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Wall Street Forecast: DJIA rises after Trump's Treasury Secretary nomination

U.S. stocks are pointing to a stronger open on Monday amid a sign of relief on Wall Street following President-elect Trump's nomination for Treasury Secretary - Scott Bessent, who favours less stringent trade tariffs.. The move higher comes after gains last week, which saw investors shift into cyclical stocks while rotating out of technology.

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November 25, 2024 02:49 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA hits a record high as Trump wins the Election

U.S. stocks are at a record high after Donald Trump won the election to become the 47th president of the United States. Republicans are on course to take both the Senate and the House, pointing to the possibility of a Republican sweep. This would give Trump a strong platform to implement his policies, including tax cuts and deregulation, as well as trade tariffs against China. USD trades at its highest level since June.

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November 6, 2024 02:54 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA trades quietly on Election Day

U.S. stocks are edging higher in quiet trade in the calm before the storm as Americans head to the polls to vote for the next U.S. President. In the tightly contested US election, traders are bracing themselves for volatility over the coming sessions until a clear winner is declared. A Trump win and a red sweep are considered the best outcomes for stocks and the USD, owing to expected tax cuts, deregulation, and inflationary policies.

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November 5, 2024 02:29 PM

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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA falls on Middle East worries & post jobless claims

U.S. stocks are falling as the market digests the latest labor market data for clues on the economic outlook while also watching for potential escalations in the Middle East. US jobless claims were subdued, and some after better-than-expected ADP payrolls & JOLTS job openings earlier in the week. GBP/USD tumbled towards 1.31 after dovish BoE comments & oil prices rise for a third day.

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October 3, 2024 02:27 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA muted post-Powell & ahead of jobs data

U.S. stocks point to a muted open after a slightly more hawkish tone from Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell and in the run-up to U.S. jobs data this week. US ISM manufacturing PMI and JOLTS job openings will be in focus ahead of several Fed speakers. The market will also be keeping an eye on developments in the Middle East and strikes on the East Coast and Gulf Coast.

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October 1, 2024 02:13 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA trades quietly at record highs awaiting the next catalyst

U.S. stocks are heading for a quiet start after gains yesterday and as the market waits for further clues over the health of the economy after the Fed started its rate-cutting cycle last week. Investors mull over the Chinese stimulus program as well as weaker than expected US consumer confidence. The economic calendar today is relatively quiet with the next test from tomorrow's jobless claims.

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September 25, 2024 02:30 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA rises to fresh record highs on rate cut optimism

U.S. stocks are rising, extending gains from the previous session on rate cut optimism ahead of the Federal Reserve interest rate decision tomorrow and following stronger-than-expected retail sales data. Retail sales rose 0.1% MoM, defying expectations of a fall of -0.2%. All eyes are now on tomorrow's Fed rate decision, with the market pricing in a 63% chance of a 50 basis point cut.

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September 17, 2024 02:10 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA steady after jobs data, ISM services up next

U.S. stocks are mixed after steep losses earlier in the week and as the market digests the latest U.S. economic data ahead of tomorrow's nonfarm payroll report. ADP payrolls were weaker than expected at 99k, but jobless claims were only slightly above forecasts. Attention now turns to ISM services PMI ahead of tomorrow's non-farm payrolls report.

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September 5, 2024 02:47 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA rises as Core PCE data reinforces rate cut expectations

U.S. stocks are pointing to a higher start as investors digest the latest US inflation data. Core PCE remained unchanged at 2.6%, reinforcing Fed rate cut expectations. Meanwhile, personal spending rose 0.3%, which, combined with yesterday's GDP revision, is helping to ease recession fears. Attention is now turning to next week's NFP report to confirm or refute recession worries.

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August 30, 2024 02:26 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA trades quietly above 40k ahead of Jackson Hole

US stocks are heading for a modestly positive start after a stellar performance last week and ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole symposium on Friday. US stocks surged last week in the best weekly performance this year after US CPI eased to a 3-year low and recession fears eased.

