US500

It’s been a fast-evolving market since the Presidential election three weeks ago. But stocks remain higher, Bitcoin has put in a major move and gold is on its back foot.

SPX has a sizable gap sitting below current price action and the top of that zone came into play for four consecutive days, while remaining well defended by bulls ahead of this week’s test of 6k.

S&P 500 futures pulled back again last week and as yields have continued their run-higher, there’s more potential for greater pullbacks ahead. Both the election and FOMC can bring impact on both fronts.

The S&P 500 has shown resilience, with US stocks rebounding on the back of strong earnings reports today. Positive surprises from major companies, such as Tesla, and strong performances in Europe are helping to stabilise sentiment.

In the last week or so, the S&P 500 hasn’t gone anywhere, trading inside a tight range – albeit near its recently-hit all-time high. So far it has been a week void of any major economic data. So, you can understand why the market has been a bit cagey this week. But investors are also wary of at least two major risk events, which could dent the S&P 500 forecast

Stocks haven’t shown much for pullbacks of late, but S&P 500 Futures have struggled so far to gain acceptance through the 5900 level.

S&P 500 futures have shown little interest in the major repricing of Federal Reserve rate cut expectations caused by Friday’s blowout non-farm payrolls report for September, raising the question whether Thursday’s US consumer price inflation (CPI) report is as big a risk event as some make it out to be.

It’s been an amazing rally since last Q4’s open and now that the Fed is finally able to cut rates, stocks have started to stall.

Concerns over prolonged high interest rates have started to undermine stocks a little, with risk appetite waning amid a lack of major fresh bullish catalysts ahead of Friday’s publication of core PCE price index. A potential close below 5250 today could turn the S&P 500 outlook bearish in the short-term perspective.

The short-term S&P 500 outlook could turn bearish if we see some downside follow-through below Thursday’s range when it formed a rather large outside candle after the fresh breakout to a new all-time high was met with strong selling, despite Nvidia’s strong showing.

S&P 500 analysis: Investors interpret Fed as slightly less hawkish than expected, but macro concerns remain. Attention turns to Apple, expected yo report a 10% decline in iPhone sales, before Friday's release of NFP and ISM services PMI.

The S&P 500 extends losses to third week amid raised geopolitical risks and rising bond yields. Concerns over the escalation of the situation in the Middle East is at the forefront of investors’ minds. The situation remains volatile with Israel seeking revenge for Iran’s retaliatory attacks on Saturday.

June rate cut uncertainty amid economic resilience, as stocks wobble ahead of CPI. S&P 500 technical analysis shows bullish trend is starting to weaken.

Global stock indices continued to make strong gains, extending recovery from the previous session. Bets that the Fed is done with rate hike is what’s driving markets higher, while mixed technology earnings have reduced fears about overstretch valuations in the sector.

Having fallen through channel support and its 200-day MA, and with four members of the ‘Magnificent 7’ due to report third quarter earnings over the next few days, you get the sense this week could really set the tone for how the S&P 500 will close out 2023.

US stocks sold off sharply ever since the Fed delivered that hawkish interest rate pause on Wednesday. At the time of writing, the major indices were still testing their lows after futures had slid along with global markets, extending losses from the previous session. The market is falling because of fears over the impact of rising bond yields. The sell-off may need to extend further before investors find value in stocks, especially in growth equities.