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U.S. Dollar Rallies on Fed Statement, Pulls Back on Presser

It’s a busy week across macro markets and we’re just getting started after the FOMC. Tomorrow’s ECB meeting is expected to see a cut but the bigger item may be around Japan and USD/JPY.

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January 29, 2025 09:33 PM
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FOMC Instant Reaction: Powell Threads the Needle, Longer Pause in Play?

The Fed hinted at a longer pause to interest rates but Chairman Powell ultimately minimized his impact on markets in the January FOMC meeting.

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January 29, 2025 07:58 PM
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U.S. Dollar Holds Support, Stocks Come Back to Life - Fed, ECB Coming Up

Stocks are clawing back losses from the weekly open even as the U.S. Dollar has bounced from a spot of support. The rest of this week is expected to be very busy on the macro front.

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U.S. Dollar, USD/JPY: Are Yen Carry Unwind Fears Driving the Global Sell-Off?

Fear drove early-session U.S. trade and this stands in stark contrast to just a week ago, when equities were driving to all-time-highs after the inauguration of President Trump.

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US Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD Post-Trump Plunge Tests Support

US Dollar is trading into key support at the monthly lows on the heels of President Trump’s inauguration. Battle lines drawn on the DXY short-term technical charts.

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USD/JPY Forecast: The Yen Holds Ground as the BOJ Decision Approaches

The USD/JPY has lost more than 1.5% of its value over the last six trading sessions, allowing the Japanese yen to regain ground against the prolonged bullish trend favoring the US dollar.

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January 22, 2025 06:19 PM
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U.S. Dollar Snaps Back, EUR/USD Rallies After Trump Inauguration

The USD is starting Trump’s term with a pullback, so far, and that’s helped to boost equity markets following last week’s massive SPX rally.

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King Dollar's Trump Rally: What Does it Mean for Macro?

The U.S. Dollar just finished its strongest quarter in more than nine years, but a continuation of that theme may not be a great thing for U.S. equities, or the EUR/USD pair.

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Pre-CPI USD Price Action Setups: SPX Pullback after DXY Stretch

Tomorrow’s CPI report seems quite important given the run-higher in U.S. Treasury yields that’s taken place even as the Fed has continued to cut. This could have an outsized effect on USD-pairs, bonds and SPX.

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U.S. Dollar Bulls Push Fresh 2-Year Highs Ahead of CPI

USD bulls continue to push and this week brings another installment of CPI, which has been a bullish driver for the Greenback since the Fed’s start of a rate cutting cycle in September.

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January 13, 2025 07:27 PM
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US Dollar Technical Forecast: USD Six-Week Rally Rips into Resistance

The US Dollar rally extended for a sixth-consecutive week with a 4.3% advance now approaching uptrend resistance. Battle lines drawn on the DXY weekly technical chart.

USD/CAD Update: The Canadian Dollar Remains Weak Amid Political Uncertainty

Despite the recovery shown by the Canadian dollar two sessions ago, the balance has now shifted 0.5% higher in favor of the U.S. dollar, keeping USD/CAD near levels not seen in the past four years.

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US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Report Preview (DEC 2024)

The US is expected to add 154K jobs in December, while the Unemployment Rate is anticipated to hold steady at 4.2% during the same period.

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By : David Song
January 8, 2025 05:30 PM
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US Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD Bulls Rest After Five-Week Run

A rebound off uptrend support keeps the focus on a breakout of the weekly range heading into NFPs on Friday. Battle lines drawn on the DXY short-term technical charts.

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U.S. Dollar Price Action Setups: EUR/USD, USD/CAD, SPX

The U.S. Dollar just finished its strongest quarter in nine years, and stock prices remain elevated, as well. This sets the stage for a volatile 2025 as explained in this webinar.

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A Tops Down Technical Look at the USD After Largest Quarterly Gain Since 2015

Last quarter was the largest quarterly gain for DXY since Q1 of 2015, and the third largest quarterly gain for the Dollar index in the past 30 years.

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January 6, 2025 09:08 PM
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US Economy Proves Stronger-Than-Expected in 2024

The US economy performed better-than-expected in 2024, with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) upgrading its growth forecast for the region.

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By : David Song
December 29, 2024 11:00 AM

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EUR/USD Forecast: The Price Breaks the Two-Year Support Zone

EUR/USD has recorded a 2% decline over the last five sessions, favoring the dollar and placing the euro in a sustained bearish zone.

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US Dollar Rallies to Resistance After CPI, PPI and ECB Rate Cut

It’s been a strong Q4 for the US Dollar and the currency continues to test a big spot of longer-term resistance. But will the Fed usher in another massive USD rally in 2025?

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December 12, 2024 03:47 PM
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US Dollar Technical Forecast: USD Bulls Poised for Key Fed Decision

US Dollar rebounded off trend support early in the month with the bulls in a holding pattern ahead of the Fed. Battle lines drawn on the DXY weekly technical chart.

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US Dollar Price Action into CPI, FOMC: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, Gold

The US Dollar showed a strong support bounce since last Friday’s NFP report, setting the stage for resistance tests into tomorrow’s CPI and next week’s FOMC.

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S&P500 Forecast: SPX is muted at record high ahead of CPI this week

U.S. stocks are all set for a muted open after reaching record highs last week and as investors look ahead to inflation data later in the week. Stocks in the US have rallied across the past three weeks as the Trump trade continued to play out. US CPI is due on Wednesday and is expected to rise 2.7% YoY in November.

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December 9, 2024 02:25 PM
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US Dollar Dips to 105.44 Support Test After NFP

USD weakness showed in the immediate aftermath of the NFP print, with the 105.44 level coming in to help hold support. EUR/USD is now testing resistance while USD/JPY trades below the 150.00 level.