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ASX hits record high in thin trade, but double top clouds the outlook

ASX 200 futures (SPI 200) were allowed to print a fresh record high on a daily-close basis. Yet 8500 remains a clear level of resistance, and one which prompted a potential bearish reversal pattern.

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November 28, 2024 10:32 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Analysis: Can the Bullish Momentum Continue?

Despite the current gains, a correction may be necessary before the market can sustain a significant upward trajectory, but so far, the technical Nasdaq 100 analysis is still bullish and we haven’t seen a reversal stick.

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November 28, 2024 02:50 PM
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With Wall Street bucking its Thanksgiving trend, the ASX could struggle

Wall Street indices took the relatively rare step of ignoring its tendency to rally ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday, and price action suggests there could be deeper pullback. Which may not bode so well for ASX 200 bulls who may be sleeping behind their wheel around a record high.

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CAC, DAX forecast: EU stocks struggle amid political uncertainty as Wall Street hits records

In Europe, concerns about US tariffs, a struggling Eurozone economy and political uncertainty in France and Germany are continuing to hold back risk assets. France's CAC index is now nearly 6% lower on the year. The DAX forecast is also far from bullish, with a key drag being the European auto sector’s reaction to potential tariff threats.

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November 27, 2024 01:00 PM
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DAX outlook: Eurozone woes have been more troublesome for euro than stocks – but for how long?

Caught in the middle of an outperforming US and underperforming Chinese equities, European markets rallied last week despite fresh concerns about the eurozone economy. While the selling has been contained to the euro so far, should recession worries intensify then we could see the stock market also respond negatively, putting the DAX outlook on a negative watch.

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November 24, 2024 08:00 AM
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S&P 500 Forecast: Futures rise as Nvidia stock rebounds

While the market appears bullish right now, the S&P 500 forecast is far from certain, especially with a lack of fresh bullish catalysts to consider. Could profit-taking negatively impact the market soon?

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November 21, 2024 01:30 PM

GBPUSD, Nasdaq Forecast: Trends in Recovery Mode?

GBPUSD, Nasdaq Forecast: Following the DXY’s pullback from the 107-mark, the GBPUSD held its ground, hinting at a potential bullish rebound. Meanwhile, Nasdaq entered a pullback mode to recharge from the Trump rally effect, signaling a possible recovery phase.

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The Hang Seng has had quite the relationship with the 61.8% this year

The Hang Seng has seen no fewer than six times already this year on the daily charts, and it looks like it wants to tally up a seventh.

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November 19, 2024 12:16 AM
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S&P 500 Forecast: Cooling off from overbought levels

So far, US stock investors appear unfazed by global softness in commodities and bond markets, even as the 10-year Treasury yield inches closer to 4.5%, reflecting a more hawkish interest rate outlook for next year. But with the dust settling on Trump’s election victory, could we finally see retracement to cause a bearish shift in the short-term S&P 500 forecast?

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November 14, 2024 03:49 PM
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DAX forecast dented by German political uncertainty, Tariff concerns

This week’s US inflation data may impact Wall Street but will likely have limited implications for European indices. But one factor that is certainly weight on sentiment on this side of the pond is political uncertainty in Germany. Against this backdrop, our DAX forecast is turning bearish in the short term, especially if the German index now breaks a key support area that it was testing at the time of writing.

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November 13, 2024 01:00 PM
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Dow wobbles, Nasdaq holds its own, ASX futures today with break of 8200

Wall Street indices displayed their first signs of doubt following Trump’s election victory last week, with the Dow leading losses on Tuesday. Weak sentiment from China has also weighed on ASX futures overnight.

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Nasdaq 100 forecast: What’s next after Trump-fuelled rally?

US index futures edged higher in early European trading, but after a strong two-day rally, momentum might slow ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision. With a 25-basis-point rate cut fully priced in, the focus will shift to the Fed's tone on future cuts.

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November 7, 2024 12:20 PM
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Markets react to Trump win: US futures, dollar surge, commodities drop

The rationale behind the US stock market rally is that Trump is seen as business-friendly and will be able to pass on his tax cuts through easily without much resistance from the democrats who have lost control of the senate.

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DAX outlook: Stocks direction and US election outcome far from certain

With the US election now just one day away, things can turn rapidly across financial markets, particularly because this is turning out to be such a close election and the polls cannot and should not be trusted. Given the fact that the DAX has weakened in the last couple of weeks, this also argues against a sustainable recovery as the prior bullish momentum has been lost.

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S&P 500, ASX 200 are on the ropes, but help may be at hand

A brutal day for risk sent Wall Street indices lower on Thursday, but support levels and the tendency for stocks to rise on the week of a US election could help the S&P 500 and ASX 200. Assuming the wheels don't truly fall off first.

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JPY tends to rise and indices fall the Friday before a US election

A less-dovish BOJ may have strengthened the yen while weak tech earnings weighed on Wall Street Thursday, but these patters could persist on Friday if they follow their usual pre-election path looking, according to historical data.

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S&P 500 forecast: Stocks drop amid earnings and election uncertainty

US equities have fallen at the start of today’s US session, following on the losses from the previous day and weaker global markets. The tech sector is in the spotlight following underwhelming earnings reports from Meta and Microsoft, with the latter falling in excess of 5% shortly after the open.

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ASX 200 toys with bearish breakdown, don’t write of the China A50 yet

A potential bearish reversal pattern suggests a drop to 7900 for the ASX, but only if it clears a support cluster first. China's A50 still looks solid above 13k to my eyes, despite yesterday's selloff.

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October 31, 2024 01:21 AM
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DAX forecast: European stocks drop amid mixed earnings, strong data

You would have thought that on the back of a stronger showing from the Eurozone GDP that the DAX and other European indices would have been rallying today. Well, that hasn’t been quite the case as traders digested a deluge of mixed earnings while the handover from China was again not great with the markets there falling. Meanwhile, a technical breakdown means the DAX forecast has turned somewhat bearish in the near-term outlook.

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Dow Jones forecast: Stocks struggle amid election uncertainty, mixed data and oil selling

As we head deeper into a pivotal week and a half, several high-impact events could shape market direction. Investors are bracing for a series of earnings reports from major companies, often referred to as the "Magnificent 7" stocks, alongside the US monthly jobs report. These, combined with the US election on November 5, represent a series of risk events that could sway investor sentiment and thus impact the Dow.

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Australia Q3 inflation report preview: AUD/USD, ASX 200 SPI technical focus

Australia’s Q3 inflation report is the sole remaining domestic data release that could meaningfully influence the outlook for interest rate settings from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) this year, making Wednesday’s report a key event for AUD/USD and ASX 200 SPI futures traders.

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October 29, 2024 04:17 AM
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ASX 200, China A50 look set to bounce: Asian Open

The bounce for the ASX nay end up being short lived, but price action suggests bulls might sneak in a 'last hurrah' over the near term. Meanwhile the China A50 continues to hold its ground and hint at a bounce of its own.

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October 28, 2024 09:35 PM
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Dow forecast: Key data, earnings and US election all coming up

As we head into a pivotal week and a half, several high-impact events could shape market direction. Investors are bracing for a series of earnings reports from major companies, often referred to as the "Magnificent 7" stocks, alongside the US monthly jobs report. These, combined with the US election on November 5, represent a series of risk events that could sway investor sentiment and thus impact the Dow forecast.