Matt Weller CFA, CMT

Matt Weller

Matt Weller CFA, CMT

Head of Market Research

Expertise: Macroeconomics, Technical Analysis, Sentiment Analysis

Trading Style: Trend/Swing


Experience:

• 15+ years trading and analysis experience covering the forex, equity, commodity, and cryptoasset markets

• Conducted over 1,300 educational webinars on different aspects of trading and trading psychology

• Analysis is regularly featured in the Financial Times, Reuters, MarketWatch and The Wall Street Journal among other outlets.

• Holds both his Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) and Chartered Market Technician (CMT) charters.


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china_06

2025’s Biggest Surprise: Could China’s Economy Fall Off a Cliff?

Chinese consumer confidence is weak, domestic consumption remains muted, and unemployment among youth has surged, raising concerns about unrest and long-term stagnation.

Federal reserve name plaque on building

FOMC Preview: Cut Then “Prudent Pause” from Powell?

EUR/USD has carved out a narrow range between 1.0470 and 1.0600 and unless the Fed delivers a meaningful surprise of some sort, that range may carry over.

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December 17, 2024 04:12 PM

BOC Recap: USD/CAD Drops as Macklem Hints at Gradual Cuts in 2025

USD/CAD fell back toward key horizontal support near 141.00 as BOC Governor Macklem hinted at a 2025 pause in the interest rate cutting cycle

canada_08

US CPI Preview: Could a HOT Inflation Report Revive a Fed Pause?

The Fed is likely to cut interest rates by 25bps regardless of the CPI reading, though a hotter-than-expected print could certainly raise some questions for USD/CAD

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December 10, 2024 02:17 PM
Gold bitcoin superimposed on chart

Bitcoin Breaks $100K! Where Next? Cryptoasset Weekly Update (December 6, 2024)

Bitcoin broke $100K…only to fall a quick -14% to below $90K in a mini “flash crash” before recovering back above $100K. What are the levels to watch now?

Jobs

NFP Preview: Could a Strong Jobs Report Put a December Fed Pause in Play?

The Fed is likely, but not certain, to cut interest rates by 25bps later this month, and a strong NFP report could reopen the door for close decision.

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December 5, 2024 03:26 PM
Congress building

US Dollar: A Contrarian Perspective on How Trump’s Second Term Could Weaken the USD

How a shift in trade policy, the extension of tax cuts, the appointment of Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary, and potential threats to Federal Reserve independence could pave the way for a weaker greenback under Trump.

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December 4, 2024 06:57 PM
Research

S&P 500 Melt-Up? The Data-Driven Case for SPX Upside in December

What are the odds of a Deecember melt up in the S&P 500?

Bank notes of different currencies

Forex Seasonality – December 2024: Can EUR/USD and AUD/USD Rally?

EUR/USD and AUD/USD are heading into their strongest month, hinting at rally potential after November drops.

Bank notes of different currencies

Euro Parity: What Will it Take to Drive the EUR/USD to 1.00?

While parity is just a number in theory, it often carries significant psychological and economic weight - see what it might take to drive to EUR/USD to 1.00!

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November 26, 2024 07:41 PM
Oil extraction

WTI Forecast: Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire Drives Crude Oil Back Toward $69

How could a potential Israel-Lebanon ceasefire impact oil prices and what are the key levels to watch?

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November 25, 2024 07:00 PM