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Oil forecast: WTI steadies for now, OPEC+ postpones meeting
Oil steadies after 3-days of losses. Easing tension in the Middle East saw the geopolitical risk premium fall. However, OPEC+ pushing back its December 1st meeting raises optimism the group will postpone unwinding oil production cuts. Volumes will likely remain low owing to the US Thanksgiving holiday.
S&P500 Forecast: SPX muted ahead of core-PCE data
U.S. stocks are mixed after stronger than forecast data and ahead of the key core PCE inflation report. US GDP was revised higher to 1.9% in Q3, up from 1.8%, boosted by solid consumer spending as inflation continued to cool. Meanwhile, jobless fell to 213k. The data points to the US economy being in a good place raising questions over the Fed's ability to cut rates. US core PCE is expected to rise to 2.8% YoY in October.
Oil Price Forecast: Oil Bears Reassert Control– Crude Support in View
Oil prices reversed from yearly open resistance this week with the bears aiming back towards multi-month range lows. A multi-timeframe view of the oil technical charts.
S&P500 Forecast: SPX rises despite Trump tariff threats
U.S. stocks are heading higher, building on recent gains, as investors weigh up the implications of Trump's tariffs on its top trade partners. President-elect Trump said he would impose a 25% tariff on Canadian and Mexican imports and an additional 10% tariff on imports from China. Looking ahead, the minutes of the November Fed meeting will be released later and could provide more insight into the Fed's outlook for rates.
WTI Forecast: Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire Drives Crude Oil Back Toward $69
How could a potential Israel-Lebanon ceasefire impact oil prices and what are the key levels to watch?
Wall Street Forecast: DJIA rises after Trump's Treasury Secretary nomination
U.S. stocks are pointing to a stronger open on Monday amid a sign of relief on Wall Street following President-elect Trump's nomination for Treasury Secretary - Scott Bessent, who favours less stringent trade tariffs.. The move higher comes after gains last week, which saw investors shift into cyclical stocks while rotating out of technology.
EUR/USD, Oil Forecast: two trades to watch
EUR/USD recovers from a 2-year low but gains could be limited, Oil steadies after 6% gains last week.
S&P500 Forecast: SPX falls with PMI data up next
U.S. stocks are heading for a soft open, ending a broadly positive week on a more cautious tone ahead of the release of PMI data. The Dow Jones is on track to rise 1% this week, while the S&P 500 is set for 1.3% gains. The Nasdaq is up 1.6%. Attention is on US PMI data which is expected to show services and manufacturing PMIs rising in November.
Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises after Nvidia earnings & jobless claims
U.S. stocks are set to open modestly higher after another record quarter for Nvidia as jobless claims fall and geopolitical tensions mount. Nvidia beat estimates for the top and bottom lines in another impressive showing. However, gains are limited owing to disappointment surrounding the revenue growth forecast, which is set to be the slowest in seven quarters. Meanwhile, jobless claims fell to 213k from 217k, and the Russian-Ukrainian conflict ramps up.
EUR/USD, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch
EUR/USD struggles below 1.0550 as headwinds mount. Oil rises amid escalating geopolitical tensions.
Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises cautiously ahead of Nvidia earnings
US stock indices are edging cautiously higher amid a quiet economic calendar and with attention on corporate earnings. Nvidia is set to report earnings after the close as the share price trades 200% higher YTD and will act as guidance over the health of the AI trade. Geopolitical tensions have calmed and Fed speakers could offer more clues on the Fed's path for rates.
Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA falls as tensions with Russia rise
U.S. stocks are heading for a weaker at open after a thinly veiled nuclear threat from Russian President Vladimir Putin and as investors digest more corporate earnings. Putin has lowered the bar for a nuclear attack after US President Biden reportedly allowed US missiles to be fired deep into Russia. Risk off is dominating. Walmart is set to open 4% higher after upbeat results and guidance.
Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises with Nvidia earnings & Fed speak in focus
U.S. stocks are pointing to a mixed start Monday after losses in the previous week and as investors brace themselves for earnings from AI giant Nvidia on Wednesday and plenty of Fed speakers across the week. Last week, US stocks fell sharply after Fed Chair Powell warned that the Fed was in no rush to cut rates. Tesla drives higher, adding to last week's gains on optimism surrounding self-driving under Trump.
EUR/USD, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch
EUR/USD holds close to 2024 lows ahead of ECB Lagarde’s speech. Oil inches higher but gains re limited by supply surplus & China demand worries.
S&P 500 Forecast: SPX falls on slower Fed rate cut worries
U.S. stocks fall as investors digest stronger-than-expected US retail sales and more hawkish comments from Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell. Powell said the Fed was in no rush to cut rates due to the solid economy, resilient jobs market, and interest still holding above 2%. As if on cue, US retail sales came in stronger than expected.
Oil Price Forecast: Crude Oil Spills Back into Support
Oil prices plunged more than 8% off the monthly high with WTI approaching critical support near the yearly lows. A multi-timeframe view of the Oil technical charts.
S&P500 Forecast: SPX inches higher after CPI rises, as expected
US stocks are edging lower after losses in the previous session as investors digest the latest US inflation data while looking ahead to more Fed speakers later today. US inflation was in line with forecasts, rising 0.2% MoM (2.6% YoY), while core inflation was also as expected, rising 0.3% MoM (3.3% YoY). The data supports a December rate cut.
Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ extends the post-election rally
U.S. stocks are set to open higher, extending gains from last week. Trump's victory continues to boost the market as investors await the next round of economic data, which could decide whether the rally can continue. US inflation data is due later in the week. Tesla and Bitcoin-related stocks are outperforming as the Trump trade shows few signs of slowing.
EUR/USD, Oil Forecasts: Two trades to watch
EUR/USD falls to a 4.5-month low on trade tariff worries. Oil falls as Hurricane Rafael weakens & China stimulus disappoints.
Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA hits a record high as Trump wins the Election
U.S. stocks are at a record high after Donald Trump won the election to become the 47th president of the United States. Republicans are on course to take both the Senate and the House, pointing to the possibility of a Republican sweep. This would give Trump a strong platform to implement his policies, including tax cuts and deregulation, as well as trade tariffs against China. USD trades at its highest level since June.
Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ falls after META, MSFT earnings & inflation data
U.S. stocks are falling as the markets weigh up big tech earnings and US inflation data and look ahead nervously to the US elections. Meta & Microsoft beat forecasts but warned over higher AI costs, highlighting risks of the AI trade. US core PCE was hotter than forecasts and jobless claims were lower than expected. The data comes ahead of tomorrow's NFP.
Crude Oil Forecast: Oil Erases October Rally- Key Support in View
Oil prices plunged nearly 15% off the monthly high with WTI now approaching key technical support at the yearly lows. A multi-timeframe view of the Oil technical charts.
S&P500 Forecast: SPX rises ahead of a HUGE week for earnings and data
US stocks are set to open higher, recouping some of last week's losses ahead of a big week for US earnings, critical US economic data, and the final countdown phase ahead of the US election next week. The market is convinced that the Fed will cut rates by 25 bps in November. 169 S&P500 firms report this week, including Apple, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft.