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20231218 - 001 - 01

S&P500 Forecast: SPX slumps as Trump trade tariffs fuel trade-war fears

US stocks are set to open lower after President Trump unveiled tariffs against key trading partners over the weekend, fueling fears of a full-on trade war. The tariffs will take effect on Tuesday and include 25% duties on Canada and Mexico and 10% on China. The measures could increase inflationary pressures, giving the Fed less room to cut rates.

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Yesterday 02:08 PM
20231218 - 001 - 01

S&P500 Forecast: SPX rises after in line inflation & Apple earnings

US stock markets are heading higher after the Fed's preferred gauge for inflation brought no nasty surprises and remained muted in December, supporting further reductions in interest rates. Apple beat forecasts on the top and bottom line, helping the share price jump by 4% pre-open.

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January 31, 2025 02:18 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises post-Fed, big tech earnings in focus

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are heading higher after the Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged and amid a post-earnings boost from mega-caps Meta and Tesla. Microsoft is falling after earnings. US GDP was weaker than forecast at 2.3% annualised.

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January 30, 2025 02:37 PM

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S&P500 Forecast: SPX muted ahead of Fed rate decision & big tech earnings

US stocks are heading for a mixed start. They steadied following the sharp selloff at the start of the week, inspired by the cheaper DeepSeek AI model. Attention is on the Federal Reserve rate decision, where policymakers are expected to leave rates unchanged and could adopt a cautious stance. Mega-cap tech earnings kick off, with Microsoft, Meta, and Tesla set to release after the close.

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January 29, 2025 02:24 PM
20231218 - 001 - 01

Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ tumbles as DeepSeek sparks a $1 trillion tech rout

The U.S. is set for a steeply lower open, with tech stocks leading the charge lower as Chinese startup DeepSeek triggers a $1 trillion tech selloff. AI darling Nvidia is on track for its steepest decline in history. Separately, the US and Colombia pull back from the brink of a trade war.

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January 27, 2025 02:28 PM
20231218 - 001 - 01

Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA steadies after a solid Trump-inspired rally

U.S. stocks point to a modestly lower start after the S&P 500 scored its first record high of 2025 yesterday at 6118. The S&P 500 is now up 4% this year, while the Dow Jones has rallied 4.75% in 2025. The Nasdaq has booked gains of 3.85%. Trump's softer stance towards China and calls for a rate cut from the Federal Reserve.

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January 24, 2025 02:30 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX inches lower ahead of Trump's WEF speech

U.S. stocks are trading mixed, with the S&P 500 hovering around all-time highs in a cautious mood ahead of Trump's speech later today. Corporate earnings and economic data will also be in focus. Trump is due to speak at the World Economic Forum at 11 am ET and could provide more clues into policy measures.

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January 23, 2025 02:52 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ jumps on Trump's AI investment plans

U.S. stocks are set for a positive opening as investors assess comments from President Trump on his plans for AI infrastructure and possible trade tariffs and digested more corporate earnings. The Nasdaq is soaring, outperforming its peers after Trump announced a $500 billion investment in AI infrastructure. The project will see OpenAI team up with Oracle and Softbank in the Stargate project. Separately Netflix beat earnings forecasts and added 19 million new subscribers.

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January 22, 2025 01:57 PM
20231218 - 001 - 01

S&P 500 Forecast: SPX rises modestly as the market asses Trump's trade outlook

US stock futures are rising amid relief in the market from a slightly more measured inauguration speech. President Trump did not lay out concrete plans for universal tariffs, bringing initial relief. Since then Trump has mentioned plans to implement trade tariffs on Canada and Mexico. Oil extends losses on Trump's plans to increase output.

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January 21, 2025 02:25 PM
20231218 - 001 - 01

Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA set for strong weekly gains ahead of Trump's inauguration

U.S. stocks are heading higher on Friday, with the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones set to book the strongest weekly advances since November. Investors are waiting for further clues regarding Tump’s policies next week. Treasury yields have dipped this week and the USD has fallen, helping lift sentiment.

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January 17, 2025 02:38 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA falls as retail sales slowed & banks earnings impress

U.S. stocks are heading for a mixed start after weaker-than-expected data keeps rate cut hopes alive and as banks’ quarterly results continue to roll in. Retail sales rose 0.4% MoM and jobless claims rose 217k. However, this is a fine balance, the market won't want to see data weaken too much. Elsewhere Morgan Stanley and Bank of America continued the strong start to earnings season.

