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CAC, DAX forecast: EU stocks struggle amid political uncertainty as Wall Street hits records
In Europe, concerns about US tariffs, a struggling Eurozone economy and political uncertainty in France and Germany are continuing to hold back risk assets. France's CAC index is now nearly 6% lower on the year. The DAX forecast is also far from bullish, with a key drag being the European auto sector’s reaction to potential tariff threats.
DAX forecast dented by German political uncertainty, Tariff concerns
This week’s US inflation data may impact Wall Street but will likely have limited implications for European indices. But one factor that is certainly weight on sentiment on this side of the pond is political uncertainty in Germany. Against this backdrop, our DAX forecast is turning bearish in the short term, especially if the German index now breaks a key support area that it was testing at the time of writing.
DAX forecast: Stocks face risks from China slowdown to US election
The DAX was trading slightly lower, down for the third consecutive day, although it was only around 1.5% off from the recently achieved record high. Far from a turmoil, in other words. But equally, the loss of bullish momentum may be a sign that the markets could go in reverse soon.
DAX forecast: Could Trump’s protectionism negatively impact German stocks?
Today’s German wholesale inflation data pointed to further ECB rate cuts in December, keeping the bullish DAX forecast intact – for now, anyway. However, ongoing weakness in the Eurozone economy, coupled with political uncertainty in the US – with the presidential election now only two weeks away – and not to mention the fact China’s markets don’t seem to be finding a sustainable recovery despite ongoing government stimulus efforts, all point to a potential dop in the coming weeks.
DAX analysis: Stocks hit by stagflation concerns amid earnings bonanza
DAX drops to test key technical support area as Wall Street is spooked by latest inflation data, further raising doubts over Fed's ability to cut rates. Earnings from Microsoft and Alphabet to come after the bell.
DAX outlook remains unfavourable despite support from earnings
Earnings have helped to lift the mood so far in today's session, but risk appetite could be limited amid ongoing geopolitical risks and uncertainty over interest rates outlook. DAX technical analysis shows the German index is still residing in a bearish channel, despite the bounce.
DAX analysis: What now for German index after big rally?
German DAX index makes a sluggish start to Q2 after a sharp 5-month rally amid profit-taking, as correction risks linger. DAX technical analysis suggests more evidence is needed to confirm at least a short-term high has been hit.
DAX outlook: German index aims to reach new highs
What has driven the German index to record highs and can the rally persist? US investors are back, with Nvidia earnings coming into focus this week. DAX technical analysis shows index is testing key support.
DAX, FTSE China A50 analysis: Stocks plunge as rate cut bets trimmed
Global stock markets have fallen sharply so far today, led by Hong Kong and China yet again, with falls of 2.9% for Hang Seng and 1.9% for China A50 indices. The Japanese Nikkei slumped, ending its good run of form of late. The FTSE 100 in the UK was hurt badly by a surprise rise in UK inflation to 4% while growing concerns over China’s economy hurt shares of miners.
DAX outlook remains positive amid ECB rate cut expectations
DAX outlook: Dovish ECB could support European stocks, as promising signs emerge for global indices after slow start for risk assets in 2024. DAX technical outlook points to a new record high.
DAX outlook: Stocks in cautious mode ahead of FOMC
Sentiment has been somewhat firmer in the last couple of days with global indices staging a decent recovery. But at the start of today’s session, caution was the name of the game. European indices and US futures were trading a touch lower as investors awaited the Federal Reserve’s rate decision.
DAX outlook: Stocks rebound ahead of busy week but can recovery hold?
Sentiment was a little more cheerful in the first half of Tuesday’s session, following Monday’s recovery in stock and bond markets, and the return of the selling in precious metals and oil markets. European indices and US futures were trading higher as yields dipped further lower after the US 10-year could not hold above the key 5% level for long on Monday.
DAX outlook: Stocks not out of the woods yet
At the time of writing, the stock markets were starting to come off their best levels. With this being the month- and quarter-end, there will be lots of repositioning today, which may mean lower stock prices later, given that we have been in a risk off market environment for much of September. In any event, volatility is here to stay.
DAX analysis: Stocks resume lower as macro concerns linger
European stocks and US index futures resumed lower in the first half of Monday’s session after Friday’s short-covering bounce. Though the markets managed to stage a mild bounce off their earlier lows, the lack of any important data or central bank speech today means there won’t be any fundamental triggers to cheer investors up. Consequently, we are expecting to see further bearish price action once US investors enter the fray later on.
DAX outlook: German index in focus ahead of big events
At the time of writing in mid-morning European trade, the German DAX was off its earlier lows, but still lower on the session in what has so far been a mixed day for European markets. But with the euro and pound weakening again, it is obvious investors continue to remain concerned over the growing threat of stagflation in Europe.
A guide to the German stock market
The German stock market has a huge range of popular and well-known brands listed on it – including Adidas, BMW and Siemens. Learn about the exchanges, companies and indices that make up the German stock market.
DAX analysis: Stocks drop to fresh multi week lows as selling gathers pace
The risk off tone continued in the first half of today’s session. The major global indices hit fresh weekly lows, reaching their lowest levels in several weeks, causing the VIX – the fear index – to rise to its highest level since May.
DAX outlook: Stocks drop on China
Thanks to weakening Chinese manufacturing data, we have seen fresh falls in crude oil and some base metals, hurting energy stocks and miners. Our short-term DAX outlook is therefore bearish given growing worries over the health of the world's second largest economy.
EU markets ease on mixed European PMIs
There were some downside surprises with French and UK services, and German manufacturing, all disappointing expectations
DAX: European stocks outperform again
Sentiment boosted because of warmer-than-expected weather which has reduced fears about gas shortages.
Slowing Virus Lifts Stocks
Stocks jump as coronavirus cases and deaths slow in mainland Europe
European Stocks Jump As Mood Music Improves
Dax to test 10150 as sentiment continues to improve?
And the awful data begins....
After two straight sessions of gains European markets are heading lower on Thursday as data turns ugly.