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Canadian Dollar Post-BOC Rate Cut: USD/CAD Pushes Tepid Initial Breakout
The 50 bp cut from the Bank of Canada was well priced-in ahead of this morning’s announcement, and several longer-term resistance levels sit overhead around 1.3900, 1.3950 and 1.4000.
JPY, EUR, CAD, AUD, Crude Oil Analysis: COT report
Large speculators flipped to net-short exposure to EUR/USD ahead of the French election. Open interest on CAD futures fell at its fastest pace in nearly one year as the sentiment extreme we warned of plays out. Net-long exposure to AUD/USD futures fell to a 3-year low, and prospects of net-long exposure are now on the horizon with the potential for an RBA hike.
USD/JPY, USD/CAD implied volatility perks up, BOC and ISM up next
Today's BOC rate decision and an ISM report for the US places USD/CAD on volatility alert, alongside USD/JPY.
USD, CAD, Gold, Copper, VIX, Wall Street analysis: COT report
Asset managers reached a record level of net-short exposure to VIX futures, days before prices fell to a record low. Traders also remain net-long USD despite losses in recent weeks.
A complete guide to the Bank of Canada and interest rates
As with any central bank, when the Bank of Canada (BOC) changes interest rates, it can have a knock-on effect to stocks, indices and currencies. Find out everything you need to know about the BOC and how it’s decisions impact financial markets.
Canadian dollar analysis: USD/CAD knocking on key 1.3605 support
USD/CAD is forming a potential descending triangle pattern into 1.3650 support ahead of key data tomorrow.
US CPI preview: Fed rate expectations dive, USD/CAD tests 1.37
In the wake of the implosion of SVB, traders are dialing down their expectations for Fed hawkishness next week...
Will USD/CAD break key resistance at 1.35 after soft Canadian CPI?
The just-released Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Canada rose 5.9% year-over-year in January...what does that mean for USD/CAD?
Fiat Money: What is a Fiat Currency?
A fiat currency is a monetary instrument backed by a national government like the British pound or Canadian dollar. Learn how fiat currencies operate and how they compare to other types of money.
BOC Governor Macklem sticks to the script, USD/CAD consolidates
The bank's latest forecast shows the annual rate of inflation slowing to around 3% by the middle of 2023, and reaching 2.5% by the fourth quarter.
Market pricing and economists favour a 25bp hike from the BOC tomorrow
Market pricing and the consensus among economists firmly points towards a 25bp hike from the BOC tomorrow.
USD/CAD: A tale of two labor markets
Traders are still digesting last week’s US jobs report, but one thing is clear: The US labor market is outperforming Canada’s...
Technical view: CAD/JPY’s rally is lagging…are we seeing a reversal?
Fundamental trends show no imminent signs of reversing, but CAD/JPY’s chart nonetheless suggests that there may be an opportunity for one or both of these currencies to reverse some of this year’s moves.
Don’t sleep on USD/CAD’s consolidation at 1.25! The key levels to watch this week
Friday’s Canadian jobs report will be worth watching - see why!
Two trades to watch: USD/CAD, Gold
USDCAD battles hawkish Fed & higher oil prices. Gold could come under pressure as Fed Powell talks hikes.
Weekly COT report: Divergences form between FX prices and trader positioning
As the data was compiled ahead of the FOMC meeting its likely there are some distortions in this week’s speculative positioning report.
Canadian CPI at 30-year highs, USD/CAD bears remain in control
Canada’s annual inflation rate just rose to 4.8%, its highest level since 1991 - how will that impact USD/CAD?
Bank of Canada meeting preview: BOC inching closer to rate hikes
We expect the BOC to reiterate that the Canadian economy is on track for a full recovery next year, and that an interest rate hike cycle could begin as soon as H1...
Asian Open: Tech Stocks Buck the Trend as Equities Move Lower
Technology stock diverged from the broader selloff on Wall Street as bonds yields were dragged lower as tensions between US and China resurfaced.
EUR/CAD: Lopsided short positioning may hint at a bullish reversal
When a market is seeing lopsided short positioning in deeply oversold territory after an historic collapse, the risks of an abrupt trend change start to rise...
European Open: UK Data Dump and US CPI in Focus
A batch of UK data kicks off today’s session at 07:00 BST, although it is arguably US CPI which may steal the limelight given it remains a ‘hot’ topic.
Asian Open: Traders Increase $7.2 billion to Net-Long USD exposure
Traders were their most bullish on the US dollar against other currencies at their highest level since June 2019, ahead of Friday’s Nonfarm payrolls miss.
Canadian election: Liberals fail to secure majority: USD/CAD; AUD/CAD
Trudeau’s efforts to secure a majority went unnoticed as voters kept things the same