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Forex Seasonality – December 2024: Can EUR/USD and AUD/USD Rally?

EUR/USD and AUD/USD are heading into their strongest month, hinting at rally potential after November drops.

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EUR/USD, FTSE Forecast: Two trades to watch

EUR/USD falls amid French political uncertainty, FTSE inches higher after strong Chinese manufacturing data, but UK data disappoints.

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EUR/USD forecast: Forex Friday – November 29, 2024

We will maintain our bearish EUR/USD forecast for the time being. This pair remains rooted in a bear trend, not just because of the threats of tariffs in 2025, but more so because of weakness in the eurozone economy and therefore the potential for more ECB rate cuts than from the Fed in the US, where even a December rate cut is not fully priced in, let alone cuts in 2025, after Trump’s election victory.

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November 29, 2024 12:43 PM

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EUR/USD: Fading French political turmoil with the White Knight on standby

French political drama is generating noise again, but don’t be fooled; it's the relative outlook for growth and inflation either side of the Atlantic that’s really moving EUR/USD. With the ECB ready to step in, perpetual French chaos is just a sideshow for the euro.

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November 28, 2024 10:58 PM
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EURUSD, Nasdaq Forecast: Inflation Data and Holiday Volatility

EURUSD, Nasdaq Forecast: Eurozone inflation data is in focus as EURUSD hovers near two-year lows. Meanwhile, irregular market volatility surrounding Thanksgiving, Christmas, and New Year is poised to dominate headlines, alongside key US economic data and Federal Reserve rate expectations in early December.

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November 28, 2024 08:48 AM
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US Dollar Snaps Back, USD/JPY Descending Triangle Breakdown

USD/JPY bears have gone to work over the past two weeks, holding a lower-high even as USD spiked last Friday. And then forcing a breakdown from the descending triangle formation to test below the 151.95 level.

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EUR/USD Recovery Eyes Former Support Zone Around April Low

The recovery in EUR/USD may turn out to be temporary if it struggles to trade back above the former-support zone around the April low (1.0601).

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By : David Song
November 27, 2024 06:00 PM
Forex trading

EUR/USD, USD/JPY Forecast: Two trades to watch

EUR/USD rises cautiously ahead of German GFK data & post-Fed minutes. USD/JPY falls to a 3-week low ahead of US core PCE data.

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November 27, 2024 09:30 AM
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Euro Parity: What Will it Take to Drive the EUR/USD to 1.00?

While parity is just a number in theory, it often carries significant psychological and economic weight - see what it might take to drive to EUR/USD to 1.00!

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November 26, 2024 07:41 PM
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Trump Bump Price Action Setups: Gold, Bitcoin, EUR/USD, SPX

It’s been a fast-evolving market since the Presidential election three weeks ago. But stocks remain higher, Bitcoin has put in a major move and gold is on its back foot.

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EUR/USD outlook: Euro extends recovery but don’t expect it to last

The slight cooling of the so-called "Trump Trade," i.e., with a strong dollar cooling as we have seen thus far in the week (except against CAD and CNH that were hit by Trump’s tariff threat overnight), may not last long. But today, the euro is finding itself on the front foot amid the relief bounce that commenced from end of last week from severely technical oversold levels. While the recovery may end up lasting for a while, the EUR/USD outlook remains modestly bearish.

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November 26, 2024 12:53 PM
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EUR/USD forecast: Currency Pair of the Week – November 25, 2024

The slight cooling of the so-called "Trump Trade," characterised by a strong dollar (and a Bitcoin rally), may not last very long. For now, though, traders are adjusting their expectations somewhat and scaling back hopes for aggressive tax cuts and tariff hikes. It is far too early for us to drop out bearish EUR/USD forecast.

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EUR/USD, Oil Forecast: two trades to watch

EUR/USD recovers from a 2-year low but gains could be limited, Oil steadies after 6% gains last week.

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November 25, 2024 11:57 AM
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EUR/USD: Bessent bounce underpinned by bullish bond breakout

Scott Bessent’s treasury secretary nomination is already impacting markets, sending bond yields lower and sparking a sharp rebound in EUR/USD. But with yield spreads still heavily in favour of the US, the durability of the move faces questions.

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November 25, 2024 03:13 AM

Euro Technical Forecast: EUR/USD, EUR/JPY Breakdowns

The Euro continued it’s Q4 descent against the US Dollar but it’s the recent build of bearish price action in EUR/JPY that’s of interest going into next week.

Euro Technical Forecast: EUR/USD Bears Push Towards Parity

Euro is poised to mark a third weekly decline with the push towards parity now testing downtrend support. Battle lines drawn on the EUR/USD weekly technical chart.

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Euro outlook: EUR/USD and EUR/JPY in focus – Forex Friday

Against a backdrop of weakening economic data, looming tariffs from the US in 2025 and a struggling Chinese economy (bad for Eurozone exports), the euro outlook remains negative, putting pairs such as the EUR/USD and EUR/JPY into focus – the latter having just formed a bearish technical signal.

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November 22, 2024 12:51 PM

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EURUSD, Nasdaq Outlook: EURUSD Faces Parity Risk and Nasdaq Eyes another Bull Run

EURUSD and Nasdaq Outlook: As the DXY edges closer to breaking 2023 highs, bearish risks loom large for EURUSD. Meanwhile, NVDIA earnings are boosting long-term bullish potential for the Nasdaq following the Trump rally.

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November 22, 2024 08:13 AM
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Market Wrap: Bitcoin Nears $100K, Gold and Crude Oil Stay Bullish

Welcome to Friday! Bitcoin inches closer to $100K, with spot and futures markets hitting record highs. Gold breaks above its 50DMA, bolstering bullish picture, while crude oil builds momentum despite lighter volumes. ASX 200 futures remain a buy-on-dips play, edging closer to record highs. EUR/USD stays under pressure, hitting fresh 2024 lows.

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EUR/USD, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch

EUR/USD struggles below 1.0550 as headwinds mount. Oil rises amid escalating geopolitical tensions.

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November 21, 2024 09:43 AM
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EUR/USD, GBP/USD slide as rising US yields take control

While headlines were fixated on Nvidia and the origin of missiles, the real story for EUR/USD and GBP/USD on Wednesday was US yield movements, driving the latest twists in forex markets.

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November 20, 2024 10:05 PM
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USD regains bullish stride, EUR/USD and USD/JPY look set to converge

The USD index defied the 3-day retracement that dared to defy its bullish trend and now appears on the cusp of a breakout. While this could signify EUR/USD dropping below 105, it may also equate to a bullish breakout on USD/JPY.

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EURUSD, Gold Analysis: PMIs, Geopolitics, and Key Levels

EURUSD, Gold Analysis: In the FX markets, the dollar's pullback from the 107 mark continues to support positive rebounds across currencies. Meanwhile, in the precious metals market, geopolitical tensions and the dollar's cooling momentum have enabled gold to recover from steep post-election drops.