results. US GDP grew by 2.8% in Q3 down from 3% in Q2. Meanwhile ADP job creation was stronger than expected. Alphabet posted impressive results with AI investment baring fruit.

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October 30, 2024 03:06 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX flat after jobs data & ahead of Alphabet earnings

U.S. stocks are pointing to a mixed open amid a softer JOLTs job openings report and as more earnings continue to roll in. JOLTS job openings were weaker than expected at 7.44 million, falling short of the expected 7.98 million. The data comes ahead of a key week for economic data points. Alphabet will report after the close and is expected to see EPS of $1.85.

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October 29, 2024 03:13 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX rises ahead of a HUGE week for earnings and data

US stocks are set to open higher, recouping some of last week's losses ahead of a big week for US earnings, critical US economic data, and the final countdown phase ahead of the US election next week. The market is convinced that the Fed will cut rates by 25 bps in November. 169 S&P500 firms report this week, including Apple, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft.

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October 28, 2024 01:43 PM