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AUD/USD Approaches November Low with Australia GDP on Tap
AUD/USD approaches the November low (0.6434) as it gives back a three-day rally.
Forex Seasonality – December 2024: Can EUR/USD and AUD/USD Rally?
EUR/USD and AUD/USD are heading into their strongest month, hinting at rally potential after November drops.
Bullish bets on the yen continue to gain traction: COT report
We may have seen an important swing low on the yen looking at the change of speculative market positioning. And that could see a much deeper pullback on USD/JPY.
AUD/USD weekly outlook: Can seasonality save the Aussie?
AUD/USD has done a poor job of tracking its seasonality overall this year so far. And given it’s taking its directional cue from China while any pullback on the USD may be limited, I'm not hanging my hat on a particularly strong December for AUD/USD.
AUD slammed on Trump tariffs, even though we’ve seen this movie before
True to his campaign promise, Trump is playing hardball with tariffs. But will he deliver, or is this simply a classic Trump-bargaining chip? Regardless, AUD/USD is getting caught up in the headlines.
Trump tariff threat roils markets: USD surges, CAD, AUD, NZD sink
Trump’s tariff threats send shockwaves through markets, driving the USD higher as trade-reliant currencies plunge. USD/CAD breaks to pandemic highs, while AUD and NZD reel from fears of escalating protectionism.
Yen futures gain bullish traction, bears weigh on EUR/USD: COT report
While traders pushed net-long exposure to the USD to a 20-week high, there is also been a notable pickup of long yen bets. They're also piling into EUR/USD shorts, which is why I continue to suspect USD/JPY and EUR/USD may converge and move lower.
AUD/USD weekly outlook: With speculative vols rising, a low may have been seen
AUD/USD managed to recoup some of its post-US-election losses last week. And given it held up against the might USD strength while futures data shows volumes rising for the first week in seven, I suspect an important swing low has been seen.
Australian Dollar Technical Forecast: AUD/USD Bulls Vulnerable
Australian Dollar snapped back to a key pivot zone and the rebound remains vulnerable into the monthly close. Battle lines drawn on the AUD/USD weekly technical chart.
US Dollar Forecast: AUD/USD Recovery Keeps Yearly Range Intact
AUD/USD may further retrace the decline from the monthly high (0.6688) to hold within the yearly range.
AUD, CAD, NZD lead the pack as commodity-FX bounce enters third day
Hot CPI from Canada, a rise of geopolitical tensions and increased threat of tariffs played nicely for commodity FX bulls, with AUD, CAD and NZD leading the pack among FX majors on Tuesday. And there could be some wriggle room for further gains.
AUD/USD rebound hinges on US yield stability and China market upside
Stability in US bond yields may offer AUD/USD rare respite this week. However, with strong ties to commodity prices and Hang Seng futures, the Aussie remains closely linked to China’s economic outlook. Here’s why both factors may need to align to fuel a recovery in the pair.
US Dollar Forecast: AUD/USD Halts Bearish Price Series
AUD/USD appears to be halting the selloff from the start of the week as it no longer carves a series of lower highs and lows.
AUD/USD sinks to new lows as focus shifts to Aussie jobs data
AUD/USD has hit fresh lows despite in-line US inflation data, increasing the risk of a deeper drop. Attention now turns to Australia’s jobs report, a notoriously noisy series that could produce anything. With bearish momentum growing, traders will be eyeing a potential retest of key uptrend support.
AUD/USD Vulnerable amid Break Below November Opening Range
AUD/USD breaks below the opening range for November to register a fresh monthly low (0.6480).
Australian Dollar Short-term Outlook: AUD/USD Bears Go for the Break
Australian Dollar plunged 2.5% off the post-election high with Aussie now threatening a multi-month uptrend. Battle lines drawn on the AUD/USD technical charts.
AUD/USD, USD/CNH: Weakening yuan puts Aussie on track for reversal zone retest
The Aussie’s got its eyes on the yuan. With USD/CNH pushing higher, the Aussie’s set for a potential bounce – or a big drop.
AU consumer, business sentiment improves ahead of key jobs report
With Australia’s business and consumer sentiment rising, CPI ‘too high’ for the RBA and now Trump preparing his cabinet for inflationary policies and potential trade wars, the RBA could be closer to a hike than a cut. And another bumper employment report from Australia this week could strengthen those odds.
AUD/USD weekly outlook:
AUD/USD snapped a 5-week losing streak with a marginal 0.3% gain. But it was the most volatile week since April thanks to the US election, and volatility is expected to remain elevated.
AUD/USD, NZD/USD surge as traders bet big on supersized China stimulus
AUD/USD and NZD/USD soared on Thursday, driven by speculation of a massive ¥12 trillion China stimulus package. Rumours of bold measures to boost consumption sent risk assets rallying, but traders are now eyeing the Politburo for confirmation. With no set announcement time, Friday's decision could make or break the recent surge in Aussie and Kiwi.
Australian Dollar Technical Forecast: AUD/USD Bulls Emerge Ahead of Fed
Australian Dollar is poised to mark a fourth-weekly decline with AUD/USD plummeting more than 4.5% off the yearly high. Battle lines drawn on the weekly technical chart.
AUD/JPY endorses Trump presidency, AUD/USD fights back
If you haven’t heard already, Donald Trump has been elected as President of the United States. flipped the senate and on the cusp of taking the house. A risk-on session ensued, which played nicely for AUD/JPY bulls - who now have 103 in focus.
Markets tracked their historical norm on election day, volatile reversals incoming?
We saw the usual risk-on bounce election day tends to bring. But if markets continue to track their historical averages, we’re in for some volatile reversals today.