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S&P500 Forecast: SPX muted ahead of core-PCE data

U.S. stocks are mixed after stronger than forecast data and ahead of the key core PCE inflation report. US GDP was revised higher to 1.9% in Q3, up from 1.8%, boosted by solid consumer spending as inflation continued to cool. Meanwhile, jobless fell to 213k. The data points to the US economy being in a good place raising questions over the Fed's ability to cut rates. US core PCE is expected to rise to 2.8% YoY in October.

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November 27, 2024 02:36 PM
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Trump Bump Price Action Setups: Gold, Bitcoin, EUR/USD, SPX

It’s been a fast-evolving market since the Presidential election three weeks ago. But stocks remain higher, Bitcoin has put in a major move and gold is on its back foot.

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S&P500 Forecast: SPX rises despite Trump tariff threats

U.S. stocks are heading higher, building on recent gains, as investors weigh up the implications of Trump's tariffs on its top trade partners. President-elect Trump said he would impose a 25% tariff on Canadian and Mexican imports and an additional 10% tariff on imports from China. Looking ahead, the minutes of the November Fed meeting will be released later and could provide more insight into the Fed's outlook for rates.

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November 26, 2024 02:00 PM

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S&P 500 (SPX) Bounce from Top of Trump Gap Leads to Test II of 6k

SPX has a sizable gap sitting below current price action and the top of that zone came into play for four consecutive days, while remaining well defended by bulls ahead of this week’s test of 6k.

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November 25, 2024 04:28 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX falls with PMI data up next

U.S. stocks are heading for a soft open, ending a broadly positive week on a more cautious tone ahead of the release of PMI data. The Dow Jones is on track to rise 1% this week, while the S&P 500 is set for 1.3% gains. The Nasdaq is up 1.6%. Attention is on US PMI data which is expected to show services and manufacturing PMIs rising in November.

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November 22, 2024 02:34 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: Futures rise as Nvidia stock rebounds

While the market appears bullish right now, the S&P 500 forecast is far from certain, especially with a lack of fresh bullish catalysts to consider. Could profit-taking negatively impact the market soon?

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November 21, 2024 01:30 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX falls on slower Fed rate cut worries

U.S. stocks fall as investors digest stronger-than-expected US retail sales and more hawkish comments from Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell. Powell said the Fed was in no rush to cut rates due to the solid economy, resilient jobs market, and interest still holding above 2%. As if on cue, US retail sales came in stronger than expected.

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November 15, 2024 02:54 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: Cooling off from overbought levels

So far, US stock investors appear unfazed by global softness in commodities and bond markets, even as the 10-year Treasury yield inches closer to 4.5%, reflecting a more hawkish interest rate outlook for next year. But with the dust settling on Trump’s election victory, could we finally see retracement to cause a bearish shift in the short-term S&P 500 forecast?

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November 14, 2024 03:49 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX inches higher after CPI rises, as expected

US stocks are edging lower after losses in the previous session as investors digest the latest US inflation data while looking ahead to more Fed speakers later today. US inflation was in line with forecasts, rising 0.2% MoM (2.6% YoY), while core inflation was also as expected, rising 0.3% MoM (3.3% YoY). The data supports a December rate cut.

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November 13, 2024 01:51 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX hovers around record highs after a busy week

U.S. stocks are set to open modestly higher on Friday, remaining close to record highs reached this week as the markets digest the Federal Reserve rate cut following Trump's win and as investors look ahead to next week’s inflation data. The Fed cut rates by 25 basis points as expected and te market sees another cut coming in December. However, rate cut expectations for next year have been lowered.

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November 8, 2024 02:31 PM
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Bitcoin the Big Winner, USD and Stocks Surge on Trump Victory

Markets are making big moves on the back of Trump’s win and if House results confirm a Republican supermajority, there could be drive for even further highs in stocks and Bitcoin. The US Dollar, however…

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US Dollar In Focus for the Election: Rates, Stocks Set for Volatility

The US Dollar was very strong in October as rising odds of a Trump win started to get priced-in to markets, but can equities avoid a pullback if longer-term US rates continue to fly-higher?

