French elections
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Gold forecast: XAUUSD defends support ahead of key data and elections
Gold and silver have been on the rise in the last couple of days, recovering from weakness earlier in the week. Once again, gold has risen alongside equity markets, suggesting the recovery is not entirely driven by haven flows amid uncertainty surrounding the upcoming French snap elections, which appears to have only impacted the local stock and bond, as well as regional, markets.
UK, French Elections, US Employment and PMIs: The Week Ahead
It's possible we'll know who won the first round of France's election by the time markets open in Asia next week, which means the euro and European index futures could be more active than usual. Traders should then look to the pound and FTSE for pre-election jitters, although once again it could be Asian markets that get to witness the results. Despite the public holiday on Thursday, the US economic calendar is also packed. Two key ISM reports for manufacturing and services land before July 4th, alongside JOLTS and ADP employment reports, which are the warm-up acts for NFP on Friday.
EUR/USD Forecast: Euro Under Pressure as French Election Looms
The euro was under pressure in the first half of Wednesday’s session, ahead of the French snap election and due to growing signs of weakness in Germany’s economy. This political uncertainty has bolstered the US dollar, especially against currencies where the central bank is more dovish or where interest rates are significantly lower than the US – for example the Japanese yen.
French election nerves reflected in the market
The first round of the French Presidential elections will be held on Sunday 11th April. The market has woken up to the possibility of a Le Pen win.
Markets rally like it is November 2016
European stock markets have opened marginally higher on Tuesday after Macron-mania swept over global markets at the start of the week. We expect there to be further upside, particularly if Macron can maintain his decent lead over le Pen in the run up to the second round vote on 7th May.
Markets get carried away with Macron
While the prospect of a President Macron is getting priced into the markets on Monday, it’s worth assessing whether investors’ are getting carried away.
French election market salutes Macrons expected easy path to the Elysee Palace
The early exit polls from the first round of the French elections suggest that Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen will progress into the second round.
FTSE exits blasé mode
UK blue-chip shares were again reacting to political events early this week, and even more so after last night’s events in Paris.
EU stocks on shaky footing ahead of French elections
The result of the first round of the French Presidential election on Sunday will determine which two candidates will be included in the second round of voting on May 7th.
French election preview: Why a “shock” win could be good for the euro
The first round of the French Presidential election takes place on Sunday 23rd April, with the exit polls expected late that night before the final confirmation of the results sometime early on Monday morning.
GBP recovers from Libor hit as French fears start to mount
Sterling is in recovery mode this morning after dipping at the market open on Sunday night after reports that the BOE pressured some banks to […]