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The top 10 most volatile currency pairs in 2023
These are the most volatile FX pairs in 2023. Learn how to trade them and use volatility to your advantage.
CBRT cuts rates despite soaring inflation, weak Lira
After last weeks surprise rate cut by the CBRT, USD/TRY moved to its highest level since December 20th, 2021.
EM FX: Turmoil in emerging currencies pose big risk to markets
It is worth watching EM currencies closely here as there is a risk we could see further, sharp, selling, which, in turn, could provide a fresh source of threat to the global financial markets.
Lira slumps further as crude oil nears $122
Lira slumps further as crude oil nears $122
European Open: Lira today, ErdoGONE tomorrow
The Turkish Lira hit fresh new lows overnight as President Erdogan fired his Finance Minister (for opposing rate cuts, along with everyone else).
European Open: RBNZ hike, FTSE holds support, Lira in freefall
Technically we suspect the FTSE has seen an important low around 7200 (but we cannot say the same for the flailing Lira). Up later is US GDP and revised consumer sentiment.
The ‘Central Bank of Erdogan’ Sharpens its Rate-Cut Knife
Turkey’s central bank announce their rate decision at 11:00 today. And, if prior meetings are anything to go by, we suspect it will be another lively one.
USD/TRY explodes through 10. Will it reach 11?
Could this move above 10 just be a “buy the rumor, sell the fact” heading into the central bank meeting?
Turkey’s inflation data may embolden Erdogan
The inflation print beat expectations of 20.4% YoY, possibly because of the 200bps rate cut on October 21st!
Asian Open: Powell Says its Time to Taper, but Not Raise Rates
Leaving little room for misinterpretation on Friday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell clearly stated that tapering is imminent yet poured cold water on any rate hike occurring soon.
Asian Open: Central Bank of Erdogan (CBOE) pulls no punches
USD/TRY won currency of the day to hit new highs after ‘impartial’ President Erdogan’s hand-picked central bankers cut rates by 200 bps despite raging inflation.
European Open: Sentiment Sours Ahead of the Open, Turkish Rate Decision Up Next
News that Fitch ratings agency placed 29 Chinese property developers under closer scrutiny seemed to see a sudden inflow into the yen, knocking many crosses from their (overextended) highs.
European Open: Sentiment Sours Ahead of the Open, Turkish Rate Decision Up Next
News that Fitch ratings agency placed 29 Chinese property developers under closer scrutiny seemed to see a sudden inflow into the yen, knocking many crosses from their (overextended) highs.
USD/TRY lurches higher as traders question the central bank’s independence, 10.00 next?
Traders’ fears that the nominally independent central bank is becoming hopelessly politicized are being realized, causing a widespread loss of confidence in the lira...
USD/TRY at all-time highs
If Turkey continues to threaten retaliation against the Kurdish YPG militants or if there is a continued threat that the CBRT will cut rates once again, USD/TRY may continue to put in all-time new highs
Fillon worth a second look, as French election fears start to ease
This time in a week the first round of the French Presidential elections will be known. The latest polls suggest that support for the Far […]
Turkish central bank loses credibility as lira decline continues
The Turkish lira has fallen sharply on Tuesday after the central bank failed to raise interest rates as expected. The market had expected to see […]
EM Rundown: Could USDTRY bulls quit cold turkey?
Central banks will be traders’ central focus in the G10 this week, with monetary policy “decisions” out of the Federal Reserve, Reserve Bank of New […]
EM Rundown: Fed rate hike fears drive USD/ZAR to an all-time high
With the market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December skyrocketing from around 30% a few weeks ago up to 68% as of […]
EM Rundown: Policymakers set the tone in China, Turkey, Russia, and Poland
As readers of our week ahead report know, it will be a very busy week for monetary policymakers in the developed markets, with potentially high-impact […]
EM Rundown: Dollar at risk against major EM currencies
With a plethora of major central bank announcements out of the G10 this week, traders will be more focused on developed markets than their emerging […]
EM Rundown: This week’s EM central bank bonanza
After last week’s Federal Reserve excitement, traders would probably be happy for a reprieve from the constant “will-they-or-won’t-they” strategizing that inevitably takes place around major […]
EM Rundown: Geopolitical Risks Abound for USD/RUB and USD/TRY
For most asset classes, the panic-driven moves of last Monday have been erased, with EURUSD completing its 500-pip round trip, US equities actually closing higher […]