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Forex trading

EUR/JPY outlook turning increasing bearish: Drop to 155 likely

The EUR/JPY outlook is increasingly tuning bearish, but it must continue holding below the 160.00 handle to keep the bears happy. I reckon the pair is heading down to 155.00 in the coming days.

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November 27, 2024 04:25 PM
Research

GBPUSD, EURJPY Outlook: Inflation Reports and Key Levels

GBPUSD, EURJPY: Inflation indicators between the eurozone and the Japanese economy are due this week, following the jump in UK’s inflation rates next week, adding reversal potential to the dollar’s rally ahead of Trump’s presidency.

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November 25, 2024 08:36 AM

Euro Technical Forecast: EUR/USD, EUR/JPY Breakdowns

The Euro continued it’s Q4 descent against the US Dollar but it’s the recent build of bearish price action in EUR/JPY that’s of interest going into next week.

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Euro outlook: EUR/USD and EUR/JPY in focus – Forex Friday

Against a backdrop of weakening economic data, looming tariffs from the US in 2025 and a struggling Chinese economy (bad for Eurozone exports), the euro outlook remains negative, putting pairs such as the EUR/USD and EUR/JPY into focus – the latter having just formed a bearish technical signal.

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November 22, 2024 12:51 PM

Euro Technical Outlook: EUR/USD Test II at 1.0500, EUR/JPY Breakdown

EUR/USD has taken a beating so far in Q4 but for the past week and the pair is testing the 1.0500 handle for a second time. For both Euro bears and Yen bulls, EUR/JPY could make for a more attractive argument for directional plays.

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November 21, 2024 04:02 PM
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Japanese Yen Technical Outlook: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY

Yen weakness has hung around and USD/JPY and GBP/JPY both retain bullish appeal. But for those looking for Yen-strength, perhaps in anticipation of next month’s policy review from the BoJ, EUR/JPY could hold greater attraction.

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Japanese Yen Technical Analysis: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY

USD/JPY has continued to rally up to fresh three-month-highs, but EUR/JPY has started to build bearish structure. Meanwhile a bull pennant has formed in GBP/JPY.

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November 14, 2024 08:03 PM
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EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY: Key levels with risks skewing to the downside

EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY on sitting on shaky ground. Momentum’s fading, and risks are skewing to the downside as we enter a quieter macro week.

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November 8, 2024 04:43 AM
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Euro Technical Analysis: EUR/USD, EUR/JPY

EUR/USD has vacillated wildly along with election odds and US expectations over the past few days. EUR/JPY has continued to hold a bullish trend following the topside breakout.

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November 4, 2024 07:16 PM
Research

EUR/USD surges into PCE and NFP, yen pairs compared ahead risk events

Stronger EU data and pushback on cuts from ECB sent EUR/USD up to its 200-day MA ahead of risk events. I also assess the trend structures of yen pairs to sort the good from the bad.

Yen, Euros and dollar currency bills and notes

USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY: Japanese Yen Technical Analysis

Yen-weakness has remained through Japanese general elections and both EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY have put in clean breakout moves from ascending triangle formations.

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EUR/USD Bounce Continues as EUR/JPY Breakout Pulls Back

EUR/USD finally found some element of support that could hold a low as the pair looks to break what’s been a very bearish streak. Meanwhile, EUR/JPY looks bullish with another breakout to start this week.

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October 28, 2024 02:49 PM
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Euro Forecast: EUR/USD, EUR/JPY, EUR/GBP

EUR/USD continued an aggressive sell-off but EUR/JPY put in a clean breakout from an ascending triangle. Meanwhile, EUR/GBP has set the initial steps for a possible bounce.

Forex trading

EUR/JPY forecast: ECB cuts by 25 basis points

The EUR/USD held near 1.0850, near its lowest level since early August. The other euro crosses were mixed. However, the EUR/JPY forecast hadn’t quite turned bearish yet as it held above a key support and traders watched whether the USD/JPY pair would hold its latest attempt to break the 150.00 in response to a series of US data beats.

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October 17, 2024 01:30 PM

EUR/USD may need a dovish-ECB cut to extend its slide

Conditions for euro bears have been ripe for the past three weeks with renewed bets of an ECB cut alongside scaled-back bets of ECB easing. But given the depth of the selloff on EUR/USD, it could be vulnerable to a bounce unless a dovish cut is delivered.

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October 15, 2024 02:53 AM
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EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY Technical Forecast: Yen Crosses Look Poised for Bullish Breakouts

EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY traders have already priced in the current projected path of interest rates from the ECB, BOE, and BOJ, so the main market driver moving forward will be how those expectations evolve.

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Japanese Yen Forecast: The EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY Moves that Could Kick the Carry Trade Unwind into Overdrive

The massive “yen carry trade” unwind was technically- and sentiment-driven, and could absolutely run further after pausing for a few weeks. EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY are in play.

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EUR/USD, EUR/JPY forecast: Weak PMIs dampens euro as yen roars back

While the euro has struggled, the Japanese yen continues to roar back higher. The strengthening yen is a reflection of tightening of bond yield spread between Japan and the rest of the world, after ballooning following the years of excessive expansionary monetary policy in Japan while the rest of the world pursued a sharp contractionary policy to combat surging inflation.

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July 24, 2024 01:52 PM
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EUR/USD, EUR/JPY look ready to rip despite an anticipated ECB rate cut

The ECB are likely to perform a widely telegraphed rate cut, odds of a Fed cut have increased and futures traders are becoming increasingly bullish on EUR/USD. Beyond the meeting, the path of least resistance could be higher.

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June 6, 2024 04:06 AM
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AUD/JPY, EUR/JPY: Bearish breakout risk grows on BOJ intervention threat

AUD/JPY and EUR/JPY are sandwiched between range highs and uptrend support, meaning traders should be on alert for potential bearish and bullish breakout this week with big event risk in the United States and Europe approaching fast.

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April 8, 2024 07:04 AM
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Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, and GBP/JPY in Play Ahead of BOJ

The long-awaited results from the Japan’s spring wage negotiations are winding down, and the results are generally what the BOJ wanted to see to exit its ultra-accommodative monetary policy. See the key levels to watch on USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, and GBP/JPY!

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Japanese Yen Intervention Watch: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY Technical Analysis

USD/JPY is consolidating while EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY remain in healthy uptrends.

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USD/JPY reclaims 150 as US yields push higher into producer price inflation report

Look no further than relative central bank interest rate expectations if you’re wondering what’s driving USD/JPY right now. The pair is moving in lockstep with US two-year Treasury note yields, running with a positive correlation of 0.96 on the daily over the past month.

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February 16, 2024 02:15 AM