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How Have US Elections Impacted the Stock Market?
Broad stock market indices like the S&P 500 usually rise, regardless of who is in office.
How Could the US Presidential Election Impact Markets? A 40-Year Study Looking at 5 Key Markets
At a high level, the US dollar has not shown a consistent trend of strengthening or weakening in one month before, one week after, one month after, or one quarter after US Presidential Election days over the last 10 elections.
S&P 500 Analysis: Is the Rare Streak of Low SPX Volatility Ending?
The S&P 500 has been historically quiet, and given that volatility has a tendency to be cyclical, we could see an outbreak of larger moves in the near future.
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DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Analysis: Papa Dow Diverges from SPX and NDX
The Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 look tired as bad economic news is no longer good news for the stock market as traders worry the Fed is falling behind the curve.
S&P 500 outlook: Stocks could resume drop after Thursday’s reversal
The short-term S&P 500 outlook could turn bearish if we see some downside follow-through below Thursday’s range when it formed a rather large outside candle after the fresh breakout to a new all-time high was met with strong selling, despite Nvidia’s strong showing.
DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Forecast: US Indices Recapture Key Levels on Dovish Fed, Solid Earnings
The Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 all recaptured key technical levels, carrying a bullish bias to the coming week.
DJIA, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 Forecast: US Indices Falter on War Fears
US indices are seeing diverging performance, with the DJIA looking relatively weak and the Nasdaq 100 uptrend remaining healthy.
S&P 500 analysis: Index ends +10% in Q1 after a strong Q4 – what now?
Can the stock market rally continue after a strong performance in the first quarter? As we start Q2, Chinese PMIs, German CPI and US non-farm payrolls are among the upcoming week’s highlights. S&P 500 technical analysis shows strong bullish trend, pointing to further strength.
DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Technical Forecast: US Index Uptrends Remain Healthy for Now
The DJIA and SPX are seeing bullish consolidations after breaking out to a record highs last week, while the Nasdaq 100 is testing the top of its 1-month range at record high, with a potential breakout targeting 19K.
S&P 500, DJIA Analysis: The Definitive Guide to the Stock Market’s Performance on “Leap Day”
Since 1950, the S&P 500 and DJIA have seen relatively weak performance on Leap Day, with an average decline of -0.1%. Read on for more details!
The Week Ahead: S&P 500 Uptrend May Come Down to NVDA Earnings
Nvidia’s earnings will be a key hurdle to determine whether the S&P 500 uptrend can continue. See what else we'll be watching!
S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA Forecast: Cracks in the Index Uptrends?
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 remain in healthy uptrends for now but the DJIA is showing some cracks and is the key index to watch for signs of weakness from here.
S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA Forecast: MSFT, NVDA, and TSLA Power Indices to Record Highs
The DJIA is the index to watch for a possible breakdown if stocks stall out this week... but bears shouldn't be holding their breath. See why!
S&P 500 Forecast: SPX Has Risen 12 of the Last 13 Weeks – What’s Next?
The S&P 500's average returns after past such streaks have been strong in the short-term, but more mixed over the next 6-12 months, with lower than average volatility. See the numbers and current technical analysis!
S&P 500 Analysis: What Happens After 9-Week SPX Winning Streaks?
Past 9-week winning streaks have historically led to above-average returns over the next 1 and 3 months, though the track record is about average over the next year.
The January Effect: A Comprehensive Historical Review
The dawn of the new millennium has witnessed a more subdued January Effect, hinting at a possible shift in the effectiveness of this historically-reliable pattern...
The Santa Claus Rally: Everything Traders Need to Know
The Santa Claus Rally describes the historical tendency of the stock market to climb during the last five trading days of the year and the first two of the new year.
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US Index Analysis: DJIA, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Enter Historically Bullish Santa Claus Rally Period
Yesterday’s big bearish reversals in the DJIA, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 complicate the otherwise strongly bullish outlook.
S&P 500 Analysis: Winning Streak Stretches to 7 Weeks – Why that Could Be a Bullish Sign
Historical 7+ week winning streaks in the index have been a generally bullish development for returns over the next month, quarter, and year.
US Index Analysis: S&P 500 Hits 2023 High, VIX Hits Post-COVID Low Ahead of Fed
Prior drops below 12 in the VIX have led to historically below average returns in the S&P 500 over the next 1, 3, and 12 months.
S&P technical analysis: Bears back in town or temporary respite?
The Nasdaq and S&P 500 both seem somewhat overbought following a rapid three-week surge. Wednesday's price action has raised the possibility of a short-term pullback. Despite this, it's essential to differentiate any potential short-term weakness from a bearish reversal, unless price action on the charts or a strong pushback from the Federal Reserve indicate otherwise.
S&P 500 Analysis: Studying the Struggling VIX Streak and Stocks
Previous 8-day declining streaks in the VIX have been bullish for the S&P 500, but patience is warranted.
S&P 500 and Dollar Index Analysis - Technical Tuesday
Welcome to another edition of Technical Tuesday. In this week’s report, we will get technical on the S&P 500 and Dollar Index. The benchmark index has bounced back as investors' focus turns to FOMC minutes, CPI and Consumer Sentiment, with US bank earnings also to start on Friday. Meanwhile, the Dollar Index chart shows a potential reversal signal ahead of all these events.