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January 16, 2025 02:07 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA jumps as core CPI cools & banks earnings roll in

U.S. stocks are surging higher following cooling US inflation data and after banks kick off earnings season on the front foot. US CPI rose 2.9% YoY up from 2.7% in November. Core CPI eased to 3.2% easing some inflationary worries. pulling treasury yields and the USD lower while lifting stocks. US banks kicked off earnings on a positive note with JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo posting solid profits.

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January 15, 2025 02:30 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX rises after PPI data & gradual trade tariff reports

U.S. stocks are heading for a positive open on Tuesday, boosted by softer US PPI data ahead of tomorrow's CPI figures and by hopes of gradual trade tariffs from Trump. PPI rose 3.3% YoY in December, below the 3.4% forecast. Reports that Trump's team could adopt a gradual approach to trade tariffs are also helping the mood and bringing treasury yields modestly lower. Fed speakers are in focus later today.

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January 14, 2025 02:17 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ falls after NFP smashed forecasts

U.S. stocks are set to open lower after the US non-farm payroll report smashed forecasts, dampening expectations for Fed rate cuts. 256k jobs were added in December, well ahead of the 164k forecast. The unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 4.1%. The market has lowered rate cut expectations and pushed back the first cut to October.

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January 10, 2025 02:44 PM
20231218 - 001 - 01

Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA struggles ahead of FOMC minutes

US stocks are struggling amid lingering inflation fears following yesterday's ISM services PMI, a sharp drop in jobless claims, and ahead of the Fed minutes scheduled to be released later today. The Fed is expected to be more cautious regarding rate cuts this year amid signs of a solid economy and concerns over inflationary measures from Trump.

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January 8, 2025 02:15 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises ahead of data & on Nvidia superchip news

U.S. stocks are heading for a positive open as investors await economic data and further insight into the incoming Trump administration's policies. US jolts job openings and ISM services PMI data are due later in the session. Signs of ongoing resilience within the economy could further dampen Federal Reserve rate cut expectations. Separately, Nvidia is set to open higher after new products were unveiled, including an AI superchip.

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January 7, 2025 02:19 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX rises with chip stocks leading the way

U.S. stocks are pointing to a higher start, adding to Friday's rally as investors buy into technology stocks based on continued optimism surrounding AI . Attention is also on the economic calendar, which ramps up this week as volumes pick up and trades return from the festive break. The highlight will be Friday's NFP report, which will be the first significant test for the markets.

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January 6, 2025 02:13 PM

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S&P500 Forecast: SPX rises after inflation data

U.S. stocks are heading to a higher open. US inflation data brought no surprises and bolstered expectations that the Fed would cut rates again next week. CPI rose 2.7% YoY, up from 2.6% in October, and core CPI rose 3.3%. The data cemented expectations that the Fed would cut rates in December, boosting stocks while the USD was unchanged.

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December 11, 2024 02:20 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ is unchanged as investors wait for inflation data

U.S. stocks are heading for a quiet open on Tuesday after losses in the previous session, and as the focus remains on upcoming inflation data. US CPI will be released tomorrow on Wednesday and is forecast to rise to 2.7% up from 2.6%. The market still expects a rate cut in December, but fewer cuts are expected next year.

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December 10, 2024 02:07 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX is muted at record high ahead of CPI this week

U.S. stocks are all set for a muted open after reaching record highs last week and as investors look ahead to inflation data later in the week. Stocks in the US have rallied across the past three weeks as the Trump trade continued to play out. US CPI is due on Wednesday and is expected to rise 2.7% YoY in November.

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December 9, 2024 02:25 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA rises after solid NFP report

U.S. stocks are set for a stronger open after the US non-farm payroll report supported the case for a December rate cut while showing that the labour market remains resilient. 227K jobs were added, up from 36k last month. Meanwhile, unemployment rose to 4.2% from 4.1% and average wage growth was 0.4% stronger than the 0.3% forecast. The market still sees the Fed cutting rates in December by 25 bps.

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December 6, 2024 02:36 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ muted after jobs data

U.S. stocks are set for a muted opening as investors digest the latest jobs data and prepare for tomorrow's nonfarm payroll report. Yesterday, the S&P 500, the NASDAQ 100, and the Dow Jones booked record closing highs thanks to a surging technology sector and after Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell highlighted the strength of the US economy.

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December 5, 2024 02:53 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises ahead of Fed Chair Powell's speech

U.S. stocks are pushing higher, with the NASDAQ 100 and the S&P 500 adding to yesterday’s record-high close ahead of comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Investors are brushing off geopolitical risks, and attention is on a slew of US economic data; ADP payrolls were weaker than forecast, and ISM services PMI, as well as factory orders, are due to be released shortly. The data, along with Fed Chair Powell could give further insight into the future path for rates.

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December 4, 2024 02:31 PM