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August 19, 2024 02:19 PM

Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA Hits 40K – Will We See a Bounce?

The DJIA has fallen back to retest the psychologically-significant $40K level, which could now provide support for the index moving forward.

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July 24, 2024 08:26 PM
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Dow Forecast: DJIA hits record as energy, financials extend breakout

Dow Forecast Update: The Dow has reached its 4th record high in as many days, on a day when the Nasdaq was plunging. Sector rotation is the name of the game.

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July 17, 2024 05:24 PM
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Dow Forecast: Weaker US CPI Keeps Stock Bulls Happy

The Dow has risen along with the Russell 200 index after the Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in at 3.0% instead of the expected 3.1%. Small caps are set for a big rally, with Russell 2000 index breaking out a good 3% at the time of writing.

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July 11, 2024 05:30 PM
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Dow Jones forecast: Bulls eye DJIA 40K as tech takes a breather

The US stock markets were trading mixed today. The Dow was up more than 1% at the time of writing, boosted by IBM and JPMorgan shares. On the flipside, this year’s best performing index, the Nasdaq 100, had an off day, down about 0.9% as shares in Nvidia fell by 6%, down for the third consecutive day.

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June 24, 2024 05:00 PM
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DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Analysis: Papa Dow Diverges from SPX and NDX

The Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 look tired as bad economic news is no longer good news for the stock market as traders worry the Fed is falling behind the curve.

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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA steady, jobless claims & Fed speakers in focus

US stocks are set for a quiet open as the market weighs up more Fed officials supporting high rates for longer, with signs of a cooling jobs market. US jobless claims rose by more than expected, which, after Friday's softer non-farm payroll, could indicate that the labour market is starting to ease. Earnings continue to roll in with Arm falling after FY 2025 revenue guidance disappointed.

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May 9, 2024 01:34 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA inches lower as treasury yields rise

US stocks are pointing to a modestly weaker start as the market continues to assess when the Federal Reserve may start to cut interest rates and by how much. Comments from Fed speakers yesterday raised questions over whether the Fed would cut at all in 2024. In the absence of economic data, Fed speakers remain under the spotlight today. Attention is also on earnings, with Uber set to open lower after posting a loss.

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May 8, 2024 02:03 PM

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DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Forecast: US Indices Recapture Key Levels on Dovish Fed, Solid Earnings

The Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 all recaptured key technical levels, carrying a bullish bias to the coming week.

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DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Forecast: US Indices Vulnerable Through Earnings Season

The DJIA, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 all look vulnerable to more downside as long as this week’s highs hold.

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DJIA, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 Forecast: US Indices Falter on War Fears

US indices are seeing diverging performance, with the DJIA looking relatively weak and the Nasdaq 100 uptrend remaining healthy.

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DJIA analysis: Risk off as stocks plunges and even gold reverses

DJIA analysis: Stocks tumble on Middle East jitters, as VIX spikes. US dollar has also extended its rally on reduced rate cut expectations and risk off sentiment. Meanwhile, gold looks like it may have topped out.

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DJIA Forecast: DJIA recovers some losses after PPI data

US stocks have steadied after yesterday's deep selloff. Mixed PPI data appears to have taken the edge off yesterday's hotter-than-forecast inflation data. US PPI eased by more than expected on a monthly basis but rose by more than expected on an annual basis. Meanwhile, US jobless claims were relatively unmoved, highlighting the ongoing resilience in the labour market. Elsewhere, the ECB left interest rates on hold at 4%.

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April 11, 2024 02:11 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA stocks fall as treasury yields rise

US stocks are pointing to a weaker open, extending losses from the previous session as Treasury yields rise and ahead of several Fed speakers. US treasury yields have ticked higher after stronger-than-expected manufacturing PMIs from the US and China and as oil prices have risen to a 5-month high, suggesting that inflation could remain sticky. Federal Reserve speakers could provide more insight into when the Fed could start to cut rates.

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April 2, 2024 02:15 PM