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USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

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USD/JPY forecast: Payrolls pivotal for bullish bond breakout, yen rally longevity

A bullish breakout in US bonds has sent USD/JPY tumbling below 150, with payrolls now poised to decide whether the yen’s surge gains momentum or fizzles out. Could this be the pivotal moment for bond markets and the Fed's rate path?

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USD/JPY Forecast: Can the bull run survive as Fed rate rethink caps long bond yields?

USD/JPY's rally faces a critical test as diminishing Fed rate bets threaten to stall the relentless rise in US bond yields. With key data and FOMC minutes on tap, could this be the week the bulls lose their grip?

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USD/JPY forecast: Quiet economic calendar increases risk of uptrend retest

Could USD/JPY be nearing a turning point? With Treasury yields stalling and a quiet calendar ahead, this week could set the foundation for a major move. Here's what to watch.

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USD/JPY forecast: Bearish momentum builds as key US data looms

USD/JPY is tied to the US rate outlook, with long-term yields driving the pair. CPI, PPI, and retail sales are the releases to watch, along with Federal Reserve remarks. Upside for looks limited; momentum is turning bearish, and rates may have peaked, so selling rallies might be the smarter play this week

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USD/JPY forecast: Election showdown and Fed decision set the stage for volatility

With USD/JPY caught between the US election and Fed decision, volatility is set to spike. Can Treasury yields predict the next big move, or will Bank of Japan intervention steal the show? Get the key insights here.

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USD/JPY Outlook: Polls, payrolls and earnings set the stage for volatility

USD/JPY traders are set for a wild ride this week as US interest rates, tech earnings, and political uncertainty collide. Will surging bond yields and crucial payrolls data fuel continued upside? Here’s what you need to know.

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USD/JPY fails on first attempt of formidable resistance zone: the week ahead

The resistance zone overhanging USD/JPY held firm on the first time of testing, seeing it sink back below 150 on Friday. With little event risk in the US or Japan this week, and with its strong correlation with US Treasury yields weakening noticeably, price signals may provide the cleanest read for traders on directional risks in the coming days.

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USD/JPY directional risks skewing lower as key resistance zone looms: the week ahead

USD/JPY continues to track US Treasury yields closely, while Japanese domestic factors remain largely irrelevant in the absence of a major policy shift. Thursday’s US jobless claims and retail sales reports are the key events, carrying the potential to meaningfully alter the US interest rate outlook. Directional risks appear slightly skewed to the downside, especially if labour data weakens.

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USD/JPY surges on US rates rethink; Fed, bond auctions, inflation report to drive direction: the week ahead

USD/JPY is likely to take its cues from US bond yields this week, putting speeches from Federal Reserve officials, Treasury auctions and key consumer price inflation data firmly in the drivers’ seat. The only obvious exception to the rule would be a major escalation or de-escalation of tensions in the Middle East, an outcome that is incredibly difficult to predict.

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USD/JPY biased lower unless US unemployment reverses its upward trend

The USD/JPY outlook changed materially last Friday with the price careening through multiple supports as Fed rate cut bets swelled. With a raft of fresh US labour market indicators to digest this week, it may take an unlikely decline in the US unemployment rate to prevent further downside ahead.

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September 29, 2024 04:00 PM

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