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S&P500 Forecast: SPX muted ahead of the US election & Fed meeting this week

U.S. stocks are rising very modestly, and trade is cautious ahead of this week's upcoming US elections and the Federal Reserve interest rate decision. The polls remain incredibly close, with Kamala gaining some ground. The VIX index, which is considered a measure of market fear, is above its 30-day moving average, although it's still well below where it was the week before the 2020 election.

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November 4, 2024 02:00 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: Stocks Grind as Yields Jump into the Election, FOMC

S&P 500 futures pulled back again last week and as yields have continued their run-higher, there’s more potential for greater pullbacks ahead. Both the election and FOMC can bring impact on both fronts.

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S&P500 Forecast :SPX rebounds after NFP miss, Amazon soars

U.S. stocks are rising, recovering after yesterday's steep sell-off as investors digest the very weak US non-farm payrolls and as treasury yields fall. The headline NFP saw 12k jobs added in October while unemployment remained at 4.1% and wage growth at 4%. Amazon soars after beating earnings & revenue forecasts with solid results from the cloud and advertising sectors. Attention now turns to next week's US election and Fed meeting.

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November 1, 2024 02:44 PM
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S&P 500 forecast: Stocks drop amid earnings and election uncertainty

US equities have fallen at the start of today’s US session, following on the losses from the previous day and weaker global markets. The tech sector is in the spotlight following underwhelming earnings reports from Meta and Microsoft, with the latter falling in excess of 5% shortly after the open.

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S&P500 Forecast: SPX rises ahead of a HUGE week for earnings and data

US stocks are set to open higher, recouping some of last week's losses ahead of a big week for US earnings, critical US economic data, and the final countdown phase ahead of the US election next week. The market is convinced that the Fed will cut rates by 25 bps in November. 169 S&P500 firms report this week, including Apple, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft.

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October 28, 2024 01:43 PM

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S&P500 Forecast :SPX rises cautiously ahead of next weeks' risk events

U.S. stocks point to a higher open on Friday. Treasury yields dip, offering some support to stocks, although the major indices are on course for weekly losses. Over the coming two weeks, there are many risk events, including Magnificent 7 earnings, US N FP, core PCE, and GDP data, as well as the US elections.

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October 25, 2024 02:49 PM
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S&P 500 forecast: Stocks edge lower as focus turns to US election

In the last week or so, the S&P 500 hasn’t gone anywhere, trading inside a tight range – albeit near its recently-hit all-time high. So far it has been a week void of any major economic data. So, you can understand why the market has been a bit cagey this week. But investors are also wary of at least two major risk events, which could dent the S&P 500 forecast

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S&P 500 Outlook: ES Goes to Work on 5900

Stocks haven’t shown much for pullbacks of late, but S&P 500 Futures have struggled so far to gain acceptance through the 5900 level.

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October 21, 2024 03:58 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX rises after Netflix beats forecasts

U.S. stocks point to a modestly higher start on Friday, boosted by broad gains in technology stocks, while Netflix jumped following strong quarterly results. The S&P500 and the Dow Jones hover around record highs as all three main indices book a sixth straight weekly rise. Netflix opens 6% higher as earnings and subscriber numbers impress. Oil is set to fall 6% across the week on demand concerns and as the risk premium evaporates.

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October 18, 2024 02:42 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX steady at record high as earnings roll in

U.S. stocks are set for a subdued start as investors pause for breath after a stellar rally in the previous session, which saw stocks reach record highs. The market is shrugging off expectations that the Federal Reserve could cut rates at a slower pace after as the economy is holding up better than forecast. Earnings remain in focus with results from Goldman Sachs and Bank of America.

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October 15, 2024 01:49 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA steady ahead of more earnings this week

U.S. stocks are pointing to a muted open on Monday as the market prepares for a week packed with Q3 earnings reports and economic data, which could test lofty valuations. 41 S&P 500 firms report this week, including Netflix, Goldman Sachs, and John & Johnson. Earnings season ramps up as the Dow Jones and the S&P 500 hit record highs on Friday. As well as earnings US retail sales and Fed speakers are in focus this week.

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October 14, 2024 02:13 PM